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What you need to know for Saturday's MLB Games

biggins

biggins

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  • Saturday's 15-game slate kicks off at 2:10 PM ET with 36-year-old veteran Johnny Cueto and the Chicago White Sox hosting the Detroit Tigers and Garrett Hill, who will be making his second career start. Cueto (16% rostered) has experienced a career rejuvenation on the South Side, posting a quality start in seven of his 10 outings and now faces a lineup with the second-lowest wOBA versus righthanders, with the sixth-highest strikeout rate. Hill (2%) limited the Cleveland Guardians to two hits and one run in his MLB debut and now faces a White Sox offense recording the fourth-lowest wOBA with a righty on the hill.
  • There are four more streaming targets, including Kyle Freeland (5%), Hunter Greene (30%), Dean Kremer (13%) and Devin Smeltzer (21%). Freeland has been solid on the road, sporting a 3.40 ERA and 1.21 WHIP outside of Coors Field. Next up is a date in the desert against a Diamondback offense with the fifth poorest wOBA on the hill. Greene and his dominant 28% strikeout rate are at home against a Rays lineup fanning 25% of the time against righthanders. Kremer is coming off his first poor effort of the season but should rebound at home against an Angels club whiffing at a league-high 27% clip against righties. Smeltzer has been quietly effective, registering a quality start in six of his prior eight outings. However, the Twins southpaw is a risk facing a Rangers lineup producing at an above average clip against lefthanders.
  • Martin Perez continues to get by with smoke and mirrors as he's improved his control while inducing more grounders, helping to limit homers. Even so, his 4.4% HR/FB rate is due to regress, as is his 78% LOB mark. From a statistical sense, regression is independent of the opposing team, but on Saturday, Perez faces a Minnesota Twinslineup with some righthanded batters in a favorable spot to stream. They include Jose Miranda (2%), Gio Urshela (23%), Gary Sanchez (41%) and Kyle Garlick (<1%).
  • Here are several more batters in a favorable spot to fortify fantasy hitting, with everyone enjoying the platoon edge: Christian Walker (54%), William Contreras (28%), Jake Meyers (2%), Jonathan Villar (3%) and Hanser Alberto (<1%). The Milwaukee Brewers lefties make for a sneaky stack against Pittsburgh Pirates righty Zach Thompson.
  • Strikeout props are a fun way for fantasy players to dabble in the betting arena. As has been discussed a lot in this space over the first half of the season, taking the over may be more fun, but it's been a risky bet as much more can go wrong. That said, leaguewide, strikeouts are trending back up and Brandon Woodruff appears back to form after punching out 18 in 11 stanzas since coming off the IL. On Saturday, Woodruff should continue dominating against a Pirates offense with the second-highest strikeout rate against righthanders over the past month.
 

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Tommy Edman Headshot

Tommy Edman
St. Louis Cardinals
Cardinals2B, SS, OF
News Archive
SAT, JUL 9, 9:23 AM
Edman isn't starting Saturday's game against the Phillies, Jeff Jones of the Belleville News-Democrat reports.
Spin:Edman is getting a day off after he went just 1-for-19 with five strikeouts over the last five games. Edmundo Sosa will take over at shortstop and bat eighth.
 

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Eloy Jimenez Headshot

Eloy Jimenez
Chicago White Sox
White SoxOF, DH
News Archive
SAT, JUL 9, 9:12 AM
Jimenez isn't starting Saturday against Detroit.
Spin:Jimenez started in the last three games and went 3-for-13 with a homer, four RBI, two runs and five strikeouts. Leury Garcia will shift to left field while Josh Harrison starts at second base Saturday.
 

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Luis Arraez Headshot

Luis Arraez
Minnesota Twins
Twins3B, 1B, 2B, OF, DH
News Archive
SAT, JUL 9, 8:56 AM
Arraez isn't starting Saturday's game against the Rangers.
Spin:Arraez is in the midst of an eight-game hitting streak in which he's hit .457 with six doubles, seven runs and two RBI. He'll get a breather while Jose Miranda starts at first base and bats fifth.
 

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Max Kepler Headshot

Max Kepler
Minnesota Twins
TwinsOF
News Archive
SAT, JUL 9, 8:52 AM
Kepler isn't starting Saturday's game against the Rangers.
Spin:Kepler is getting a day off after he went 5-for-13 with a homer, two runs, two RBI, a walk and two strikeouts over the last three games. Kyle Garlick is taking over in right field and batting third.
 

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C.J. Cron Headshot

C.J. Cron
Colorado Rockies
Rockies1B, DH
Day-To-DayNews Archive
SAT, JUL 9, 10:38 AM
Cron (wrist) isn't starting Saturday against the Diamondbacks, Danielle Allentuck of The Denver Gazette reports.
Spin:Cron sustained a left wrist contusion Friday against the Diamondbacks and isn't expected to require an IL stint, but he'll be held out of the lineup for at least one game. Connor Joe is shifting to first base while Yonathan Daza enters the lineup in center field.
 

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field.

Bryan Reynolds Headshot

Bryan Reynolds
Pittsburgh Pirates
PiratesOF
News Archive
SAT, JUL 9, 10:38 AM
Reynolds will sit Saturday against the Brewers.
Spin:Reynolds hits the bench after starting each of the Pirates' last 51 games. He hasn't exactly looked like he's needed a rest, as he owns a 1.156 OPS over his last 10 games, but the Pirates will hope the off day allows him to stay fresh and maintain his hot streak. Jack Suwinski will slide to center field in his absence, with Ben Gamel starting in left.
 

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Jeff McNeil Headshot

Jeff McNeil
New York Mets
Mets2B, OF
News Archive
SAT, JUL 9, 10:32 AM
McNeil isn't starting Saturday's game against the Marlins.
Spin:McNeil is expected to land on the paternity list soon, but he's simply getting a day off Saturday, Tim Britton of The Athletic reports. The 30-year-old is expected to start Sunday before landing on the paternity list ahead of the Mets' series against Atlanta. Luis Guillorme is starting at the keystone and batting eighth Saturday.
 

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Daulton Varsho Headshot

Daulton Varsho
Arizona Diamondbacks
DiamondbacksC, OF, DH
News Archive
SAT, JUL 9, 11:11 AM
Varsho isn't starting Saturday's game against the Rockies.
Spin:Varsho is getting a chance
 

biggins

biggins

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That said, leaguewide, strikeouts are trending back up and Brandon Woodruffappears back to form after punching out 18 in 11 stanzas since coming off the IL. On Saturday, Woodruff should continue dominating against a Pirates offense with the second-highest strikeout rate against righthanders over the past month.

Has six KO’s of first 12 batters
 

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DJ LeMahieu Headshot

DJ LeMahieu
New York Yankees
Yankees2B, 1B, 3B
News Archive
SAT, JUL 9, 1:16 PM
LeMahieu isn't starting Saturday's game against the Red Sox.
Spin:LeMahieu led off in the last four games and went 6-for-19 with four runs, two RBI and a stolen base during that time. He'll get a breather while Anthony Rizzo (back) returns to the lineup at first base with Matt Carpenter starting in left field
 
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