BMR Social
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By: Doug Upstone
Atlanta waited several days to fire their head coach Nate McMillan, but we are guessing he already knew as we explain. Four first-place teams in college basketball did what they were supposed to last night and won despite what the odds said.
The Oilers Connor McDavid joined an elite list Tuesday. Alabama men’s basketball hopes of reaching the Final Four are not gone, yet, they have entered an unsavory spot. This and all the usual fun betting material for you!
Akron was catching four points at first place Toledo and more than 85% of both public and sharp-money college basketball picks were on the Zips. Instead, the Rockets rocketed by Akron 84-63 and they took sole possession of the MAC lead.
Marquette owned the top spot in the Big East and went to Omaha to face a white-hot Creighton club. The Bluejays had a small majority of the wagers against the NCAAB odds, but it was the Golden Eagles at +6.5 that won 73-71 in an excellent battle.
Texas hosting Iowa State appeared to be the classic sell high (Longhorns) at -7.5, vs. buying low (Cyclones) +7.5. However, the Horns superior offense opened up an 18-point first-half lead thanks to a blizzard of nine 3’s and they coasted in 72-54 to remain tied with Kansas atop the Big 12.
This also happened in the same play.
Thursday will bring five more contests reviewed from every angle including a Pac-12 pair between USC vs. Colorado (ESPN) and UCLA vs. Utah (FS1).
Yesterday, local law enforcement reports have Alabama star Brandon Miller giving a gun to then-teammate Darius Miles, who gave it to Michael Lynn Davis, who is charged with murdering Jamea Jonae Harris, on Jan. 15.
Tuscaloosa chief deputy district attorney Paula Whitley told AL.com there’s “nothing we could charge (Miller) with.”
Alabama head coach Nate Oats was asked about Miller’s involvement, saying a team “can’t control what anybody does outside of practice” and that Miller was in the “wrong spot at the wrong time.”
Those puzzling comments were later walked back by Oats, but it was too late. Curious about where this story goes from here and what it will mean to Bama basketball.
With Atlanta having played last Wednesday, it seemed odd it took them six days to fire Nate McMillan. The Hawks after losing 8 of 13, are 29-30 and 8th in the Eastern Conference.
It was not a secret McMillan and Atlanta’s star player Trae Young were not on the same page. My best guess is the NBA told the Hawks to wait until after the All-Star weekend to not steal any headlines.
This rare system is 35-10 ATS over the past two decades and clubs like the Jaguars wing by an average of 8.4 PPG.
Favorites
• Sungjae Im (+850)
• Shane Lowry (+1600)
• Aaron Wise (+2200)
• Chris Kirk (+2500)
Many of the top players are taking this week off, which seems obvious.
MLB – Betting Baseball
I’ve written my first baseball article of 2023.
Living in the Phoenix area, I go to several Spring Training games and try to see every team once. (There are 15).
Thursday at BMR, I’ll have the first of six division betting previews starting with the AL Central. After completing this one, the thing I cannot get out of my head is that 39-year-old Zack Greinke is the Royals’ No. 2 starter going into the season.
Let’s get some winners! See you back here Friday.
Atlanta waited several days to fire their head coach Nate McMillan, but we are guessing he already knew as we explain. Four first-place teams in college basketball did what they were supposed to last night and won despite what the odds said.
The Oilers Connor McDavid joined an elite list Tuesday. Alabama men’s basketball hopes of reaching the Final Four are not gone, yet, they have entered an unsavory spot. This and all the usual fun betting material for you!
About Last Night…
NCAAB
On Tuesday we saw multiple examples of the cream rising to the top in college basketball. VCU garnered less than 40% of bets made against St. Joseph’s as 5.5-point road favorites and the Rams hammered the Hawks 88-63 to maintain their lead in the A-10.Akron was catching four points at first place Toledo and more than 85% of both public and sharp-money college basketball picks were on the Zips. Instead, the Rockets rocketed by Akron 84-63 and they took sole possession of the MAC lead.
Marquette owned the top spot in the Big East and went to Omaha to face a white-hot Creighton club. The Bluejays had a small majority of the wagers against the NCAAB odds, but it was the Golden Eagles at +6.5 that won 73-71 in an excellent battle.
Texas hosting Iowa State appeared to be the classic sell high (Longhorns) at -7.5, vs. buying low (Cyclones) +7.5. However, the Horns superior offense opened up an 18-point first-half lead thanks to a blizzard of nine 3’s and they coasted in 72-54 to remain tied with Kansas atop the Big 12.
NHL
Edmonton’s Connor McDavid reached 800 career points in his 545th career game in his team’s 4-2 win (-320) over Philadelphia. That is the 5th-fewest games to reach 800 career points in NHL history after Hall of Famers Wayne Gretzky (352), Mario Lemieux (410), Mike Bossy (525), and Peter St’astny (531) according to ESPN Stats & Info.This also happened in the same play.
Trendy Talk
NCAAB
- Ole Miss is 0-9 ATS having lost 3 of their last 4 games this season.
- Georgia St. is 0-9 ATS after two straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds.
- Cincinnati is 8-0 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more three-point shots a game on the season
- Loyola-Chic. is 0-9 ATS in a home game when the total is 135 to 139.5.
- Illinois St. is 12-1 Over when playing against a team with a winning record.
- Butler is 13-2 Under as an underdog this season.
NHL
- Chicago is 1-18 in road games against goalies saving 91.5% or more of shots.
- Arizona is 10-6 (+17.4 Units) in home games against teams averaging 5 or more assists per game.
- Winnipeg is 18-3 Under after three or more consecutive Unders.
NBA (All Thursday)
- Boston is 1-11 ATS revenging a straight-up loss as a favorite.
- Oklahoma City is 12-1 ATS versus teams forcing 13 or fewer turnovers a game.
- San Antonio is 2-12 ATS after six or more consecutive losses this season.
- Golden State is 21-5 Over in road games this season.
- Indiana is 9-0 Over as a home underdog of 6.5 to 12 points the last two seasons.
What to Watch For and Win (Hopefully)
NCAAB
For your Hump Day, five games in all are covered including Top 20 teams Providence vs. Connecticut (FS1) and Kentucky vs. Florida.Thursday will bring five more contests reviewed from every angle including a Pac-12 pair between USC vs. Colorado (ESPN) and UCLA vs. Utah (FS1).
NHL
Besides our daily best picks and our top player props, we break down the Blackhawks vs. Stars (TNT) Wednesday and Flames vs. Golden Knights (ESPN) Thursday.NBA
The Association is back Thursday and TNT has two intriguing matchups, the Grizzlies vs. 76ers and Warriors vs. Lakers. This and our best NBA picks and top props.Golf
The PGA Tour heads to Florida after being out west for the Honda Classic. Review our best bets and top prop picks.The Buzz
NCAAB – Alabama Hoops Star In the Wrong Spotlight
Every year now or in early March, something happens to a team that is considered a Final 4 finalist. Normally, it is an injury that alters the trajectory of a team.Yesterday, local law enforcement reports have Alabama star Brandon Miller giving a gun to then-teammate Darius Miles, who gave it to Michael Lynn Davis, who is charged with murdering Jamea Jonae Harris, on Jan. 15.
Tuscaloosa chief deputy district attorney Paula Whitley told AL.com there’s “nothing we could charge (Miller) with.”
Alabama head coach Nate Oats was asked about Miller’s involvement, saying a team “can’t control what anybody does outside of practice” and that Miller was in the “wrong spot at the wrong time.”
Those puzzling comments were later walked back by Oats, but it was too late. Curious about where this story goes from here and what it will mean to Bama basketball.
NBA – Atlanta Fires Head Coach
With Atlanta having played last Wednesday, it seemed odd it took them six days to fire Nate McMillan. The Hawks after losing 8 of 13, are 29-30 and 8th in the Eastern Conference.
It was not a secret McMillan and Atlanta’s star player Trae Young were not on the same page. My best guess is the NBA told the Hawks to wait until after the All-Star weekend to not steal any headlines.
Top Betting System
NCAAB – South Alabama (-2.5) at Texas State
Play on road favorites like South Alabama off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%), playing a marginal losing team.This rare system is 35-10 ATS over the past two decades and clubs like the Jaguars wing by an average of 8.4 PPG.
Out the Door
Golf – Betting Odds for the Honda Classic
Favorites
• Sungjae Im (+850)
• Shane Lowry (+1600)
• Aaron Wise (+2200)
• Chris Kirk (+2500)
Many of the top players are taking this week off, which seems obvious.
MLB – Betting Baseball
I’ve written my first baseball article of 2023.
Living in the Phoenix area, I go to several Spring Training games and try to see every team once. (There are 15).
Thursday at BMR, I’ll have the first of six division betting previews starting with the AL Central. After completing this one, the thing I cannot get out of my head is that 39-year-old Zack Greinke is the Royals’ No. 2 starter going into the season.
What Bettors Like – Play or Fade?
NCAAB Top 5 Bets by Percentage - Highest First (7-3-1 record)
- Auburn
- Vanderbilt
- Syracuse/Clemson Over
- Duquesne
- James Madison
NHL Top 2 Bets by Percentage - Highest First (4-5 record)
- Stars
- Flames/Coyotes Over
Let’s get some winners! See you back here Friday.
