Tanko 3/7/22 CBB Picks

[Tanko]

Guys, I'm seeing the Towson -5 vs Delaware as an easy pick.

Towson is on a roll with 7 wins in a row (4-2-1 ATS). Towson beat Delaware by 7 & 8 in January in their prior matchups.
Delaware rarely covers when playing at top 200 KenPom team. They are 1-6 S/U and 1-6 ATS when playing top 200 teams. Their only win was yesterday vs Drexel. Meanwhile Towson is 5-0 S/U and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against top 200 KenPom teams.

Also, looking at common opponents, Towson has significantly outperformed Delaware in those games.

Comments/thoughts?
Good Luck

 

[Tanko]

Wright St vs Clev St. Pickem. Take Wright St. ML.

I'm leaning a small bet towards Wright St. These are both "bad" teams ranked in the bottom half of NCAAB ratings. But, I think Wright St. has an edge here. Against similar/recent opponents Wright St. has performed better.

When looking at the comparison games, note that Oakland is the only common opponent that is ranked at similar levels to Wright St and Clev St.. Most opponents are ranked much lower. The Horizon league is not that great.

Performance:

Common Opponent	Wright St. vs.	Clev St. Vs.	Favors?
Oakland	S/U: 3-0, ATS:3-0	S/U: 0-1, ATS 0-1	Wright St.
@Detroit	S/U: 0-1, ATS: 0-1 (lost by 5)	S/U: 0-1, ATS: 0-1 (lost by 10)	Wright St.
@Green Bay	S/U: 1-0, ATS: 1-0 (won by 17)	S/U: 1-0, ATS: 1-0 (won by 12)	Wright St.
Wright @Milw, Milw @ Clev St	S/U: 0-1, ATS: 0-1 (lost by 3)	S/U: 1-0, ATS: 1-0 (won by 13)	Clev St.

They both lost @Detroit but Wright St. performed better than Clev St. when looking at margin.

The only common opponent game that would favor picking Clev St. over Wright St. is the Milwaukee game and Wright St. played them on the road while Clev St. played them at home. Also, the Wright St/Milw game was over 1 month ago. --> this and the head-to-head matchup is why it'll be a smaller than usual wager for me.

One more item: Clev St. won both games vs Wright state by 4 and 10 points. Both games were in January and when you look at the team records since then, you can see the team's have performed much differently with Wright St. playing much better and Clev St. flat to slightly down in performance.

Comments/Thoughts?
Good Luck

 

[Tanko]

Towson is getting waxed.
Need a big 2nd half to avoid continuing the slump I'm in.

 

[Wagerallsports]

Let's get the 2nd game

 

[Wagerallsports]

Good first half

 

[Tanko]

Thanks Wager.
Towson looks like a bust.
I hope Wright St. comes through. 1st half good so far with 10 pt lead.

 

[Wagerallsports]

Wright state cruising

 

[Tanko]

Hopefully a 1-1 day. After Saturday's 1-5 performance, I'll take 1-1.

With conf tournys this week, there will be a lot of potential action.
Hopefully, we can all make some $.