BMR Social
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- Apr 4, 2022
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By: Doug Upstone
We will just tell the truth, we are all in for college basketball and March Madness just like we are on Fridays during the football season. Enjoy.
About Last Night…
March Madness
Right out of the box, we got a two-point game with Maryland and West Virginia. That was followed by the amazing upset of No. 13 Furman over No. 4 Virginia. At least from the betting perspective, not an upset in the context of the point spread, as Furman +5.5 was the most heavily wagered underdog.Next to go was #2 Arizona giving 15 points to #15 Princeton and losing outright. The Wildcats were considered in some circles as possible national championship candidates but they were as soft as Charim in the upset. This is three straight years for a #15 to win, the first time in tournament history.
The bad beat of the day and possibly the tournament was Charleston at +5.5 to San Diego State. Charleston had at least half a dozen shots from inside seven feet that were in and out and a late phantom foul call in the final two minutes cost them two points. And finally, a missed shot that was rebounded by the Aztecs in which a jump ball should have or could have been called and instead whistled a foul with 0.7 seconds, which had no impact on the outcome was called. San Diego State made a pair of free throws for the cover. If you had the Aztecs, that made your week.
Tennessee doesn’t look long for this tourney, hanging on to beat Louisiana 58-55 as 11.5-point favorites.
Penn State drilled Texas A&M by 17 and is now 8-0 ATS in all tournament games this season. Next up for the Nittany Lions is Texas.
NBA
Denver had lost four in a row and after three quarters was tied with lowly Detroit as 15-point road underdogs. The Nuggets were ready to experience a sixth straight against the spread loss.What happened? Denver finally decides to play and outscores the outmanned Pistons 33-14 for a very unlikely victory against the betting odds.
Trendy Talk
NCAAB
- Kent St. is 17-3 ATS after a game where they covered the spread.
- Connecticut is 10-1 ATS in non-conference games this season.
- Drake is 1-10 ATS in a postseason tournament game.
- Kentucky is 1-8 ATS versus teams making 45% or more of their shots this season.
- Grand Canyon is 10-0 Over vs. teams outscoring their opponents by 8+ points a game.
- San Diego St. is 9-0 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3-point shots a game after 15+ games this season.
- Penn St. is 8-0 ATS in all tournament games this season.
- Tennessee is 4-13 ATS when seeded #4 or higher in the NCAA tournament.
NBA
- Charlotte is 6-20 ATS versus 3-point shooting teams making 36% or more of their attempts this season.
- Dallas is 7-21 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record.
- Golden State is 24-7 Over in road games this season.
- San Antonio is 17-6 ATS having lost two of their last three games.
NHL
- Buffalo is 11-2 revenging a home loss of two goals or more.
- St. Louis is 3-15 after a blowout loss by three goals or more in their previous game.
- Calgary is 1-9 (-17.6 Units) having won four or five of their last six games.
- Florida is 0-9 revenging a home loss this season.
What to Watch For and Win (Hopefully)
March Madness
It is time to wrap up the 1st Round on Friday and move ahead to the weekend for the 2nd round of weekend action. Rest assured we will have it all covered with game breakdowns and free March Madness picks at your disposal.NBA
Look for our best bets and top props this weekend.NHL
Carolina and Toronto do battle in a big conflict on Friday.Soccer
Review this weekend’s European soccer best bets and top props.UFC
Top parlay and props for UFC 286 this weekend.XFL
Week 5 continues after Houston’s first loss of the season with three more games for you to consider on wagering.MLB
We’re just 13 days away from the start of another great season of baseball and we keep adding new material and free MLB picks for you to get you ready for spring and summer of betting action.The Buzz
Sports Betting
Let’s just be honest, you might find some other sports to bet on this weekend, but your mood will be determined by how you do with your college basketball picks.MLB – Don’t Blame the WBC
It was just horrible to see the New York Mets lose closer Edwin Díaz to a torn patellar tendon Tuesday. There are those who feel this was an unnecessary injury because it probably doesn’t happen if Diaz isn’t celebrating with his teammates.Nonetheless, it was a freak injury and anything can happen at any time, ask the Dodgers' Gavin Lux and you just have to move on.
Top Betting System
NCAAB – Florida Atlantic vs. Memphis (-1.5)
Play on neutral court teams as a favorite like Memphis after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, against an opponent after beating the spread by 54 or more points total in their last ten games. Teams like the Tigers are a sensational 23-3 ATS in this spot, winning by 10.9 PPG.Out The Door
March Madness – History Lesson
March Madness
It sure seemed odd that Arizona and Virginia head coaches in their press conferences were smiling and talking about “these things happen”. Every bettor we know takes losses hard and is not philosophical about them.What Bettors Like – Play or Fade?
NBA Top 5 Bets by Percentage - Highest First (17-18 record, 3-7 run)
- Lakers
- 76ers
- Bulls
- Hawks
- Cavaliers
NCAAB Top 6 Bets by Percentage - Highest First (29-17-1 record)
Because of the timing of this article, Friday is only night games- Gonzaga
- Grand Canyon/Gonzaga Over
- Memphis
- Duke
- Alabama
- UCLA
NHL Top 3 Bets by Percentage - Highest First (14-16 record)
- Sabres
- Capitals
- Blue Jackets/Ducks Over
