BMR Social
- Joined
- Apr 4, 2022
- Messages
- 237
By: Doug Upstone
Congrats to LeBron James for becoming the NBA’s all-time scoring leader. One problem, his team still stinks. Aaron Rodgers is going away, unfortunately not for good in many people's eyes. We also have news on Kyrie Irving and Derek Carr and our top trends, free picks, and betting system.
Starting Thursday the Waste Management Phoenix Open is in Scottsdale and there is no bigger party on a golf course than this tournament.
There is a new king in the NBA when it comes to scoring and it is King LeBron James, surpassing Kareem Abdul-Jabbar. While James has his detractors, his accomplishments rank him among a very select few as the best in the sport.
Among the easiest prop bets of the season was James Over 32.5 points, which was wrapped up in the third quarter.
Also, not unexpectedly, the Lakers are so bad defensively that Oklahoma City won as 6.5-point underdogs over the King on his court.
Sometimes we get why bettors hate the NBA. On Sunday, Denver, who has the best record in Western Conference, one game behind Boston, didn’t suit up four starters in Minnesota because of “injuries”. Nuggets bettors were left with losing tickets at whatever price in a 30-point blowout.
Two days later at Mile High, all four Denver players made a ‘remarkable’ recovery in 48 hours and were able to play as the Nuggets destroyed the same Timberwolves by 34. When you are among the best teams in the sport, should you have some consideration for the fans to at least try to win?
On Tuesday night, various teams with the label – You Never Know What You Will Get – were in action.
Connecticut was the No. 1 in the country in late December and had gone 4-6 since. Last evening they buried Marquette at home 87-72 as a 4.5-point home favorite. That knocked the Golden Eagles out of first place in the Big East and gave Huskies fans hope for the future.
Preseason No.1 North Carolina trailed 47-25 at Wake Forest in a game that was a Pick. The Tar Heels are 16-9 and clearly on the bubble.
Dayton has been an awful road team all year at 3-8 SU and ATS and all they did was go to first place VCU and upset them 62-58.
Lastly, Kentucky was sort of getting back in the good graces of their fans and basketball bettors. Skip that as they were dreadful in an embarrassing 88-73 home loss to Arkansas as a five-point fave.
Make sure to follow our daily Super Bowl 57 coverage as we have 20+ articles published thus far and the latest are skill position breakdowns, parlay wagers, and betting strategy!
Tonight, ESPN has the 76ers vs. Celtics and later the Mavericks vs. Clippers. Plus, we have other betting articles and free picks that will interest you. On Thursday, TNT has the spotlight with the Bulls vs. the revamped Nets and Bucks vs. Lakers.
Wednesday offers several fascinating matchups like Florida vs. Alabama (ESPN2), Tennessee vs. Vanderbilt (SECN), and Iowa State vs. West Virginia (ESPN2). Return Thursday for our Best Bets and Iowa vs. No. 1 Purdue (ESPN2).
There are just two tilts on the Hump Day docket and TNT has one of them, the Wild vs. Stars. The next day Tampa Bay tries to end a two-game skid when they host Colorado on ESPN. Additionally, we’ll have both free best bets.
Aaron Rodgers learned well how to create drama out of nothing from his Packers predecessor Brett Favre. Rodgers hasn’t told Green Bay his intentions for next season but has told the world he’s going on a darkness retreat to find answers.
This writer still has plenty of Wisconsin connections from when he lived there and I can tell you the vast majority want to move on from Rodgers's continual drama, even if Jordan Love is half the QB Rodgers is.
Now that Irving was traded to Dallas he shared with us he felt “disrespected” at times by Brooklyn management. This was by a player who needed time off during the season because he had “things to do” and any number of on-court and off-court issues. The Mavericks can now enjoy his company.
Derek Carr’s name has bubbled up in going to New Orleans, who has talent on both sides of the ball.
With how the Raiders discarded him, Carr could refuse a trade there, even if he wants to go, wait until a week from today and collect 40 million from his former team and sign a new deal with the Saints. Keep an eye on this one.
Renowned gambler Billy Walters is releasing a book, which is not available until August, but he’s already drumming up the buzz and has a lot to say which you can look for.
Play On on Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points like Florida after going under the total by 42 or more total points in their last five games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%), playing a winning team. Teams like the Gators are 36-12 ATS in this spot since 2018.
Having worked in the golf business for over 25 years and attending several tournaments including a few majors, I can tell you there is nothing like the Phoenix Open. It is rowdy, fun, and a people-watching event and there is golf also. Here is a taste of it.
Because of changes in the PGA Tour, they have 18 of the top 20 players in this year’s field which is arguably their best-ever field. Here are the current betting odds, which will vary by US betting site.
Favorites
Highest Ticket (%)
Highest Handle (%)
Look for me Saturday among the 200,000+ people.
The latest info I could find has Tails running at 55% because… no idea.
Line movement (Open to Latest)
Highest Ticket (%)
In the NBA tonight, Utah completes their five-game homestand looking to finish with a winning record when they host Minnesota. Utah is below .500 for the first time this season at 28-29 and is a 5.5-point favorite. The betting public (tickets) is backing Utah at a 57% clip as of 02:30 PM EST.
The Timberwolves are off a 34-point loss at Denver last evening, which was a bad way to start a four-game road trip, yet, 67% of the money is on the visitor. What side would you choose?
Let’s get some winners! See you back here Friday.
About The Author: My name, as it shows, is Doug Upstone and I come from where this website originated going back to 2007/08 when I was doing videos with Peter Loshak for years. Having been a sports betting writer since 2005, I was hired by this company in 2011 and have continued to do that now at BMR. If you Google my name, you will find I have been in the sports betting industry since 2002 and betting sports long before then.
The move to the Forum is an exciting one. I've been in plenty of them in the past and though not all the experiences were positive, all I ask is to treat me and others with respect and I’ll do the same. I’ll try to be informative to help you and maybe have a few laughs along the way.
Congrats to LeBron James for becoming the NBA’s all-time scoring leader. One problem, his team still stinks. Aaron Rodgers is going away, unfortunately not for good in many people's eyes. We also have news on Kyrie Irving and Derek Carr and our top trends, free picks, and betting system.
Starting Thursday the Waste Management Phoenix Open is in Scottsdale and there is no bigger party on a golf course than this tournament.
About Last Night…
NBA
There is a new king in the NBA when it comes to scoring and it is King LeBron James, surpassing Kareem Abdul-Jabbar. While James has his detractors, his accomplishments rank him among a very select few as the best in the sport.
Among the easiest prop bets of the season was James Over 32.5 points, which was wrapped up in the third quarter.
Also, not unexpectedly, the Lakers are so bad defensively that Oklahoma City won as 6.5-point underdogs over the King on his court.
Sometimes we get why bettors hate the NBA. On Sunday, Denver, who has the best record in Western Conference, one game behind Boston, didn’t suit up four starters in Minnesota because of “injuries”. Nuggets bettors were left with losing tickets at whatever price in a 30-point blowout.
Two days later at Mile High, all four Denver players made a ‘remarkable’ recovery in 48 hours and were able to play as the Nuggets destroyed the same Timberwolves by 34. When you are among the best teams in the sport, should you have some consideration for the fans to at least try to win?
NCAAB
On Tuesday night, various teams with the label – You Never Know What You Will Get – were in action.
Connecticut was the No. 1 in the country in late December and had gone 4-6 since. Last evening they buried Marquette at home 87-72 as a 4.5-point home favorite. That knocked the Golden Eagles out of first place in the Big East and gave Huskies fans hope for the future.
Preseason No.1 North Carolina trailed 47-25 at Wake Forest in a game that was a Pick. The Tar Heels are 16-9 and clearly on the bubble.
Dayton has been an awful road team all year at 3-8 SU and ATS and all they did was go to first place VCU and upset them 62-58.
Lastly, Kentucky was sort of getting back in the good graces of their fans and basketball bettors. Skip that as they were dreadful in an embarrassing 88-73 home loss to Arkansas as a five-point fave.
Trendy Talk
Super Bowl
- Kansas City is 13-1 against the moneyline in non-conference games the last three seasons.
- Philadelphia is 9-2 against the moneyline after a win by 14 or more points the last two seasons.
- Kansas City is 0-7 ATS after one or more wins against the spread this season.
- Philadelphia is 0-6 ATS in away games off two or more consecutive Unders.
- Kansas City is 9-2 Under after two or more consecutive wins this season.
- Philadelphia is 6-0 Over after covering the spread in two out of their last three games this season.
NBA
- Houston is 4-20 ATS in home games after two straight losses by 10 points or more.
- Philadelphia is 13-3 ATS revenging a loss where the opponent scored 100 or more points this season.
- Miami is 11-24 ATS as a favorite.
- L.A. Clippers are 20-5 Under in home games this campaign.
NCAAB
- Nebraska is 0-15 ATS in road games after failing to cover eight or more of their last 10 against the spread.
- Notre Dame is 0-9 ATS having lost two of their last three games.
- Furman is 10-0 ATS versus teams who average 6 or less steals a game on the season after 15+ games the last two seasons.
- Mississippi St. is 16-1 Under as a favorite.
- Texas Tech is 10-0 Over versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3-point shots a game.
NHL
- Vancouver is 2-12 off a road loss this season.
- Minnesota is 5-14 in road games after allowing two goals or more in the third period of the last game.
- Seattle is 11-4 (+13.5 Units) as a road underdog of +100 to +200 this season. (Thursday)
- San Jose is 0-9 playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season. (Thursday)
What to Watch For and Win (Hopefully)
Super Bowl
Make sure to follow our daily Super Bowl 57 coverage as we have 20+ articles published thus far and the latest are skill position breakdowns, parlay wagers, and betting strategy!
NBA
Tonight, ESPN has the 76ers vs. Celtics and later the Mavericks vs. Clippers. Plus, we have other betting articles and free picks that will interest you. On Thursday, TNT has the spotlight with the Bulls vs. the revamped Nets and Bucks vs. Lakers.
NCAAB
Wednesday offers several fascinating matchups like Florida vs. Alabama (ESPN2), Tennessee vs. Vanderbilt (SECN), and Iowa State vs. West Virginia (ESPN2). Return Thursday for our Best Bets and Iowa vs. No. 1 Purdue (ESPN2).
NHL
There are just two tilts on the Hump Day docket and TNT has one of them, the Wild vs. Stars. The next day Tampa Bay tries to end a two-game skid when they host Colorado on ESPN. Additionally, we’ll have both free best bets.
The Buzz
NBA – Aaron Rodgers Is Going Dark
Aaron Rodgers learned well how to create drama out of nothing from his Packers predecessor Brett Favre. Rodgers hasn’t told Green Bay his intentions for next season but has told the world he’s going on a darkness retreat to find answers.
This writer still has plenty of Wisconsin connections from when he lived there and I can tell you the vast majority want to move on from Rodgers's continual drama, even if Jordan Love is half the QB Rodgers is.
NBA – Kyrie Irving a Victim? Really?
Now that Irving was traded to Dallas he shared with us he felt “disrespected” at times by Brooklyn management. This was by a player who needed time off during the season because he had “things to do” and any number of on-court and off-court issues. The Mavericks can now enjoy his company.
NFL – Carr in LOLA?
Derek Carr’s name has bubbled up in going to New Orleans, who has talent on both sides of the ball.
With how the Raiders discarded him, Carr could refuse a trade there, even if he wants to go, wait until a week from today and collect 40 million from his former team and sign a new deal with the Saints. Keep an eye on this one.
WNBA – Defending Champion Las Vegas Under Investigation?
Gambling – Billy Walters Book
Renowned gambler Billy Walters is releasing a book, which is not available until August, but he’s already drumming up the buzz and has a lot to say which you can look for.
Top Betting System
NCAAB – Florida (+10) vs. Alabama
Play On on Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points like Florida after going under the total by 42 or more total points in their last five games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%), playing a winning team. Teams like the Gators are 36-12 ATS in this spot since 2018.
Out the Door
NFL – Crazy Numbers on Patrick Mahomes and Chiefs
Golf – Waste Management Phoenix Open
Having worked in the golf business for over 25 years and attending several tournaments including a few majors, I can tell you there is nothing like the Phoenix Open. It is rowdy, fun, and a people-watching event and there is golf also. Here is a taste of it.
Because of changes in the PGA Tour, they have 18 of the top 20 players in this year’s field which is arguably their best-ever field. Here are the current betting odds, which will vary by US betting site.
Favorites
- Jon Rahm +750
- Rory McIlroy +800
- Scottie Scheffler +1200
Highest Ticket (%)
- Xander Schauffele 7.2%
- Collin Morikawa 7.0%
- Justin Thomas 6.6%
Highest Handle (%)
- Schauffele 12%
- Morikawa 11%
- JT 9%
Look for me Saturday among the 200,000+ people.
Super Bowl – Heads or Tails?
The latest info I could find has Tails running at 55% because… no idea.
Super Bowl - Super Bowl MVP
Line movement (Open to Latest)
- Jalen Hurts +650, +135
- Patrick Mahomes +400, +135
Highest Ticket (%)
- Mahomes 10.9%
- Travis Kelce 10.8%
- Hurts 10.4%
Super Bowl Fodder – There Will Be More
- Kansas City is 8-11 ATS on the season. They are the 6th team to reach the Super Bowl with a losing ATS record. And the previous five teams went 1-4 SU and 1-4 ATS in the Super Bowl. (Thanks to @ESPNStatsInfo)
- Philadelphia is currently a -125 money-line favorite at most of the best sportsbooks over Kansas City and the favorite is 36-20 in the Super Bowl.
- For Super Bowl 57, the Chiefs will wear white and the Eagles will wear green jerseys. For what it is worth, the team wearing white has won 15 of the last 18 big games.
- There have been six previous quarterbacks that made the Super Bowl after leading the NFL in passing that season. Each lost the Big Game. Will Patrick Mahomes be the next victim?
- The winning team has not trailed in the first quarter of the last dozen games.
- The shortest touchdown was Under 1.5 yds in 6 of the 7 contests.
Who Is Right?
In the NBA tonight, Utah completes their five-game homestand looking to finish with a winning record when they host Minnesota. Utah is below .500 for the first time this season at 28-29 and is a 5.5-point favorite. The betting public (tickets) is backing Utah at a 57% clip as of 02:30 PM EST.
The Timberwolves are off a 34-point loss at Denver last evening, which was a bad way to start a four-game road trip, yet, 67% of the money is on the visitor. What side would you choose?
Let’s get some winners! See you back here Friday.
About The Author: My name, as it shows, is Doug Upstone and I come from where this website originated going back to 2007/08 when I was doing videos with Peter Loshak for years. Having been a sports betting writer since 2005, I was hired by this company in 2011 and have continued to do that now at BMR. If you Google my name, you will find I have been in the sports betting industry since 2002 and betting sports long before then.
The move to the Forum is an exciting one. I've been in plenty of them in the past and though not all the experiences were positive, all I ask is to treat me and others with respect and I’ll do the same. I’ll try to be informative to help you and maybe have a few laughs along the way.
- A perfect song for Rogers 4 days darkness retreat.
