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djefferis

djefferis

Joined
Jan 8, 2024
Messages
3,939
So had 2 choices (didn’t realize it was a choice until I hit accept on the first - I stupidly thought I got both).

- $200 instant bonus bet (free play) on any $250 3 team parlay (min odds +300)

- $100 instant bonus bet on any $500 live bet (-250 odds)

Both good for up to 5 uses over the next 5 days.

So I thought I messed up as obviously easier to win 5 live bets at -250 than a 3 teamer even once. But now thinking I may have made the right choice. Take 5 parlays with a couple of heavy faves and a big dog to get me over +300 total odds. Hope my favorites win and scalp the dog for $250 elsewhere.

Sound like a valid strategy or any other suggestions on how to work this to my advantage ? Even with the “free” $100 on live - some of the juiced live lines kill the profit potential.
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
54,342
Hmmm.... Good thinking on how to play this out Djeff.

I would have initially jumped on option 2 (similar thought process to your post) but, i can see how you can capitalize on option 1.

GL
 

djefferis

djefferis

Joined
Jan 8, 2024
Messages
3,939
We will see how it goes

Figure take a couple of -1000 or better faves and +300 dog at tennis.

$250 parlay and a scalp on the fave the +300 dog is playing to win $250 (probably cost me around $1500 risk). Worst case the parlay hits and I lose $500. Shorter odds would help me here - but my goal is to win $200 free money and reasonably I should be able to do that 4/5 times id think worst case. $800 free play for $500 is still a profit.

Plus endears me to DK host - making them think I’m the exact kind of sucker they love to have playing and losing.
 

pipe

pipe

Joined
Aug 3, 2022
Messages
8,563
We will see how it goes

Figure take a couple of -1000 or better faves and +300 dog at tennis.

$250 parlay and a scalp on the fave the +300 dog is playing to win $250 (probably cost me around $1500 risk). Worst case the parlay hits and I lose $500. Shorter odds would help me here - but my goal is to win $200 free money and reasonably I should be able to do that 4/5 times id think worst case. $800 free play for $500 is still a profit.

Plus endears me to DK host - making them think I’m the exact kind of sucker they love to have playing and losing.
Slap em @djefferis
 

djefferis

djefferis

Joined
Jan 8, 2024
Messages
3,939
Will do - probably post them here in thread.

I’m thinking of just risking it - I mean worst case I lose and get all but $50 back and then scalp out a free play.

Maybe I get lucky on these and hit one or 2.

Got to find the right play - probably try to keep it to single games - total a prop or 2 on pitching seems to be the way to go.
 

djefferis

djefferis

Joined
Jan 8, 2024
Messages
3,939
So here’s play 1:

Colorado Rox ML
Rox/Guards u12.5
Kyle Freeman 5+ hits allowed

250 to win 1037.50 (+315)

Getting a crappy +148 on the Rox here - otherwise like the 2 props. Can’t see these 2 teams combining for a dozen runs and Freeman gives up 5 hits - either he gets knocked early or he stays in the game and gives up a half dozen.

Considered using a Kwan hit prop in place of Rox here.
 

djefferis

djefferis

Joined
Jan 8, 2024
Messages
3,939
A play so nice I made it twice with this offer:

- Emilio Nava winner
- Khachanov / Nava o2.5 sets
- Khachanov o 12.5 games

So IF Nava has a chance here - it’s going to be a 3 set affair - take the dog knowing he isn’t going to simply beat a -300 fave in straight sets.

+650 odds of this hits (250 gets you 1875)

Countered that with Khachanov -335 at BO for a grand. Either I win $500 and 2 - $200 free plays or I lose $100. IF Nava would win in straight sets of course - but risk I’ll take here for the chance of winning $500 (plus some easy freeplay).
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
54,342
So here’s play 1:

Colorado Rox ML
Rox/Guards u12.5
Kyle Freeman 5+ hits allowed

250 to win 1037.50 (+315)

Getting a crappy +148 on the Rox here - otherwise like the 2 props. Can’t see these 2 teams combining for a dozen runs and Freeman gives up 5 hits - either he gets knocked early or he stays in the game and gives up a half dozen.

Considered using a Kwan hit prop in place of Rox here.
Rockies just so hard to count on.
 

djefferis

djefferis

Joined
Jan 8, 2024
Messages
3,939
They’re all sucker plays but you have to take one. You never do anything involving favorites when it’s free wagers

Playing faves on freeplay is just telling a book your even stupider than they think you are.

Taking a less than even money payout on your risk - it’s like bridge jumping win bets in racing chasing 20 cents. Some fools will do anything to say they “won” gambling.
 

djefferis

djefferis

Joined
Jan 8, 2024
Messages
3,939
Play 4 was a loser - didn’t post as it was a live in play (Braves/o7.5/k prop) - but hit on the scalp of both the under and Reds.

So far 0-4 but 4 scalp out winners - so 4 risk free bets of $200 each.

1 more play - will look at tonight’s games - might wait until tomorrow.

Hopefully next week is a better promo - supposed to be a 10 week VIP preview period with new promo each week. In the last it’s been stuff like wager $2500 on tennis - get $500. Not great - but useful for scalping as underdogs usually competitively priced as they over juice the big faves being a square book.
 

djefferis

djefferis

Joined
Jan 8, 2024
Messages
3,939
Final play is in:

KC Royal ML
KC / Tor u10
Bo Bichette 1+ hit

If KC wins - it’s got to be low scoring.

Scalped with a $250 win bet on Toronto tonight.

$250 parlay +330 $250 to win 825

Risk 337.50 on the scalp - so either I win 487.50 - get my stake back and a $200 free play or I lose both and lose 587.50 and get a $200 free bet of Bichette can’t get a hit or KC wins in a slugfest. I like my chances betting against the worst case here.
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
54,342
Final play is in:

KC Royal ML
KC / Tor u10
Bo Bichette 1+ hit

If KC wins - it’s got to be low scoring.

Scalped with a $250 win bet on Toronto tonight.

$250 parlay +330 $250 to win 825

Risk 337.50 on the scalp - so either I win 487.50 - get my stake back and a $200 free play or I lose both and lose 587.50 and get a $200 free bet of Bichette can’t get a hit or KC wins in a slugfest. I like my chances betting against the worst case here.
Damn total got you Djeff.... 6 runs in the 9th inning screwed you.
Should have won.
 

djefferis

djefferis

Joined
Jan 8, 2024
Messages
3,939
Yea - should have been an easy winner and a nice little profit.

Double loss instead - that’s gambling, on to the next days games.

Still got a 1k free play to risk - thinking going against Skenes today on the road with Rox +170 or better.
 

djefferis

djefferis

Joined
Jan 8, 2024
Messages
3,939
Well - last promo went ok (still sore about missing out on that final 3 teamer with a 6 run 9th).

Successfully scalped my $800 bonus bets.

Today got a real nice one - 30% free bet on next deposit up to 10k. Only requirement is a single play through at -250 (so risk 10k on wager(s) at a price of -250 or less to earn 3k bonus bets).

Bonus bets paid in 5 bets of $600 each.

Couldn’t let that one go - I’m honestly cutting way back betting wise - but a free $3,000 in unrestricted free play at a site that over values dogs is too good to pass on.

Curious to see if they extend anything to me when my 10 week “trial period” is over - as I’m clearly only taking them on bonuses and not playing there without a promo. Hopefully they re-extend something like this as football starts up as could easily cash a few more of these gimmes and sit back and enjoy a little recreational football action without risking any of my own money.
 
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