watch out for the cincinnati reds next 10 games

[lekidecincinnati]

coming off a sweep of yankees in new york back home for a 10 game stretch against 3 terrible teams

3 vs detroit
4 vs colorado
3 vs marlins

if there was any time to go 10-0 9-1 8-2 it is now

 

[Tanko]

coming off a sweep of yankees in new york back home for a 10 game stretch against 3 terrible teams

3 vs detroit
4 vs colorado
3 vs marlins

if there was any time to go 10-0 9-1 8-2 it is now

Shocked they swept the Yankees.
The next 10 games should be cake walk after that.

 

[jjgold]

I would fade them the next six

 

[KVB]

coming off a sweep of yankees in new york back home for a 10 game stretch against 3 terrible teams

3 vs detroit
4 vs colorado
3 vs marlins

if there was any time to go 10-0 9-1 8-2 it is now

I would fade them the next six

Sounds like we could expect them to be over valued in the near term.

Especially after sweeping the Yanks in NY and then facing "weaker" opponents.

 

[BobbyFK]

Sounds like we could expect them to be over valued in the near term.

Especially after sweeping the Yanks in NY and then facing "weaker" opponents.

This is spot on thinking. The public will overvalue the team for sure. Might be a good time to hit the other side

 

[KVB]

This is spot on thinking. The public will overvalue the team for sure. Might be a good time to hit the other side

For today's game I have a few forecasts but essentially they work out to about Cinci -122.3.

Pinny dealing -129/+119 which works out to -123.37 vig free line.

Market close to the forecasts so it's possible Cinci even looked cheap here to some bettors. In fact, pressure was on Cinci in the market and the line moved to get to that no vig point where it seemed to have seen support.

It's possible this line was set low to begin with, with the anticipation of Cinci money coming in, giving the market room to move but still maintaining a contrarian stance.

Detroit triggered here as a Contrarian play as, after adjustments, we saw value over +117 for Detroit.

So it seems the both oddsmakers and bookmakers have worked together to take the Cinci money.

Detroit currently leads 5-2 in the 9th inning.

This alone could keep the market closer to "right" and curb the over valuing of the Cinci going forward short them that the very market exploited today.

 

[BobbyFK]

For today's game I have a few forecasts but essentially they work out to about Cinci -122.3.

Pinny dealing -129/+119 which works out to -123.37 vig free line.

Market close to the forecasts so it's possible Cinci even looked cheap here to some bettors. In fact, pressure was on Cinci in the market and the line moved to get to that no vig point where it seemed to have seen support.

It's possible this line was set low to begin with, with the anticipation of Cinci money coming in, giving the market room to move but still maintaining a contrarian stance.

Detroit triggered here as a Contrarian play as, after adjustments, we saw value over +117 for Detroit.

So it seems the both oddsmakers and bookmakers have worked together to take the Cinci money.

Detroit currently leads 5-2 in the 9th inning.

This alone could keep the market closer to "right" and curb the over valuing of the Cinci going forward short them that the very market exploited today.

Thank you for the analysis and information

 

[JDS]

For today's game I have a few forecasts but essentially they work out to about Cinci -122.3.

Pinny dealing -129/+119 which works out to -123.37 vig free line.

Market close to the forecasts so it's possible Cinci even looked cheap here to some bettors. In fact, pressure was on Cinci in the market and the line moved to get to that no vig point where it seemed to have seen support.

It's possible this line was set low to begin with, with the anticipation of Cinci money coming in, giving the market room to move but still maintaining a contrarian stance.

Detroit triggered here as a Contrarian play as, after adjustments, we saw value over +117 for Detroit.

So it seems the both oddsmakers and bookmakers have worked together to take the Cinci money.

Detroit currently leads 5-2 in the 9th inning.

This alone could keep the market closer to "right" and curb the over valuing of the Cinci going forward short them that the very market exploited today.

Good work here KVB, they salvaged the win for you.

 

[KVB]

Thank you for the analysis and information

Good work here KVB, they salvaged the win for you.

You guys know I really don't like past posting forecasts or plays, and of course that's not why I made the post.

Good contrarian win but would be better if I organize a contrarian report for the games on the radar for the day, early in the day, then update after we get market info.

I used to that in Gold's daily SBR thread, no reason why I shouldn't do it here.

 

[lekidecincinnati]

disappointing

 

[KVB]

disappointing

But let's face it, not all that surprising.

Right?

 

[JDS]

You guys know I really don't like past posting forecasts or plays, and of course that's not why I made the post.

Good contrarian win but would be better if I organize a contrarian report for the games on the radar for the day, early in the day, then update after we get market info.

I used to that in Gold's daily SBR thread, no reason why I shouldn't do it here.

I would absolutely love that and look forward to it every day, but no pressure.

 

[jjgold]

KVB you can do what you want

 

[sunshine11]

disappointing

Jinxed them.

 

[Tanko]

For today's game I have a few forecasts but essentially they work out to about Cinci -122.3.

Pinny dealing -129/+119 which works out to -123.37 vig free line.

Market close to the forecasts so it's possible Cinci even looked cheap here to some bettors. In fact, pressure was on Cinci in the market and the line moved to get to that no vig point where it seemed to have seen support.

It's possible this line was set low to begin with, with the anticipation of Cinci money coming in, giving the market room to move but still maintaining a contrarian stance.

Detroit triggered here as a Contrarian play as, after adjustments, we saw value over +117 for Detroit.

So it seems the both oddsmakers and bookmakers have worked together to take the Cinci money.

Detroit currently leads 5-2 in the 9th inning.

This alone could keep the market closer to "right" and curb the over valuing of the Cinci going forward short them that the very market exploited today.

Excellent analysis.

 

[stormtrooper8]

They’re gonna go 5-5 because they love to play down to their competition

This is coming from a fellow Reds fan

 

[lekidecincinnati]

city is cursed

 

[JDS]

They’re gonna go 5-5 because they love to play down to their competition

This is coming from a fellow Reds fan

You got winners today pal I need plays to fill in my parlay ?

 

[jjgold]

I don’t like that team

 

[lekidecincinnati]

reds going to open up home stand 0-2

offense is pathetic