Some NFL plays - week 10

[chuckythegoat2]

258 la CHARGERS +3 (1.94). $100 to win 94.
...Like the Home Dog. Think the points are too generous.

 

[martinhop]

tease it!

 

[chuckythegoat2]

tease it!

Ha. This is always a msg-board comment. A few things:

1) Line is now +3. So, why Tease it?

2) Also, there are literally BILLIONS of people who say "Tease It." Must be nice. Can it possibly be that easy? Must be awesome to live in a mansion.

 

[chuckythegoat2]

Two gross plays:

263 NY Jets +1.5 (1.86). $100 to win 86.
...Taking the Alternate-line to capture some landing spots. Still no Ties in the league YTD.
...Bad outcome for the Jets last week. Some bad luck.
...Reaction to the Raider win last week = too much. I know they were galvanized by the coaching change. Was that just one week?

259 NY Giants +17 (1.93). $100 to win 93.
...Try to find someone betting the Giants this week.
...See above. People were floored by the Giant-Raider result.
...Giants addressed the kicking situation. Gano was kicking with injury vs the Jets, cost them the game.
...Contrarian play to the n-th degree. Except for last week, I saw some life on the Giants in recent weeks.
...And I think they can coach, too. A true circle-the-wagons game. Test of character.

 

[chuckythegoat2]

258 la CHARGERS +3 (1.94). $100 to win 94.
...Like the Home Dog. Think the points are too generous.

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[chuckythegoat2]

Two added plays:

243 Cleveland Browns +6.5 (1.92)

266 BUFFALO Bills -7 (1.92)

 

[chuckythegoat2]

Two added plays:

243 Cleveland Browns +6.5 (1.92)

266 BUFFALO Bills -7 (1.92)

First off, I'm 100% OK with people hating my pick on the Giants. I take a very specific view on these games. These are pro players.

If they have any pride, they want to perform well. And furthermore, MOST of the players on an NFL roster know they have to perform to keep the checks coming in.

As for this specific game, I saw two areas of Giant improvement:
1) The defense played very well in 3 of the L4 games. Thibodeaux showed why he was drafted so high with a 3-sack game against the Jets.
2) I mentioned the kicker situation. They brought in veteran kickers. Gano should not have been active versus the Jets.

I also think there's credence to the "Dog off Blowout Loss with Heavy Revenge." How much worse can it get? I think they can hang the big #.

 

[chuckythegoat2]

More notes:

*I think this is the spot to grab the Browns catching the points. Elite defense which is conceding a paltry amount of Yards (except for the Colt game).
*I will credit a statement from a Bill Cowher interview. Lamar Jackson is now 18-1 S/U (I believe) versus NFC foes. Cowher commented that teams who rarely play Balt can't simulate Lamar.
*Contrast that to AFC North foes who play him 2x per year. The scouting report is there, Browns will know what to expect.

 

[chuckythegoat2]

Bills are just a buy-low situation. Broncos off their best win of the season. # has been reduced to a key #. IMHO, the Bills have become a forgotten team. Also, Bills off a phony ATS result, they should have covered versus the Bucs.

 

[chuckythegoat2]

I still don't know how they had Gano kicking thru an injury. Bullock activated. Spec Tms Coach sounds comfortable with the veteran:

STC Thomas McGaughey on Randy Bullock, Cade York