Sunday Sept 1-Sunday Sept 8 MLB

[piratealew]

Realized my thread title from previous expired yesterday

MLB Sat=16-13 (Cash top 2 plays/10-4 Top plays) Umpire Overs=69-40 last 20 days

MLB =1817-1590 YTD/ (907-801 Top plays)/ Umpire Overs=205-140 Umpire Under=19-18

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

⭐️Cleveland-140
⭐️Twins-1-128
⭐️Dodgers/Dbags Over 9-110
⭐️Yankees-1-139
⭐️Houston-148
⭐️Oakland+120
⭐️Slam Diego/Tampa Over 7+102
⭐️Brewers-114
⭐️Mariners-1-129
⭐️Baltimore-0.5-120 (F5)
⭐️Giants-1.5-119
⭐️Mets-1-119
⭐️Nationals+110
⭐️San Diego-114
⭐️Dodgers+105
⭐️Braves+130
Pitt/Clev Over 7.5-125 (Ump Over-Torres-^9Runs L2 YRS/2.4 SO/BB/63%K/18-13Ov L3Y)
Braves/Phils Over 8-115 (Ump Over-Moscoso-~10Runs/14-11 Ov/low62.9K/Low 2.5SO/BB)
Twins-0.5-115 (F5)
Mets Team Total Over 4.5-105
Yankees/Cards Over 8.5-125
Tigers+102
San Diego Team Total Over 3.5-105
Orioles-1.5-125
Twins/Jays Over 8-120
Mets-135 (F5)
Cleveland Team Total Over 4
Brewers/Reds Over 9-120
Dodgers Team Total Over 4
Tigers/Red Sox Over 8.5-125
Baltimore/Colorado Over 10.5-120
Mariners Team Total Over 4.5-125
KC/Houston Over 8-130
Texas/Oakland UNDER 9.5-120 (Umpire UNDER-19-8 UNDER/LOW 7.04RUNS/HIGH 3.13 SO/BB)

ANOTHER GREAT Mlb day. 10-4 top plays, Friday we went 13-2 top plays. Hit the top 2 again Saturday, good streak of 4 days. Hope everyone tailing made some.

 

[piratealew]

MLB =1830-1609 YTD/ (913-809 Top plays)/ Umpire Overs=205-142 Umpire Under=19-19

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

⭐️Dodgers-126
⭐️Royals-107
⭐️Padres-1-128
⭐️Dodgers/Arizona Over 8.5-120
⭐️Cubs-135
⭐️Brewers-1-109
⭐️Minnesota-103
⭐️Houston-148
⭐️Reds/Astros Over 9-120
⭐️White Sox/Baltimore Over 8-115
⭐️Oakland+128
⭐️Baltimore-1.5-115 (F5)
⭐️Yankees-1-140
⭐️Boston+110
Cubs Team Total Over 3.5-125
Oakland+0.5-115 (F5)
Dodgers Team Total Over 4.5-115
Cleveland/KC Over 7.5-125
Boston/NYM Over 7.5-115
Royals-110 (F5)
Cubs/Pirates Over 7-125
Brewers-0.5-115 (F5)
Orioles Team Total Over 5
Dodgers-130 (F5)
Cards/Brewers Over 7.5-115
Yankees-0.5-120 (F5)
Rays/Twins UNDER 8.5-115

Hit the top 2 again yesterday, let's keep rolling. Waiting on ump assignments.

 

[inzane]

Good luck today Pirate!

 

[piratealew]

***1st Umpire Over is ⭐️White Sox/Baltimore Over 8 with Marvin Hudson who is 14-7 Over on 9.6 runs. This is another good spot for an O's over as they are 13-5 over last 18 and Burnes is carrying a 10.5 ERA his last 3 starts so i expect the white sox to be able to plate a few today.

***2nd Umpire Over is Cleveland/KC Over 7.5 with Will Little who has averaged over 9 runs last 2 years and nearly 10 runs last year with a low 2.5 SO/BB and 63% strikes, with 22-19 Over in that span. Both teams are scoring well lately with the Guards scoring 4.5 runs last 7 and Royals 4.2 last 8 games. Both teams pitching has struggled since ASB as KC is 15th with a 4.25 ERA and Clev 13th with a 4.11. When Wacha starts over 4-0 last four.

 

[piratealew]

***1st Ump UNDER is Detroit/SD UNDER 8-115 with Alex Tosi who is a big pitchers fave as he is acg only 7.56 runs per ame as a high 3.04 SO/BB ratio and 64% strikes. Pitching here points to an under as Det gave up only one run in last 2 games and have a solid pitching staff with arespectable 3.8 Bullpen ERA. On other side, Musgrove only gave up 2 runs in 4 starts before last start where he gave up 3. Tigers offense isn't great as they rank 20th in runs scored, and have scored just 6 last 2.

 

[piratealew]

***3rd Umpire Over is ⭐️Rangers/Yankees Over 8.5-115 wtih Bruce Drekman who is one of my faves and near auto overs, i had this at 8 runs before but with Bruce I add 2. He is a an ASTOUNDING 19-4 Over on a crazy high 11.61 runs. Leiter carries a terrible 12.83 ERA, Yanks are capable of getting the over themselves and Rizzo is back. Rangers should tag cole for a few as he has been hittable this year.

 

[piratealew]

***3rd Umpire Over is ⭐️Rangers/Yankees Over 8.5-115 wtih Bruce Drekman who is one of my faves and near auto overs, i had this at 8 runs before but with Bruce I add 2. He is a an ASTOUNDING 19-4 Over on a crazy high 11.61 runs. Leiter carries a terrible 12.83 ERA, Yanks are capable of getting the over themselves and Rizzo is back. Rangers should tag cole for a few as he has been hittable this year.

Too easy. Another huge day. Hit the POD and most of the top plays and the 2 top play umpire overs easy. And the umpire under easy

MLB=18-9 (9-5 Top plays) Umpire Overs=69-42 last 20 days

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

MLB =1830-1609 YTD/ (913-809 Top plays)/ Umpire Overs=205-142 Umpire Under=19-19

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

⭐️Dodgers-126-W
⭐️Royals-107-L
⭐️Padres-1-128-W
⭐️Dodgers/Arizona Over 8.5-120-W
⭐️Cubs-135-L
⭐️Brewers-1-109-W
⭐️Minnesota-1030-W
⭐️Houston-148-L
⭐️Reds/Astros Over 9-120-L
⭐️White Sox/Baltimore Over 8-115-W (Umpire over-Hudson)
⭐️Oakland+128-W
⭐️Baltimore-1.5-115 (F5)-W
⭐️Yankees-1-140
⭐️Boston+110-L
⭐️Rangers/Yankees Over 8.5-115 (Umpire Over-Bruce Drekman-18-4 Over/+11 Runs)-W

Cubs Team Total Over 3.5-125-L
Oakland+0.5-115 (F5)-W
Dodgers Team Total Over 4.5-115-W
Cleveland/KC Over 7.5-125-L
Boston/NYM Over 7.5-115-L
Royals-110 (F5)-L
Cubs/Pirates Over 7-125-W
Brewers-0.5-115 (F5)-W
Orioles Team Total Over 5-W
Dodgers-130 (F5)-W
Cards/Brewers Over 7.5-115-W
Yankees-0.5-120 (F5)-W
Detroit/SD UNDER 8-11 (Umpire Under-Alex Tosi)-W
Rays/Twins UNDER 8.5-115

Monday NCAAF Week 1=30-22

⭐️Boston College+16.5-105

BC/FSU Over 48-120

 

[piratealew]

MLB Monday=19-10 (10-5 Top plays) Umpire Overs=71-44 last 21 days

NCAAF Mon=1-1 (Cash top play) NCAAF Week 1=31-23

MLB =1849-1619 YTD/ (923-814 Top plays)/ Umpire Overs=207-144 Umpire Under=20-19

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

MLB =1830-1609 YTD/ (913-809 Top plays)/ Umpire Overs=205-142 Umpire Under=19-19

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

⭐️Dodgers-126-W
⭐️Royals-107-L
⭐️Padres-1-128-W
⭐️Dodgers/Arizona Over 8.5-120-W
⭐️Cubs-135-L
⭐️Brewers-1-109-W
⭐️Minnesota-1030-W
⭐️Houston-148-L
⭐️Reds/Astros Over 9-120-L
⭐️White Sox/Baltimore Over 8-115-W (Umpire over-Hudson)
⭐️Oakland+128-W
⭐️Baltimore-1.5-115 (F5)-W
⭐️Yankees-1-140-W
⭐️Boston+110-L
⭐️Rangers/Yankees Over 8.5-115 (Umpire Over-Bruce Drekman-18-4 Over/+11 Runs)-W
Cubs Team Total Over 3.5-125-L
Oakland+0.5-115 (F5)-W
Dodgers Team Total Over 4.5-115-W
Cleveland/KC Over 7.5-125-L
Boston/NYM Over 7.5-115-L
Royals-110 (F5)-L
Cubs/Pirates Over 7-125-W
Brewers-0.5-115 (F5)-W
Orioles Team Total Over 5-W
Dodgers-130 (F5)-W
Cards/Brewers Over 7.5-115-W
Yankees-0.5-120 (F5)-W
Detroit/SD UNDER 8-11 (Umpire Under-Alex Tosi)-W
Rays/Twins UNDER 8.5-115-L

Monday NCAAF Week 1=30-22
⭐️Boston College+16.5-105-W
BC/FSU Over 48-120-L

Awesome day in MLB win the POD and 10-5 top plays, NCAA we crushed FSU with easy win on BC.

 

[rx-parrot]

You reposted yesterdays plays

 

[piratealew]

MLB Monday=19-10 (10-5 Top plays) Umpire Overs=71-44 last 21 days

MLB =1849-1619 YTD/ (923-814 Top plays)/ Umpire Overs=207-144 Umpire Under=20-19

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

MLB =1830-1609 YTD/ (913-809 Top plays)/ Umpire Overs=205-142 Umpire Under=19-19

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

⭐️Mets-126
⭐️Pirates-115 (Skenes vs Hendricks/Not Steele)
⭐️Arizona-115
⭐️Yanks-127
⭐️Brewers-135
⭐️Yanks/Rangers Over 8.5-125 (Umpire Over-Wegner-14-6 Ov/11 Runs, Low 2.3 SO/BB)
⭐️Twins+101
⭐️Dodgers-1-137
⭐️Phillies-102
⭐️Royals+110
⭐️Orioles/White Sox Over 8.5-115
⭐️Braves-1-140 (F5)
⭐️Orioles-1.5-135
⭐️Mariners-140
⭐️Dodgers/Angels Over 9-105
Pirates/Cubs Over 7-110
Washington+105
Stl/Milwaukee Over 8-115 (Umpire Over-Barrett-16-11 Ov/9 Runs Last 2 years)
Pirates-125 (F5)
Dbags/Giants Over 7.5-105
Yankees-125 (F5)
Braves Team Total Over 4.5-125
Marlins/Nats Over 8--115
Pirates Team Total Over 3.5-120
Phillies+105 (F5)
Mets/Red Sox Over 7.5-120
Phils/Jays Over 8.5-120
Diamondbacks Team Total Over 3.5-125
Orioles Team Total Over 5
Mets Team Total Over 4
Oakland/Seattle Over 7.5-115
Royals/Guardians UNDER 8.5-120

Great day yesterday again...let's keep it rolling...

 

[piratealew]

You reposted yesterdays plays

yes, recap of Monday. Just posted today's plays above.

 

[piratealew]

Phillies a typo+105

 

[inzane]

Keep it up Pirate, you're doing an awesome job!

 

[piratealew]

Was asked on reddit why mets
while both teams are in similar spots standings wise for the playoffs, the mets have the pitching advantage tonight. Peterson is 1-0 with only 5 earned runs over his last 21.1 innings pitched (3 starts), posting a 2-0 record with a 2.2 ERA, while Crawford is 0-1 with a near 4 ERA in his last 3 and red sox are 2-6 in his last 8 starts indicating his pitching struggles of late and lack of run support. Pederson also a very solid lefty, and sox have struggled against lefties at times this year. When it comes to the battle of the pens, Mets have the edge there too with a 4.00 ERA while red sox post a 4.5 ERA. Mets are averaging near 5 runs a game and I see no reason they dont get their average tonight and hold the sox bats at bay.

 

[piratealew]

***3rd Umpire Over is Dbags/Giants Over 7.5 with Chris Guccione who is avg 9.85 runs, is + on the over with an 8-5 Ov, on a low 2.11 SO/BB and 62% strikes. I had this game at 8 before but think we could see more as Dbacks have the 2nd best batting avg and are hitting .252 on the road but a much higher .288 against SF, while the giants hit .250 at home so they should plate some runs, to go with their 4.3 runs per game average (dbags avg 5.4). The over is 27-7 for the dbags, 7 of the last 8, and 8-3 in the last 11 Nelson starts.

 

[piratealew]

Great day, Cashed the POD again now 7 days straight and #2 Pirates. #3 Zona up 7-1.

3-0 Umpire Overs today, thanks Clay Holmes for blowing yanks game.

MLB=18-7 (7-4 Top plays) Umpire Overs=74-44 last 21 days

MLB =1849-1619 YTD/ (923-814 Top plays)/ Umpire Overs=210-144 Umpire Under=20-19

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

⭐️Mets-126-W
⭐️Pirates-115 (Skenes vs Hendricks/Not Steele)-W
⭐️Arizona-115
⭐️Yanks-127-L
⭐️Brewers-135-L
⭐️Yanks/Rangers Over 8.5-125 (Umpire Over-Wegner**-14-6 Ov**/11 Runs, Low 2.3 SO/BB)-W
⭐️Twins+101-L
⭐️Dodgers-1-137
⭐️Phillies+105-W
⭐️Royals+110-L
⭐️Orioles/White Sox Over 8.5-115-W
⭐️Braves-1-140 (F5)-W
⭐️Orioles-1.5-135-W
⭐️Mariners-140
⭐️Dodgers/Angels Over 9-105
Dbags/Giants Over 7.5 (Umpire Over-Chris Guccione)-W
Pirates/Cubs Over 7-110-L
Washington+105-W
Stl/Milwaukee Over 8-115 (Umpire Over-Barrett-16-11 Ov/9 Runs Last 2 years)-W
Pirates-125 (F5)-W
Yankees-125 (F5)-L
Braves Team Total Over 4.5-125
Marlins/Nats Over 8--115-P
Pirates Team Total Over 3.5-120-W
Phillies+105 (F5)-L
Mets/Red Sox Over 7.5-120-W
Phils/Jays Over 8.5-120-W
Diamondbacks Team Total Over 3.5-125-W
Orioles Team Total Over 5-W
Mets Team Total Over 4-W
Oakland/Seattle Over 7.5-115
Royals/Guardians UNDER 8.5-120-W

GREAT night again!!!

 

[piratealew]

Great day, Cashed the POD again now 7 days straight, and cashed #2 and 3 for a BIG day.

3-0 Umpire Overs Tuesday.

MLB Wed=20-11 (9-6 Top plays) Umpire Overs=74-44 last 21 days

MLB =1869-1630 YTD/ (929-820 Top plays)/ Umpire Overs=210-144 Umpire Under=20-19

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

⭐️Cubs-1-130
⭐️Philly-117
⭐️Houston-127
⭐️Braves/Rockies Over 8-130 (Ump Over-Andy Fletcher-23-4 Ov/12.61 RUNS/2.0 SO/BB)
⭐️Arizona-126
⭐️Mets+102
⭐️Brewers+102
⭐️Rangers/Yanks Over 8.5-115 (Umpire Over-Vondrak-17-10 Over/10.19 Runs/2.4 SO/BB)
⭐️Cleveland+123
⭐️Dodgers/Angels Over 9.5-115 (Umpire Over-A. Johnson-10.77 Runs/17-8 OVER/2.1 SO/BB)
⭐️Nationals-129
⭐️Orioles/White Sox Over 8-120 (Umpire Over-Ramos-16-12 OV/+10 Runs last 2 yrs/2.5 SO/BB)
⭐️Twins-107
⭐️Padres/Tigers Over 7.5-112 (Umpire Over-Bellino-10 Runs Last 2 YR/37-25 Ov L2 Yrs/2.5 SO/BB)
⭐️Braves-1.5-120
⭐️Yankees-102
Oakland+130
Clev/KC Over 8-125 (Ump Ov-D. Thomas-10 Runs L2 Yrs/14-9 Ov, low 2.21 SO/BB/62.9%K)
Orioles-1.5-140
Cubs-0.5-125 (F5)
Phillies/Blow Jays Over 7.5-115
Arizona/SF Over 7.5-110
Tigers+1.5-120
Nationals/Team Total Over 4
Orioles Team Total Over 5
Marlins/Nats Over 8-115
Dodgers-1.5-120
Yanks Team Total Over 4
Oakland/Seattle Over 7-130
Reds/Asstros Over 8.5-120
Cleveland Team Total Over 3.5-125
Brewers Team Total 3.5-115
Twins/Rays Over 7.5-125
Astros/Team Total Over 4.5-115
Cubs/Pirates Over 7.5-115
Mets/Red Sux UNDER 8.5-120

Happy Andy Fletcher day again as he is the ump in the Braves game, he has made us all a lot on his overs 23-4 this year, along with AJ in LA game who is just behind at 17-8 over and Vondrak in Tex/NYY a big overs guy at 17-10 all with double digit+ runs.

Lots of runs and overs to expected today, reminds me a day about 2 weeks ago that set up like this, i think all but 1 or 2 went over, and that was the same time we went on a huge 13-1 top play run. With the matchups and umps today, I see something similar, lots of runs across the board, not the greatest pitching today. If your book has the grand salami total runs, that is a solid pick today too based on the matchups and umpires.

 

[piratealew]

someone pinged me and asked my logic on Braves over and why big on it.... Morton has been a gas can off and on this season and is more than hittable, He lasts just 5 innings like last 4 games, and gives up 2-3 even on his good days, while Blalock is figuring things out a rookie, he's got a 5.66 ERA his last 4 against lesser offenses. He Carries a 1.62 WHIP as well so there will be plenty run scoring chances for ATL tonight; I could see him knocked out by the 4th or 5th at latest as usual, then he hands to the WORST pen in MLB with a 5.53 ERA, that's 50 points higher than the next team, White sox. The over is 3-1 in blalock's 4 last starts, and now you factor in the biggest over ump this yr Andy Fletcher (23-4 Over, almost a whopping 13 runs, most by any UMP by far on both records--by far!) who calls few strikeouts, issues a lot of walks esp in critical pts of the game towards end with RISP, he seems to ensure lots of runs flow in late as he squeezes the pens. All these combined add up to a big over....now if it was Rob Drake behind home, I'd prob still play the over but small as the situation does call for around 9 runs irregardless of ump, with fletcher i add 2-3.

 

[inzane]

Love that Braves over and even took a lil' on the Rox tt over 2*.

Good luck today my man...

 

[piratealew]

was asked why Clev:

Basically lively has been dealing especially on the road, he’s held 3 standby opponents under 3 runs. Lugo is hittable esp against this lineup, he allowed 6 in his last start and carries a 4.67 era 2nd half. Royals have been fading lately while and guards have been beating up on royals pitching this year .