Sweet 16 Leans: What Are We Considering Gentlemen?

[Chip Williams]

Leaning
Arkansas +9.5
Villanova -5

Still looking at the rest.

 

[carolinakid]

Duke +1at this time, still only a lean here

 

[Tanko]

The ones I really like...
Texas Tech ML
Houston +2

 

[BobbyFK]

That Villanova line looks interesting. I need to take a closer look at the game before pulling the trigger

 

[Enikk]

Houston for me but may want to fade.

 

[parrothead]

Texas Tech

 

[Wagerallsports]

For tomorrow/Thursday

Arizona -1.5
Maybe just maybe Arkansas +9.5

Arkansas/Gonzaga an interesting game

Pure athleticism (Arkansas) vs Purely skilled (Gonzaga)

 

[Wagerallsports]

Big games ahead

 

[RudyRuder]

you tell us

im on worst losing streak of my life

 

[Wagerallsports]

you tell us

im on worst losing streak of my life

Definitely like Arizona

Like Gonzaga ML but too high obviously

 

[Bubbles]

Leaning on Gonzaga -9.5 and praying to all the Saints for Arizona to win

 

[Tanko]

For tomorrow/Thursday

Arizona -1.5
Maybe just maybe Arkansas +9.5

Arkansas/Gonzaga an interesting game

Pure athleticism (Arkansas) vs Purely skilled (Gonzaga)

Wager, I don't get it. You talk about athleticism of Arkansas and then pick Arizona over one of the most athletic teams in tournament (Houston).

I don't have a good read on Arkansas/Zags game yet but, I must be missing something when I look at the Houston/Ariz matchup.

Give me your thoughts on why you picked Ariz. I'm having trouble seeing it.

 

[lemartinsports]

arkansas +9.5 and texas tech pk!!!

 

[Tanko]

Does anyone like Mich +5?

I see some value in that number but, it might not hold up with Nova's 80%+ FT shooting as a team.
Nova's top players are shooting 90%, 88%, 86%, 83%, 76%, & 74%. JFC, who do you foul in what is expected to be a close game.

I could see Mich staying within the 5 and watching it evaporate with Nova FTs.

Anyone have an edge on this game?

 

[Gary]

Arkansas will upset Gonzaga.

My final four: Purdue, Texas Tech, Arizona and Kansas.

 

[lemartinsports]

Arkansas will upset Gonzaga.

My final four: Purdue, Texas Tech, Arizona and Kansas.

my final four has texas tech, arizona, kansas, and Kentucky (but they out)

im rooting for the upset too gary

 

[Tanko]

Another note on Michigan.
I see Michigan as being very similar to UConn in makeup. Their stats, lineup (height), depth, efficiency, & ratings are all close. And UConn challenged Nova in their games near the end of the season, winning 1 game by 2 and losing the other by 3.

 

[Tanko]

Texas Tech vs Duke.
Someone explain to me why Duke will win this game. What do you see?

When Duke plays highly efficient defensive teams, they do not perform well.

When yo look at their opponents over the last 6 weeks that had a GOOD Def Efficiency (lower is better), here is the results. They lost 3 games outright and won two by 2 and 4 points. They did not cover the spread in any of these games.

So here's the kicker. Texas Tech Def efficiency is 84.4. This is much better than the "best" competition Duke has seen in the last 6 weeks.

What am I missing? I'd like to hear why Duke is the bet.

Date	Opp	Result	ATS	Line	Won/Lost by	Opp Def Eff
Feb 07	Virginia	Lost 69-68	Lost/Over	-11	(1)	96.5
Feb 23	@Virginia	Won 65-61	Lost/Under	-5.5	4	96.5
Mar 12	Virginia Tech	Lost 82-67	Lost/Over	-6	(15)	96.3
Feb 15	Wake Forest	Won 74-76	Lost/Under	-9	2	95.9
Mar 05	North Carolina	Lost 94-81	Lost/Over	-11	(13)	95.5

 

[Gary]

my final four has texas tech, arizona, kansas, and Kentucky (but they out)

im rooting for the upset too gary

I feel like we are in the winning side. Good luck to us.

 

[lemartinsports]

I feel like we are in the winning side. Good luck to us.

knock on wood gary! hahah