Week #7 $100 BMR Biggest WIENER Contest: NFL/NCAA Official picks thread

[Enikk]

Stay tuned for this weeks promo commercial!! Congrats to HeadsterX on the win last week.​

The BMR Biggest WIENER Contest

• $100 Bitcoin Weekly to one lucky WIENER
• Pick 1 team against the spread(No Totals or mL) from the provided NFL/NCAAF games
• The poster that correctly picks the ATS winner with the most net action pts will be crowned BMR’s Biggest WIENER that week

Bonus:
- Provide a write-up for why it is your best bet that week and those that win their game ATS will be provided 10 BMR Baller Coins.

Fine Print:
- Must have a BMR linked sportsbook account. Please PM @BMR Genie and @Enikk with any questions.

- Tie-breaker is most action net points of a 2nd best bet. If still tied than it will be decided by the poster that submitted his/her entry 1st.

-Bonus Baller Coin write-ups need to be legit analyst/opinion on the game and not just a generic 5 word reasoning. This is to help us all out in “beating the man” so please let's take it seriously.

Entry needs to look like this(not my entry):
Best bet(winner by most action pts): Cleveland brown -4
Tie-breaker: 2nd best bet game for tie-breaker only(winner by most action pts): Syracuse -9

If still tied than it will be decided by the poster that submitted his/her entry 1st.


**This is a spread only contest** Net Action Points will be used to determine the winner. Lines courtesy of Sportsbetting.ag

Dead-line to join this week is 4PM Eastern Sunday 10/16/22

 

[Enikk]

Thursday, Oct 13, 2022 - NFL Football Game
8:15 PM 105 Washington Commanders pk
106 Chicago Bears pk

Sunday, Oct 16, 2022 - NFL Football Game
1:00 PM 251 Tampa Bay Buccaneers -9
252 Pittsburgh Steelers 9

1:00 PM 253 Cincinnati Bengals -1
254 New Orleans Saints 1

1:00 PM 255 Jacksonville Jaguars 2
256 Indianapolis Colts -2

1:00 PM 257 New England Patriots 2.5
258 Cleveland Browns -2½

1:00 PM 259 New York Jets 7
260 Green Bay Packers -7

1:00 PM 261 Baltimore Ravens -5½
262 New York Giants 5.5

1:00 PM 263 Minnesota Vikings -3½
264 Miami Dolphins 3.5

1:00 PM 265 San Francisco 49ers -6
266 Atlanta Falcons 6

4:05 PM 267 Carolina Panthers 10
268 Los Angeles Rams -10

4:05 PM 269 Arizona Cardinals -3
270 Seattle Seahawks 3

4:25 PM 271 Buffalo Bills -3
272 Kansas City Chiefs 3

8:20 PM 273 Dallas Cowboys 6
274 Philadelphia Eagles -6

Monday, Oct 17, 2022 - NFL Football Game
8:15 PM 275 Denver Broncos 5
276 Los Angeles Chargers -5


Thursday, Oct 13, 2022 - NCAA Football
7:00 PM 107 Baylor -3½
108 West Virginia 3.5

7:00 PM 109 Temple 23.5
110 Central Florida -23½

Friday, Oct 14, 2022 - NCAA Football
7:30 PM 113 Navy 12.5
114 SMU -12½

8:00 PM 115 UTSA -33½
116 Florida International 33.5

Saturday, Oct 15, 2022 - NCAA Football
12:00 PM 127 Penn State 7
128 Michigan -7

12:00 PM 141 Central Michigan -13½
142 Akron 13.5

12:00 PM 151 Minnesota -6½
152 Illinois 6.5

12:00 PM 153 Miami Ohio -6½
154 Bowling Green 6.5

12:00 PM 157 Old Dominion 12
158 Coastal Carolina -12

12:00 PM 179 Auburn 14.5
180 Mississippi -14½

12:00 PM 183 Kansas 9
184 Oklahoma -9

12:00 PM 187 Iowa State 16.5
188 Texas -16½

12:30 PM 125 Miami Florida -7
126 Virginia Tech 7

1:00 PM 119 Buffalo -17
120 Massachusetts 17

2:00 PM 139 Connecticut 9
140 Ball State -9

2:00 PM 167 California -14½
168 Colorado 14.5

3:30 PM 117 Kent State 7.5
118 Toledo -7½

3:30 PM 121 Alabama -7
122 Tennessee 7

3:30 PM 123 Vanderbilt 38
124 Georgia -38

3:30 PM 135 Maryland -11½
136 Indiana 11.5

3:30 PM 137 NC State 3.5
138 Syracuse -3½

3:30 PM 155 Northern Illinois 2.5
156 Eastern Michigan -2½

3:30 PM 163 Arkansas -1½
164 BYU 1.5

3:30 PM 177 Texas State 16
178 Troy -16

3:30 PM 185 Oklahoma State 3.5
186 TCU -3½

3:30 PM 189 Ohio pk
190 Western Michigan pk

3:30 PM 193 Western Kentucky -7½
194 Middle Tennessee State 7.5

3:30 PM 195 Charlotte 23.5
196 UAB -23½

4:00 PM 149 Tulane -12
150 South Florida 12

4:00 PM 159 James Madison -12
160 Georgia Southern 12

4:00 PM 191 Wisconsin -7½
192 Michigan State 7.5

4:00 PM 197 Louisiana Tech 6.5
198 North Texas -6½

5:30 PM 173 Arizona 14
174 Washington -14

6:00 PM 199 Rice 3.5
200 Florida Atlantic -3½

7:00 PM 133 LSU 2.5
134 Florida -2½

7:00 PM 161 Arkansas State 4.5
162 Southern Miss -4½

7:00 PM 181 UL Monroe 17
182 South Alabama -17

7:00 PM 203 Utah State -11½
204 Colorado State 11.5

7:30 PM 129 Mississippi State -4
130 Kentucky 4

7:30 PM 143 Nebraska 13.5
144 Purdue -13½

7:30 PM 145 Clemson -3½
146 Florida State 3.5

7:30 PM 147 Memphis 4.5
148 East Carolina -4½

7:30 PM 205 Stanford 17
206 Notre Dame -17

8:00 PM 131 North Carolina -7
132 Duke 7

8:00 PM 165 New Mexico -6½
166 New Mexico State 6.5

8:00 PM 169 USC 3.5
170 Utah -3½

9:00 PM 171 Washington State 3.5
172 Oregon State -3½

10:30 PM 207 Air Force -10
208 UNLV 10

10:45 PM 175 San Jose State -7½
176 Fresno State 7.5

Sunday, Oct 16, 2022 - NCAA Football
12:00 AM 201 Nevada -6½
202 Hawaii 6.5

 

[Tanko]

177 Texas State 16
TB: 123 Vanderbilt 38

TX State:
Texas State has a shot in this one albeit a small one. They upset App St last week. Yep the same App St that beat TX A&M, scared NC in week 1, and beat Troy in week 3. That Troy team is who Texas State plays this week. I know its a stretch to read too much into who beat who, etc.... but this will be a game with passing, passing, and more passing. Both teams earn about 80% of their yards through the air and they each allow a ton of passing yards on defense. I like the potential for an upset in a shootout.

Vandy:
This is a hope and prayer. The thought is maybe Georgia will sleep-walk through this game against Vandy. They have a tough upcoming schedule (Fla, Tenn, Miss St, Kentucky). Maybe, just maybe, Vandy surprises them in this one as Georgia looks ahead. Yards per point (YPPT) statistics for the season and last 3 games for these teams say this is a 12 point spread, not 38.


Lets Go Bobcats
Lets Go Commodores

 

[redrightred]

Best Bet -- Oklahoma -9
Tiebreaker -- Arkansas -1.5

 

[BigJay]

Oklahoma -9
TBNebraska +13.5

 

[Headsterx]

Best bet: 183 Kansas 9
TB: 276 Los Angeles Chargers -5

This really depends on Sonners QB Dillion Gabriel remaining out due to concussion. Couldn’t find any news about it but rolling the dice. Last week they didn’t trust their backup QB and ran a lot of wishbone. It was dreadful and even though Kansas won’t have their QB I expect another beat down for the Sooners.

 

[Pimike]

Best bet 174 Washington-14
I feel sorry for Arizona. I expect them to get destroyed.

tie Breaker. CHARGERS -5
Denver is a mess. Herbert to shine in Prime time

 

[2the9s]

Best bet: 187 Iowa State 16.5
TB: 255 Jacksonville Jaguars 2

A week after blowing out injury-riddled rival Oklahoma 49-0 Texas is a huge favorite this week against a 3-3 Iowa State team that according to analytics rankings is far better than their record. After such a big-game rout I wouldn't be surprised to see Texas come out with a bit of an emotional hangover Saturday, and even without that I think the market is succumbing to recency bias. A banged up Oklahoma squad, despite the name recognition, is a major step down from Iowa St., especially defensively. I St. has only let up more than 11 points once, and their 3 losses have all been by 1 score against good teams. It will take more than a good showing against a bad team and a close loss to Alabama to convince me that Texas is a 3 score favorite against a team that frequently holds opponents to under 4 yards a carry and QB ratings under 45.

 

[Enikk]

Best Bet: 164 BYU +1.5

This one gets ugly and someone wins in a blow-out. Hope I am on the right side of it. Catching Arky off 3 tough conference games in Texas A&M, Alabama, and Miss St and facing a good running offense after facing a team that threw on them 48 times.

TB: 133 LSU +2.5

We all seen what Tennessee should have done to Florida. LSU makes it happen on the road in one of my favorite line spots as the road team +2.5

 

[Hunch]

BB: 195 Charlotte +23.5

TB: 205 Stanford +17

 

[EmpireMaker]

BB: 149 Tulane -12
TB: 148 East Carolina -4½

 

[fried cheese]

best bet: san jose st -7.5
tie-breaker: mississippi st -4

 

[Diggers77]

BB 160 Georgia Southern 12
TB 201 Nevada -6½

 

[sharpsquare]

Best bet: 131 North Carolina -7

Duke comes into this one a bit banged up in a bad spot against a really dynamic NC offense that has played better competition to date. Duke has struggled against dual threat QBs and May is def that. I think NC scores early and often in this one putting Duke into catch-up mode and a likely blowout spot. I know that NC defense sucks but just not sure Duke is good enough to take full advantage. Just too much firepower on the offensive side of the ball for NC in this one.


TB bet: 253 Cincinnati Bengals -1

The Saints are as banged up as it gets on both sides of the ball. The Bengals are starting to find a groove offensively and are simply going to be too much for a Saints team that comes literally limping into this one. Bengals won't be caught off guard by the T. Hill curveballs that fed the Saints offensively last week.

 

[Franklee168]

BB 142 Akron 13.5
TB 265 San Francisco 49ers -6

 

[RRsilver]

143 Nebraska 13.5

TB 145 Clemson -3½

 

[nappyx]

Best Bet: 145 Clemson -3½
Tie Breaker: 121 Alabama -7

 

[nbw]

best bet Tulane~12

better team and has played well every game. Stats all point to a blowout.

tiebreaker
washington -14

see above as same type game.

 

[BobbyFK]

Best bet: Falcons +6
Tie breaker: Cowboys +6

 

[yisman]

bb Utah State
tb East Carolina