Sports Betting Service Plays - Sunday 9/18/22

[Bettor Days]

Potato Kmish

Dolphins +4

 

[Bettor Days]

Burns NFL

5% Jax

 

[Bettor Days]

HITMAN | NFL Teaser - Sunday, Sep 18 2022 1:00PM
CAR/PIT

(-120)William Hill 273 CAR vs 274 NYG triple-dime bet

Analysis:
3* Panthers +8.5/Steelers +7.5 -120 (Widely available)


I am at Pittsburgh -1 in this game. As 1.5 point dogs, usually that does not give us value going through zero, but for a teaser it absolutely does.

I am continuing to fade New England after a horrible preseason, training camp/joint practices (reportedly), and a 13 point loss in week one to Miami. Now Mac Jones is dealing with a back injury, and long time Patriots observers have mentioned Jones looked like he could not get much velocity on his passes against Miami due to the injury. It's entirely possible this injury is a lot worse than we are led to believe, and New England's offensive line has struggled to protect their quarterback this entire summer.

I made the Carolina game PK as well, and I am not expecting that we see a +3 in that game, which has me grabbing the teaser now. Quite simply, I have Carolina rated better due to them having the superior quarterback, passing game weapons, and defense (with a similar offensive line/running back). I thought the Giants come from behind win was more indicative of the Titans being a sell team rather than the Giants being a buy on team.

 

[Bettor Days]

HITMAN | NFL Teaser - Sunday, Sep 18 2022 1:00PM
WAS/MIN

(-120)William Hill 267 WAS vs 268 DET double-dime bet

Analysis: 2* 6 PT TEASER: Washington +8.5/Vikings +8.5 (Widely available)

 

[Bettor Days]

HITMAN | NFL Total - Sunday, Sep 18 2022 8:20PM
287 CHI / 288 GBP UNDER 42.0 BetOnline double-dime bet

Analysis: Good down to 41

 

[Bettor Days]

HITMAN | NFL Total - Sunday, Sep 18 2022 4:05PM
279 SEA / 280 SFX UNDER 41.5 BetOnline double-dime bet

Analysis: Good down to 41

 

[Bettor Days]

HITMAN | NFL Prop - Thursday, Sep 15 2022 8:15PM
CEH U

(-115)BetOnline 103 LAC vs 104 KAN single-dime bet

Analysis:
Clyde Edwards Helaire (KC) U2.5 Receptions -115

Good to -140. Widely available.


CEH came into the league as a very solid pass catching prospect, and early in his career he went over this number quite a bit. Recently, it's been a different story. CEH has went under this number in 14 of his last 19 games.

Nothing has changed recently, with Jerrick McKinnon being the Chiefs pass down back. CEH played only ran a route on one third down snap last week.

 

[Bettor Days]

HITMAN | NFL Total - Sunday, Sep 18 2022 4:25PM
283 HOU / 284 DEN OVER 45.0 BetOnline double-dime bet

Analysis:

Short and sweet: Houston had last weeks 4th highest pass rate over expectation, and Denver has preached playing fast all off season with Wilson now at QB. Denver is missing stud safety Justin Simmons from a defense that struggled mightily against Geno Smith

 

[Bettor Days]

Guru

Falcons vs. Rams U 47
Colts vs. Jaguars U 45.5
Cardinals vs. Raiders O 51.5
Seahawks vs. 49ers U 41.5
Aces vs. Sun O 162.5

 

[Bettor Days]

Larry Hartstein

NE -2
Carolina Panthers +2
Denver Broncos -10

 

[Bettor Days]

ADAM CHERNOFF

Rams -10
Packers -9
49ers -9
Texans/Broncos Over 45
Commanders Over 23.5 Team Total
Panthers Over 20.5 TT

 

[Bettor Days]

Jeff Ma- 3-2 last week
saints +2.5
Patriots-2
cowboys +7.5
Seahawks +9
Vikings +2

 

[Bettor Days]

Marc Lawrence NFL

Caro
Ariz

 

[Bettor Days]

Marc Lawrence​

Washington Commanders +1½
Panthers +2
Titans +11

 

[Bettor Days]

AAA Sports​

Dolphins +3½
Washington Commanders +1½
Titans +10½

 

[Bettor Days]

Joe D'Amico
Tampa Bay -2.5

 

[Bettor Days]

Wayne Root

Contrarian: 49ers -9.5
Chairman’s: Jaguars +4.5
Reserve: Saints +4
Gold Standard: Cowboys +7.5
Pinnacle: Patriots -2.5

 

[Bettor Days]

HITMAN | NFL Prop - Sunday, Sep 18 2022 4:05PM
Lockett U

(-120)DraftKings 279 SEA vs 280 SFX single-dime bet

Analysis:
Tyler Lockett (SEA) U46.5 rec yds -120

Good down to 43.5

 

[Bettor Days]

HITMAN | NFL Prop - Sunday, Sep 18 2022 4:25PM
Howard U

(-120)DraftKings 283 HOU vs 284 DEN single-dime bet

Analysis:
OJ Howard (HOU) U11.5 Rec Yds -120

365/PropBuilder/DK/Caesars

Good down to 9.5

 

[Bettor Days]

HITMAN | NFL Prop - Sunday, Sep 18 2022 1:00PM
Jonnu O

(-115)DraftKings 275 NEP vs 276 PIT single-dime bet

Analysis:
Jonnu Smith (NE) O15.5 REC YDS -115

PropBuilder/DK/FD/MGM/Caesars/365