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Sports Betting Service Plays - Saturday 11/6/21

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Bettor Days

Bettor Days

Joined
Jun 12, 2021
Messages
5,090
Indian Cowboy

C -Unit Play. #355. Take Liberty +9.5 Over Ole Miss (Saturday @ 12:00 pm est)
We roll with Liberty here as I think they are a live dog and getting too many points so we will gladly take them. This is a homecoming of sorts here for Hugh Freeze as he returns home and will face his former team. He left on not so great terms with the recruiting scandal and I expect him and his team to be prepared and motivated here. Liberty is not a team to take likely here and can put up points. This is a non conference game for Ole Miss with a big game on deck against Texas A&M. I get they come off a loss but not being familiar with Liberty as its a team they have never faced or any history against I think will be trouble for them this week. I think Ole Miss gets caught looking ahead to next week with a much more important game on deck and Hugh Freeze has his troops ready for this one. This is too many points for Liberty and we like them to hang tough and keep this one close. Flames are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win. Rebels are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
 

Bettor Days

Bettor Days

Joined
Jun 12, 2021
Messages
5,090
Tokyo Brandon

Baseball

304103) Rakuten Gold. Eagles at (304104) Chiba Lotte Marines
Game: (304103) Rakuten Gold. Eagles at (304104) Chiba Lotte Marines
Date/Time: Nov 6 2021 1:00 AM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 1%
Play: 1H Chiba Lotte Marines +0.5 (-160)

Lotte has the starting pitcher advantage by a hair, and they also have a better lineup. At home in a tense playoff game I think this will be a very low-scoring game and the SP advantage should be able to get us at least a tie in the 1st 5.

(304105) Yomiuri Giants at (304106) Hanshin Tigers
Game: (304105) Yomiuri Giants at (304106) Hanshin Tigers
Date/Time: Nov 6 2021 1:00 AM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 1%
Play: Hanshin Tigers -110

Hanshin SP Takahashi has shut the Giants down in 7 and 9 innings his last two starts. The Giants have a sub-500 record and are living on their name but have little talent to back it up. The Hanshin bullpen is a concern but they should not have to work more than 2 innings here. Sugano for Yomiuri is a great pitcher but has allowed 6 runs to Hanshin his last 3 starts against them and I see this as a 2-0 or 3-1 Hanshin win. Take the Tigers on the money line at home.

NPB Japanese Baseball Champion
Game: NPB Japanese Baseball Champion
Date/Time: Nov 27 2021 3:00 AM EST
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 0.5%
Play: Chiba Lotte Marines Win Championship

The Marines have a great bullpen, a great lineup and excellent fielding and base stealing. The rotation is a bit suspect but I believe they have a better than 1/7 chance of winning it all and that makes this a value bet. Bet the Chiba Lotte Marines win the Championship on 11/27 for +600 or better.

NPB Japanese Baseball Champion
Game: NPB Japanese Baseball Champion
Date/Time: Nov 27 2021 3:00 AM EST
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 0.5%
Play: Rakuten Golden Eagles Win Championship

The Eagles have the best bullpen of any team remaining. They also have an excellent rotation, their problem is hitting. I see Rakuten as having a much better chance than 1/9 of winning the championship so this is a value play on anything 800 or better. Bet Rakuten to win it all.

Basketball

301547) Liaoning at (301548) Jilin
Game: (301547) Liaoning at (301548) Jilin
Date/Time: Nov 6 2021 7:35 AM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 1%
Play: Total Under 199.5 (-110)

Jilin has been bad for a while but this season they have a surprisingly good defense. Liaoning is a high-powered offense and it seems crazy betting an under for them sub 200, but they have a great defense and my numbers have this game 98-90. Make a small play on the Under 199.5.

(301545) Beijing at (301546) Guangdong
Game: (301545) Beijing at (301546) Guangdong
Date/Time: Nov 6 2021 7:35 AM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 1%
Play: Total Under 193.0 (-110)

This line has changed between 193 and 102 all day I would take either. Guangdong is known for their high-powered offense but this season they are not as explosive as they were last year as champions. They have not scored over 100 in their last two games against terrible defenses and the Ducks have the best shut-down defense in the league. My numbers have this one at 187. Take the Under 193 or 192.

(301551) Shenzhen at (301552) Sichuan
Game: (301551) Shenzhen at (301552) Sichuan
Date/Time: Nov 6 2021 11:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 2%
Play: Shenzhen -12.5 (-110)

This line is shifting between 12 and 14 so it will probably fall on 13. I would take it. My numbers have this at -16. They just won by 19 the other night and Sichuan has a porous defense that can't stop anyone. Take Shenzhen and lay the points.

Hockey

(43) Colorado Avalanche at (44) Columbus Blue Jackets
Game: (43) Colorado Avalanche at (44) Columbus Blue Jackets
Date/Time: Nov 6 2021 7:08 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 1%
Play: Colorado Avalanche -165

This a client play only my numbers have the Avalanche a 71% chance to win which is -210 so there is value to play them on the money line today
 

Bettor Days

Bettor Days

Joined
Jun 12, 2021
Messages
5,090
Doug Kezirian:

Hawaii + 7 vs San Diego State
Iowa -12 vs Northwestern
Purdue + 3 vs Michigan State
Eastern Michigan + 9 vs Toledo


Joe Fortenbaugh:

Tennessee -1 vs Kentucky
North Carolina -2.5 vs Wake Forest
Purdue + 3 vs Michigan State
Texas A&M vs Auburn Under 50
Washington vs Oregon Under 51
Louisiana -13.5 vs Georgia State
Central Michigan + 9 vs Western Michigan


Tyler Fulghum:

Georgia -38 vs Missouri
Georgia vs Missouri Under 59.5
Kansas State -24 vs Kansas


Stanford Steve:

Alabama -28.5 vs LSU
Arizona State -8.5 vs Southern Cal
Clemson -4 vs Louisville
Penn State -10 vs Maryland
Utah -7.5 vs Stanford
Boston College + 3 vs Virginia Tech


Chris “The Bear” Fallica:

Oregon State -10.5 vs Colorado
Florida State + 2.5 vs NC State
Georgia Tech + 10 vs Miami (FL)
Wake Forest + 2.5 vs North Carolina
Rutgers + 13 vs Wisconsin
Texas A&M -4.5 vs Auburn
Boston College + 3 vs Virginia Tech
Kent State -3 vs Northern Illinois


Greg McElroy:

NC State -2.5 vs Florida State
Washington vs Oregon Under 51
Louisiana vs Georgia State Under 53.
 

Bettor Days

Bettor Days

Joined
Jun 12, 2021
Messages
5,090
Norm Hitzges' Picks of the Pole

DOUBLE PLAYS
Cincinnati -22.5
Miami (Fl.). -10.5
Iowa -12
East Carolina -16

SINGLE PLAYS
Indiana +20
Appalachian State -22
Navy +21
Tennessee -1
Purdue +3
Memphis +5
Wisconsin—Illinois under 38
Wake Forest—UNC over 76.5
Minnesota—Illinois under 45
 
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