BMR Social
- Joined
- Apr 4, 2022
- Messages
- 237
By: Doug Upstone
The first day of a long baseball season is in the books and we cover various elements that featured some surprising outcomes. The Final Four for both the men’s and women’s tournaments are ready to go and we talk about what to look for.
Also, make sure to review all the latest betting trends for this upcoming weekend along with free picks.
Among the newsworthy betting items, the team that scores five runs first wins 91% to 92% of the time in MLB and the Phillies had a 5-0 lead on Texas. Next, the Rangers had their biggest inning of the season (just seeing if you are paying attention) and scored nine runs, and cruised to an 11-7 victory.
The Blue Jays and Cardinals had a 10-9 slugfest as both bullpens had issues until Toronto's Jordan Romano slammed the door on St. Louis in the bottom of the 9th inning.
There were also several zeros on the scoreboard with five teams pitching shutouts which brought this newsworthy item to the forefront.
The more things change the more they stay the same as Shohei Ohtani pitched six scoreless innings allowing two hits and striking out 10. The Angels could only muster one run and they gave up two to Oakland in the bottom of the eight and lost 2-1. What else is new about the Halos?
Finally, the Chicago White Sox ended Houston’s 10-game opening game win streak (and 10-0 in home openers) with their 3-2 triumph. That leaves the Astros tied with the Boston Beaneaters (1887-96) for the longest streak in MLB history, according to ESPN Stats and Info.
Before placing a bet on Boston to win the Stanley Cup, know that only eight of 36 President’s Cup winners have captured the hardware.
How about that for a tongue twister?
Since 2012, favorites are 16-6 SU, but 9-12-1 ATS.
In 17 of the previous 18 Final Fours, one of the two favorites went on to become national champions. Nine years ago, Connecticut as a 6.5-point underdog stunned Florida as the lone exception.
Miami is 9-2 ATS this season as an underdog and 33-12 ATS as underdogs in the past three seasons. Just keep in mind also that UConn is 15-0 and 14-1 ATS outside the Big East this year.
The first day of a long baseball season is in the books and we cover various elements that featured some surprising outcomes. The Final Four for both the men’s and women’s tournaments are ready to go and we talk about what to look for.
Also, make sure to review all the latest betting trends for this upcoming weekend along with free picks.
About Last Night…
MLB
For the first time since 1968, every team played on Opening Day and favorites were 9-6 with Over’s 8-7.Among the newsworthy betting items, the team that scores five runs first wins 91% to 92% of the time in MLB and the Phillies had a 5-0 lead on Texas. Next, the Rangers had their biggest inning of the season (just seeing if you are paying attention) and scored nine runs, and cruised to an 11-7 victory.
The Blue Jays and Cardinals had a 10-9 slugfest as both bullpens had issues until Toronto's Jordan Romano slammed the door on St. Louis in the bottom of the 9th inning.
There were also several zeros on the scoreboard with five teams pitching shutouts which brought this newsworthy item to the forefront.
The more things change the more they stay the same as Shohei Ohtani pitched six scoreless innings allowing two hits and striking out 10. The Angels could only muster one run and they gave up two to Oakland in the bottom of the eight and lost 2-1. What else is new about the Halos?
Finally, the Chicago White Sox ended Houston’s 10-game opening game win streak (and 10-0 in home openers) with their 3-2 triumph. That leaves the Astros tied with the Boston Beaneaters (1887-96) for the longest streak in MLB history, according to ESPN Stats and Info.
NBA
In what was supposed to be the best remaining games in the regular season, Boston mauled Milwaukee 140-99. The Celtics were two-point road underdogs and were 22 for 43 from behind the arc. And the C’s accomplished a rare feat.NHL
Though pushed to OT by Columbus as ginormous -470 ML home favorites, Boston won and clinched the Presidents' Trophy, set the franchise record with 58 wins in a season and tied 1970-71 Bruins for most points in Boston history at 121, with still seven games to play.Before placing a bet on Boston to win the Stanley Cup, know that only eight of 36 President’s Cup winners have captured the hardware.
NIT
Congrats to the best defense in college basketball, North Texas, who won the NIT over conference rival UAB 68-61 as 2.5-point underdogs. The Mean Green held its last nine opponents to a suffocating 33.3% shooting.TRENDY TALK
NBA
- San Antonio is 1-14 ATS against Pacific division opponents this season.
- Minnesota is 2-10 ATS as a home favorite of six points or less this season.
- Boston is 19-6 Over when playing on back-to-back days the last two seasons.
- Charlotte is 14-3 Under playing against a team with a losing record in the 2nd half of the season.
NCAAB
- Florida Atlantic is 11-2 ATS in non-conference games this season.
- San Diego St. is 6-0 ATS after allowing 65 points or less in three straight games this season.
- Miami is 7-1 ATS in away games versus teams making 45% or more of their shots after 15+ games this season.
- Connecticut is 8-1 ATS in all neutral court games this season.
- San Diego St. is 7-0 Under in a neutral court game when the total is 130 to 139.5.
- Connecticut is 7-0 Over after allowing 55 points or less this season.
NHL
- Calgary is 2-10 (-18.4 Units) after a two-game unbeaten streak.
- Arizona is 7-2 (+9.4 Units) in home games after a close loss by one goal in their previous game.
- Winnipeg is 23-4 Under after three or more consecutive Unders this season.
- Buffalo is 2-12 in home games versus teams outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals a game.
MLB
- Miami is 10-28 as a home underdog of +100 or higher.
- Houston is 18-7 Under after a loss by two runs or less.
- Seattle is 13-4 vs. Cleveland the past three years including 7-2at home.
- San Francisco is 4-18 (-18.3 Units) after scoring one run or less. (Saturday)
- St. Louis is 30-12 when the money line is -100 to -150. (Saturday)
What to Watch For and Win (Hopefully)
NBA
Review all of our best bets and top props for Friday and the the rest of weekend.FINAL FOUR
We have complete game breakdowns on Saturday’s Final Four matchups along with other key betting trends.MLB
With Opening Day out of the way, baseball will begin to settle in and over the next few days we’ll have our best bets and sharp prop plays.NHL
Tonight we have a key matchup in the Eastern Conference with the Rangers vs. Sabres. This weekend will also include top free picks and props bets.SOCCER
This Weekend's European soccer best bets and the top props are available right now.XFL
It is Week 7 in the XFL and we broke down all the key games for you.Horse Racing
One of the big Kentucky Derby prep races is Saturday, the 2023 Florida Derby and we’ll tell you what horses to consider.The Buzz
MLB – Shifty Numbers
It’s only the first day of the season, but ground balls in play for Opening Day had a .267 batting average, compared to .241 last year. Something to follow with no shift.MLB – Angels Sorry Start but One Highlight
Women's Final Four – If You Have the Time
Tonight is the women’s Final Four and the second game will feature Iowa, with Caitlin Clark, versus undefeated South Carolina, as the defending champion. The Lady Gamecocks are a large 11.5-point favorite with a total of 150, but Clark will draw a lot of interest.Top Betting System
FINAL FOUR – Florida Atlantic vs. San Diego State (Total 131.5)
When the total is between 130 and 139.5 points on a neutral court and a team like the Aztecs is off an upset win as an underdog, against an opponent off two or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog, the Under is 45-14. More recently, the Under is on an 11-2 run with an average total score of 129.7 points.How about that for a tongue twister?
Out The Door
Final Four – Betting Notes
The past five times an ACC team made it this far (and 7 of 8) and didn’t face a conference foe, they won and made it to the championship game.Since 2012, favorites are 16-6 SU, but 9-12-1 ATS.
In 17 of the previous 18 Final Fours, one of the two favorites went on to become national champions. Nine years ago, Connecticut as a 6.5-point underdog stunned Florida as the lone exception.
Miami is 9-2 ATS this season as an underdog and 33-12 ATS as underdogs in the past three seasons. Just keep in mind also that UConn is 15-0 and 14-1 ATS outside the Big East this year.
NFL – This Action Was Not Changed
In a somewhat surprising move, the ability to push a runner on 3rd or 4th down and inches to go was not changed to make it illegal. The general belief was this would happen, but it didn’t. Look for this to be even more egregious in 2023.What Bettors Like – Play or Fade?
NBA Top 4 Bets by Percentage (highest first) (32-22-1 record 12-4 run)
- Nuggets/Suns Over
- Lakers
- Jazz/Celtics Over
- Thunder/Pacers Over
NHL Top 3 Bets by Percentage (highest first) (23-21 record)
- Rangers
- Stars
- Flames/Canucks Over
MLB - Top 3 Bets by Percentage (highest first) (3-2 record)
- Dodgers
- Padres
- Astros
NCAAB Top 1 Bet by Percentage (highest first) (24-24-1 record)
- Miami/Connecticut Over
