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2024 NFL draft quarterback class: Top passers to know, big questions
ESPN PLUS $ MATERIALThe 2023 NFL draft class saw a record 12 quarterbacks selected in the first five rounds, including three inside the top five picks. The 2024 class? Expect some similarities.
The quarterback group begins with an interesting battle between USC's Caleb Williams and North Carolina's Drake Maye at the top -- similar to Bryce Young and C.J. Stroud's race to No. 1 in the 2023 class -- with the QB3 spot completely up for grabs among a few other promising passers. But there's also a lot of depth here. It's early, but we could easily see double-digit QBs selected again next April. Transfers also dominate the 2024 class; I took a closer look at 26 quarterbacks here, and 21 of them spent time at another school.
So who are the top names to know in 2024? What are their strengths, and where do they need to improve? Let's look at the 26 best passers who are draft-eligible next spring, from six first-round contenders to the potential steals on Days 2 and 3. I'll also answer a few big questions about the QB class, including who could be the No. 1 overall pick and which NFL teams are in the hunt for a new franchise QB.
TOP NAMES TO KNOW
Caleb Williams, USC
Height: 6-foot-1 | Weight: 220 pounds
Class: Junior
Where he excels: Williams followed coach Lincoln Riley to USC from Oklahoma and blossomed during his Heisman Trophy-winning sophomore season, throwing for 4,537 yards and 42 touchdowns with five interceptions. He added another 382 yards and 10 scores on the ground. Williams is a true dual-threat QB who places a lot of stress on defenses as a polished passer and runner. He is a playmaker with a compact and explosive release that allows him to get the ball out quickly. And while he shows the vision to make plays within the pocket, Williams is also very comfortable creating when forced off his initial spot.
Where he needs work: His eagerness to play outside of structure invites a lot of avoidable pressure. Williams often looks for the explosive play when easier completions are available to him, and he needs to sometimes take those checkdowns or passes to underneath options sooner in his progressions. It could help limit some of the stress he sees in the pocket.
Why I'm intrigued with his first-round potential: Williams is the complete package as a thrower. He is poised in pressure situations and has the creativity and confidence to excel in the NFL. He tied former Georgia QB Stetson Bennett (now with the Rams) for the highest expected points added per dropback (0.46) among all FBS QBs last season, showing his value to the Trojans. Williams has a good chance to become the first USC quarterback drafted at No. 1 overall since Carson Palmer was the top pick in 2003 -- if he has a successful junior campaign.
Drake Maye, North Carolina
Height: 6-foot-4 | Weight: 220 poundsClass: Redshirt sophomore
Where he excels: Maye finished the 2022 season with 4,321 passing yards, 38 passing touchdowns and seven interceptions and was named the ACC Rookie of the Year and Offensive Player of the Year. He has the arm strength to get the ball to any spot on the field, and his best moments have come when he's able to see, read and attack coverages within the confines of the Tar Heels' scheme. Maye's best attribute is his accuracy in the intermediate and deep areas of the field, as his 63 completions on passes of 20-plus air yards was the fifth-best mark last season. He is also a more than capable runner, especially on zone-read plays and when he needs to get out of harm's way.
Where he needs work: Scouts want to see Maye improve ball security and show more patience. Whether it's as a runner or when standing in the pocket, he's prone to lose the ball; Maye recorded seven fumbles (five lost) last season. He also has a tendency to give up on plays prematurely and look for exit routes outside of the pocket too soon. We saw some of these issues toward the end of last season. In North Carolina's four-game losing streak, Maye finished with six total touchdowns (four passing, two rushing) while throwing four interceptions and surrendering 14 sacks.
Why I'm intrigued with his first-round potential: Maye is a toolsy player with many standout physical traits, but he is still figuring out how to use all of them at the right time. With offensive coordinator Phil Longo gone to Wisconsin, he will now be under the guidance of new coordinator Chip Lindsey. There could be an adjustment period for Maye as he learns a new offense and searches to replace the production of receiver Josh Downs (Colts).
Quinn Ewers, Texas
Height: 6-foot-2 | Weight: 206 poundsClass: Redshirt sophomore
Where he excels: Ewers has an effortless side-arm extension with his throwing release, and he doesn't have to do much to generate velocity behind his throws. He showed plenty of promise in finishing the 2022 season with 2,177 passing yards, 15 touchdown passes and six interceptions. And his first-quarter performance against Alabama in Week 2 was perhaps the best highlight of his first season as a starter. Prior to exiting the game with an injury to his nonthrowing shoulder, he completed 9 of 12 passes for 134 passing yards against the Crimson Tide's tough defense.
Where he needs work: One of Ewers' biggest deficiencies during his first season in Austin was game-to-game consistency. His play was too uneven, and we saw the low end in Week 8 against Oklahoma State (19-for-49, 318 passing yards, two touchdown throws and three interceptions). And in watching his tape, I think he needs to find more rhythm between his upper and lower body. Ewers relies too heavily on his upper-body strength to drive the ball, which can result in poor accuracy and misfires all over the field.
Why I'm intrigued with his first-round potential: All of the ingredients are present for Ewers, but he's still figuring out how to blend them to reach the next stage of his development. Another year in Texas' proven system and under the guidance of a quarterback developer like Steve Sarkisian -- he developed first-round picks in Tua Tagovailoa (2020) and Mac Jones (2021) -- will do Ewers well. If he puts it all together, he has a high ceiling.
Michael Penix Jr., Washington
Height: 6-foot-3 | Weight: 214 poundsClass: Redshirt senior
Where he excels: After four seasons at Indiana (2018-2021), Penix transferred to Washington and stayed healthy for the first time in his career. He finished last season with 4,641 passing yards, 31 touchdown throws and eight interceptions. He is the perfect distributor for the Huskies' up-tempo offense thanks to the left-hander's A-level arm strength. Penix showcases a lightning-quick release and efficiently operates the team's Air Raid offense. He threw a touchdown pass in every game except one last season and had only three contests in which he didn't surpass the 300-yard passing mark.
Where he needs work: Durability remains the biggest question. Prior to transferring, Penix suffered two torn ACLs in his right knee and two injuries to his nonthrowing shoulder. He missed 25 of 51 possible games as a Hoosier, and the 2022 season marked the first time he played more than six games. Penix also hardly ever uses his lower body on throws; he can be too confident in his upper-body strength when trying to hit desired targets.
Why I'm intrigued with his first-round potential: Despite playing in a college-oriented scheme, Penix is an advanced passer. He has a great feel for spacing, triangle reads and mesh concepts. He is also creative and patient when working through progressions, with the ability to control defenders with his eyes. Penix is throwing to arguably the most talented wide receiver group in the country and could be in for a big senior year if he can repeat what we saw last season.
J.J. McCarthy, Michigan
Height: 6-foot-2 | Weight: 196 poundsClass: Junior
Where he excels: After taking over as the Wolverines' full-time starter, McCarthy shined in spurts during the 2022 season. He finished with 2,719 passing yards, 22 touchdown throws and five interceptions, and he's a quick decision-maker who fully trusts what his eyes see before the snap. McCarthy is a near-perfect complement for Michigan's dynamic rushing attack because he is superb off play-action passes and designed rollouts. He's comfortable in turning his back to the defense and resetting his eyes after fakes, and he is an accurate passer with a great feel for ball placement when attacking zone coverage.
Where he needs work: McCarthy must grow in his consistency against man coverage and the speed of his mental clock after his initial read. Given that he's an in-rhythm thrower in the shorter areas of the field, he takes too long to continue on to his next option when that first option is taken away. Scouts want to see him develop when eliminating options and progressing through to secondary possibilities.
Why I'm intrigued with his first-round potential: It was clear last season that Michigan wanted to slowly develop him and get him comfortable within the scheme, as he had only six games with 25 or more pass attempts over 13 starts. But the program could lean on McCarthy more as a passer this year, which could boost his draft projection. He has the tools, even though many scouts see him as a Day 2 pick right now.
Bo Nix, Oregon
Height: 6-foot-2 | Weight: 213 poundsClass: Senior
Where he excels: Nix reinvented himself in his first season with the Ducks after transferring from Auburn. Operating in an up-tempo, hurry-up offense, he set career highs in passing yards (3,593), passing touchdowns (29) and completion percentage (71.9%). He has an excellent understanding of space reads and complements that with adequate ball placement in a scheme that features leverage reads and quick passes to backfield options. And Nix has just enough arm strength to push the ball down the field, so the Oregon offense picks and chooses when he should make timely throws to deep targets.
Where he needs work: Nix must be more consistent in throwing to the intermediate-to-deeper parts of the field. His arm strength limitations become apparent when he attempts to make those throws down the field in contested situations or into tight windows. This offense doesn't operate in those areas consistently, so he'll need to show that he has the deep-ball arm strength and accuracy in limited spots.
Why I'm intrigued with his first-round potential: "He looked like a completely different player than what we saw at Auburn," said an area scout of Nix. "Looked much better as a passer." Nix navigates the pocket well and isn't shy about taking off and running. He had a career-high 510 rushing yards and 14 rushing touchdowns in 2022. The Ducks signal-caller displayed plenty of growth as a passer during his first season in Eugene, but continuing on that track will be essential for his draft status.