Lines tell you what the bookmaker is thinking.
Line movements tell me what OTHERS are thinking.
My own feel tells me which way to go based on that info.
Reacting to others is just blindly following and hoping to find your way to a winner. How much blind faith do you have in others? If someone whose opinion I value suggest a side - I look at it and if it makes sense to me - I bet.
I don’t trust “
sharps” and more than the public”. Coin flip is just as accurate. Line moves only tell me which way bets are leaning or the tolerance a book is willing to accept on an event. Obviously - smaller wager pools both higher tolerance by the book and higher susceptibility to manipulation.