Superposition, whats ur position on todays CBB ??

[pete0]

Super eyeing Ttech -4 at home vs . No.9 Texas .

unranked home favs over ranked rule, auto play for me.

Anything else stick out in CBB today ?

 

[jjgold]

Baylor ML let’s keep it simple

 

[Tanko]

Super eyeing Ttech -4 at home vs . No.9 Texas .

unranked home favs over ranked rule, auto play for me.

Anything else stick out in CBB today ?

I'm confused. Where are you seeing Texas Tech at -4?
I would love Texas at +4 in a heartbeat.

 

[Wagerallsports]

unranked home favs over ranked rule, auto play for me.

It sure has been that way for me

Every ranked team I've bet on away from home against decent opponents have lost

 

[carolinakid]

UNC tonite fit that model too

 

[Tanko]

It sure has been that way for me

Every ranked team I've bet on away from home against decent opponents have lost

Intersting data point.

Since 1/1/23 Teams that are ranked in top 25 (KenPom) as VISITORS when playing against teams that are not as good as them (i.e. ranked in the top 50-100 (KenPom)) only cover 46% of the games.

Good team on the road against teams that they should "easily" beat, only cover 46% of the time.

 

[Tanko]

When you stretch it to top 10 team on the road vs a 50-100 ranked home team, the win % ATS goes up to 53%. What this means is that as you get to the very good teams in the NCAA they do better and better than expected on the road ATS.

 

[pete0]

yes, but what specifically about HOME FAVS ? when facing road ranked teams.

----

juicy CBB card tonite.. All basically pk.


eyeing SyraCuse , as an auto play for me.

Thoughts??

 

[Pimike]

Doing the numbers now on that one Pete.

 

[Tanko]

yes, but what specifically about HOME FAVS ? when facing road ranked teams.

----

juicy CBB card tonite.. All basically pk.


eyeing SyraCuse , as an auto play for me.

Thoughts??

I just love this thread. You are giving me all kinds of ideas.
I use KenPom rankings not AP and results are since 1/1/23.

>>> Home teams when favored when facing a top 25 team cover 72% of the time 40-15.