Some NFL plays - week 06

[chuckythegoat2]

254 ATLANTA -2.5 (1.93). $100 to win 93.

265 Carolina +14 (1.88). $100 to win 88.

274 NY JETS +7 (1.93). $100 to win 93.

 

[chuckythegoat2]

254 ATLANTA -2.5 (1.93). $100 to win 93.

265 Carolina +14 (1.88). $100 to win 88.

274 NY JETS +7 (1.93). $100 to win 93.

Some logic on these games:

ATLANTA:
*The two WASH wins against Ariz/Den don't look so good anymore.
*Keep an eye on the WASH coaching situation. If Howell plays well and the Defense continues to struggle, Bienemy would be a logical replacement for Rivera under new mgmt.
*There's a saying that the best NFL capper does well to capture 3 on a mis-price. I think that's the case here. Median should be 3 here (IMHO), not 2.5.

CAROLINA:
*Based on their lack of SU/ATS success, Panthers are a contrarian candidate.
*As hi-octane as Miami is, they will be without two key cogs. OT Armstead out again, and speedy RB Achane now out, too.
*Don't blow off the Achane absence. He was putting up Nintendo YPR stats, and his presence was creating an unfair matchup. Ask Sean Payton about Achane.

NY JETS:
*Strength of Schedule edge to the Jets.
*Eagles don't look as sharp as last year. Will struggle to cover a margin.
*Notable difference in Jet potency with explosive RB Hall back in the lineup. They missed Hall badly in the 2nd half of 2022.

 

[Wagerallsports]

Good stuff Chucky

Best of luck

 

[agendaman]

browns plus 7 vs 49rs.

 

[chuckythegoat2]

Good stuff Chucky

Best of luck

Thank you, Wags. Can only hope for the best.

 

[tank28]

Good luck man

 

[chuckythegoat2]

Good luck man

Thank you, tank. All we can do is prepare and try our best.

 

[chuckythegoat2]

Some logic on these games:

ATLANTA:
*The two WASH wins against Ariz/Den don't look so good anymore.
*Keep an eye on the WASH coaching situation. If Howell plays well and the Defense continues to struggle, Bienemy would be a logical replacement for Rivera under new mgmt.
*There's a saying that the best NFL capper does well to capture 3 on a mis-price. I think that's the case here. Median should be 3 here (IMHO), not 2.5.

CAROLINA:
*Based on their lack of SU/ATS success, Panthers are a contrarian candidate.
*As hi-octane as Miami is, they will be without two key cogs. OT Armstead out again, and speedy RB Achane now out, too.
*Don't blow off the Achane absence. He was putting up Nintendo YPR stats, and his presence was creating an unfair matchup. Ask Sean Payton about Achane.

NY JETS:
*Strength of Schedule edge to the Jets.
*Eagles don't look as sharp as last year. Will struggle to cover a margin.
*Notable difference in Jet potency with explosive RB Hall back in the lineup. They missed Hall badly in the 2nd half of 2022.

I get what I deserve for backing these two QBs:

*ATL could move the ball all day on Wash. Inept play in the RZ.

*I've been anti-Young from Day One. Thought this was the right spot. 14-0 lead AND a long pick-6, still can't cover the #.

 

[Wagerallsports]

Let's get the Jets game Chucky

 

[chuckythegoat2]

Let's get the Jets game Chucky

We get the Jets home:

*I can't tell you how dreadful Carolina is.
...Up 14-0 early. And then it's paper-machete the rest of the day.
...I figured out what it is about Bryce Young. He can complete enough of the short routes to make you think he's decent.
...But he doesn't stretch the defense at all. So, the DBs never feel threatened. If Reich has any stones, he'll make the QB switch this week.