This is why I rarely bet soccer

[djefferis]

So look at the games today - have a bit of free play to use up and think hey - maybe I try to put myself in position I can’t lose..

Bet cash on Newcastle ml - draw no action
Bet free play on the draw aro

No way Luton Town beats Newcastle at home today - and draw definitely possibility as Luton is playing decently (against inferior teams but still not losing)

Look at score in 60th minute - Luton has them 4-2 - after just being able to equalize right before half.

Now equal at 4-4 - this game is too unpredictable for me.

 

[quantumleap]

I can't tell you how many stories like this I've heard.

I remember one time a team scored a goal in extra time so I thought I won, right? Nope. The goal was disallowed after the game but the TV coverage didn't show it. That's just one example.

 

[djefferis]

Got damn lucky today I guess.

Played the game as I see very little I like on the college hoops card - a lot of great games - few I would bet.

Guess take a little of the free money and hope.

Tried to get fancy though - and almost burned me. Bet Luton Town 2nd half and then jumped back in with some Luton Town +1/2 after the equally 4.

Still - watched the goal that put visitors up at 2-3 and thought oh shit - then immediately saw lines move to -550 Luton and knew there was trouble. Feel bad for someone who got caught thinking no way they lose a 2 goal lead in this one.

 

[Wagerallsports]

I don't trust it I've seen far too many crazy, suspicious things

I've gotten destroyed betting soccer live

Teams up 1, 2, 3 goals and the other team hasn't scored for 80 minutes and then suddenly bam at the end of the game all of these goals are always scored and it suddenly tied or the other team wins

 

[djefferis]

Still - I like soccer and tennis to bet.

Typically less juice than “‘merican” sports

I know enough about the games to know who to watch/bet - but not so much that I get cocky thinking I know more than everyone else.

And typically low limits at rec books - so I can’t get burned too badly when I try something and it doesn’t go to plan.

 

[djefferis]

Yea - live betting is very much a trap in just about every sport.

Action junkies and guys trying to get even.

Only use it if something changed in my evaluation (injury/foul trouble) of a game and see the need to lock in a profit. Or can sometimes present what I feel will be arbitrage oops - I/E public over-reactions on a game I had no opinion on. Might chance bit to try and profit - but even that has been rare - little time to just sit and watch a game of late.

 

[Tanko]

I've not seen many make money on soccer betting long-term. None come to mind right now.
The 3 way lines just make the sport hard to bet and come out ahead.

Franz and Don Omaron are pretty good at it. I think wwurmeier might have some insights into the sport.

 

[jjgold]

Sports books love soccer players the margins are wide and the games are very unpredictable

 

[charliebrown]

90 + goals happen a lot because players start playing scared to lose at the end

 

[wwurmeier]

4-4 (2-2) may be the first time this HT/FT score combination ever happened in EPL

Embrace it, and bet the unlikely outcomes!

 

[djefferis]

And had Memphis ML as well today.

Sometimes the gambling gods are just sending you a message. Now to figure if it is quit or keep firing you can’t lose.

 

[jjgold]

How do the draws fair?

 

[lekidecincinnati]

I've not seen many make money on soccer betting long-term. None come to mind right now.
The 3 way lines just make the sport hard to bet and come out ahead.

Franz and Don Omaron are pretty good at it. I think wwurmeier might have some insights into the sport.

beating the 3 way line in soccer is hard because of the draw but betting totals and team totals is beatable if u have disclipline

 

[aikman.tr]

How do the draws fair?

Not well, Cleaned me out on early African Cup. Fuk

 

[thefix]

First thing, get the idea of no way out of your mouth when it comes to soccer, there is always a way. A red card is the great equalizer and the best teams have a much more crammed schedule than the lesser teams. With Champions League and Europa league coming up within weeks you can expect the big boys to rest some of their main players as winning their main leagues "regular season" matches won't matter nearly as much to them when these tourneys pay out big to advancers.

 

[KingKolzig]

Worst in soccer is o2 -135 and you get a goal 7th minute then it ends 1-0

 

[lekidecincinnati]

Worst in soccer is o2 -135 and you get a goal 7th minute then it ends 1-0

called the early goal curse, it's real

 

[KingKolzig]

called the early goal curse, it's real

Yep brutal feeling no chances on goal for 30 minutes easy

 

[wwurmeier]

called the early goal curse, it's real

You should have been betting the Asian Cup games. It's like half the goals are scored in injury time. Exactly the opposite of early goal curse!

 

[jjgold]

This thread is going to do the opposite. I might start playing it again just totals.