Tanko's Wednesday Plays 6/8/22

[Tanko]

3-2 +0.89 units yesterday.

Start off with the Blue Jays and Royals.

Tor Vs KC Royals 2:10 ET
Two evenly matched pitchers. Singer (KCR) is slightly better. Each had a rough outing in their last start.
Kikuchi (TOR) should go 4-5 innings. Typically gives up 2-3 runs.
Singer (KCR) is usually a 5-6 inning guy and gives up 1-2 runs.

So KCR has the better pitcher so why pick Blue Jays.... Toronto bats are hitting 0.317 in last 7 days. KCR 0.196 avg. I think the Blue Jays bats will offset the pitching of KCR. Toronto scoring 7.2 runs/gm over last 10. KCR 2.9 runs/gm over last 10.

KCR 2-8 record last 10
TOR 8-2 record last 10


Toronto ML -132

 

[lemartinsports]

how much are you putting on this?

 

[carolinakid]

gl with your over the hump day action Tanko

 

[BobbyFK]

Good luck today Tanko!

 

[Tanko]

Thanks everyone. Hope we all have a postive day today.

 

[Tanko]

how much are you putting on this?

1 Unit. Normal play.

I'm relatively consistent on bet size. If I'm am quesy on a play, I'll cut it in half, but you'll be able to tell by my write-up how I feel about it.

I occassionally will go 2x or 3x but not often. Usually those happen after I've had a really positive day and seem to be seeing plays clearly. Oh, and after a few beers.

 

[Tanko]

Next up MIAMI.

Wash vs Miami 6:40 ET

Starting Pitching: Edge Miami
Josiah Gray (WAS) 4.71 ERA vs Alcantara (MIA) 1.81 ERA.
In the two starts Gray had against Miami this season Gray gave up 4 & 3 ER in 5+ innings of work. Alcantara in his two starts against the Nats gave up 1 ER in each appearance going 6 & 8 innings. The Marlins won both games Alcantara stated vs the Marlins with 8-2 and 5-2 scores.

Batting: Slight edge Marlins
Miami is hitting 0.289 avg in last 7 days. Nats 0.252 avg.
Marlins 6.1 runs/gm in last 10. Nats 3.9 runs/gm in last 10.

Relief Pitching: Edge Miami
Miami bullpen is slightly stronger. Niether is too used up since both teams had Monday off.

If you exclude 1 inning in which Head pitched in relief and gave up 6 ERs, Miami's pen has only given up 3 ER in the last 5 games (16 innings of work). Fortunately, Head pitched last night so he is unlikely to be called upon tonight. Washington's pen has given up 16 ER in the last 5 games (18 innings of work).

Misc: Edge Marlins on RL
In their last 20 losses, the Nats have lost by 2+ runs in 18 of those games. Durng those games, they've lost by an average of 5.5 runs/gm.

For the Marlins 12 of their last 16 wins have been by 2+ runs and they won by an average of 3.8 runs during those games.



ML is a little juicey -204 so we'll go with the run line since stats indicate that Marlins are likely to win by 2+ runs.

Miami RL -1.5 +100

 

[Wagerallsports]

GL rest of the way bud

 

[Tanko]

Wow could Kikuchi (TOR) start any worse than he did? Only 0.2 innings pitched angd gave up 3 ER.
Guy hadn't gone < 4.5 innings since April.

I need a crystal ball to know when these guys are going to s#it the bed like this. SMH.

 

[Pimike]

Haha