Underdogs Corner Week 12

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Week 12 #NFL Underdog ATS picks
1-2 last week & now 20-13 for season with 11 of the 20 winning outright.
This week’s selections:
* Lions +9.5 vs. Bills
* Panthers +2 vs. Broncos
* Browns +3.5 vs. Bucs

 

[Bubbles]

Week 12 #NFL Underdog ATS picks
1-2 last week & now 20-13 for season with 11 of the 20 winning outright.
This week’s selections:
* Lions +9.5 vs. Bills
* Panthers +2 vs. Broncos
* Browns +3.5 vs. Bucs

i hope the bills will win and the lions will cover. my 7 pts were already assigned to the bills.

 

[Bubbles]

good luck.

 

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NFL Luck Rankings: Week 12 Picks According to Expert Projections for Ravens vs Jaguars, Raiders vs Seahawks, More​

 

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Packers (27)vs.​

Eagles (2)​

Nick Giffen: Washington and Indianapolis both covered against the Eagles in each of the past two weeks, with the Commanders winning outright.

I think the Packers can replicate the formula those teams rode to success: Run the ball.

The Packers are a much better rushing team than passing, ranking fifth on the ground but only 16th through the air in DVOA.

Meanwhile, Philly’s run funnel defense ranks 26th against the run and third against the pass. The Eagles are also missing rookie first-round defensive tackle Jordan Davis. He’s missed each of the past two games when teams covered against them.

Pick: Packers +7

 

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Raiders (23)vs.​

Seahawks (6)​

Sean Koerner: This is more of a lean early in the week, but definitely a situation I’m monitoring heading into the weekend.

The public is all over Seattle with 68% of the action on them thus far.

The public has likely written off the Raiders despite coming off a win against Denver. It was Las Vegas’ first win in one-score games after going 0-6 in such contests prior to Week 11.

The Raiders have played much better than their 3-7 record indicates, and are in play here at a key number like +3.5.

I’d wait and see if LT Kolton Miller suits up before placing this bet.

Pick: Raiders +3.5

 

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Ravens (8)vs.​

Jaguars (32)​

Jaguars (32) +4 vs. Ravens (8)

Nick Giffen: Jacksonville is coming off its bye week and will be rested up against a Ravens team that failed to cover against the lowly Panthers.

Like the Raiders, the Jaguars are 1-6 in one-score games and have a record worse than their actual team strength.

The Jaguars have played like a team that should be slightly above .500 against a league-average opponent, but sit at 3-7, which is why they are last in our Luck Rankings.

In fact, the Jaguars sit only a few percentage points behind the Ravens in third-order Pythagorean win percentage. That makes them only a 2-point dog in a neutral situation by that metric.

With home-field advantage, there’s plenty of value on the Jaguars at +4.

Pick: Jaguars +4

 

[dhristov211]

No interest in the Patriots? better team, worse QB...

 

[BigJay]

Raiders (23)vs.​

Seahawks (6)​

Sean Koerner: This is more of a lean early in the week, but definitely a situation I’m monitoring heading into the weekend.

The public is all over Seattle with 68% of the action on them thus far.

The public has likely written off the Raiders despite coming off a win against Denver. It was Las Vegas’ first win in one-score games after going 0-6 in such contests prior to Week 11.

The Raiders have played much better than their 3-7 record indicates, and are in play here at a key number like +3.5.

I’d wait and see if LT Kolton Miller suits up before placing this bet.

Pick: Raiders +3.5

 

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Bumping ….You really have to hold your nose with this card

May the best teams win.