Sean Murphy
Play on: Under 221
My selection is on the 'under' between Miami and Atlanta at 7 pm et on Sunday.
We won with the 'under' in Game 3 of this series on Friday and I expect a similar outcome on Sunday. The Hawks shot 41-of-80 from the field in that narrow one-point victory, a performance I'm not sure we'll see them duplicate here. Note that Atlanta has topped out at 41 made field goals over its last four games, getting off 80, 75, 87 and 80 field goal attempts over that stretch.
The Heat played at an abnormally fast pace in Game 3, getting off 93 field goal attempts. Note that prior to that contest they had attempted 84 or fewer field goals in seven of their last eight contests. The Heat check in allowing just 38-of-85 shooting on average away from home this season. While the Hawks are thought of as a fast pace team, they actually average only 87 FG attempts per game on their home floor this season. Take the under.