Solid prop value tonite (7:07 est)

[KingKolzig]

K.Gausman u5.5 strikeouts +140

Great deal final start of the season for him I dont see more than 85 pitches he was just pulled out of his last start with back tightness. Red sox still alive throwing 7 lefty bats at him and last 5 starts vs them only 4.8 strikeouts vs boston on average. I think hes only out there for the fans enjoyement and any discomfort hes yanked.

 

[JDS]

Just sharing for topic purposes I would never fade you Kinger.

 

[theriver55]

good counter take. thx gentlemen for the takes.

 

[KingKolzig]

Thanks jds. But hitters ump

Plus sox are alive and know all about his delivery. Guy mentioned tightness and still took it. o5.5 at bookmaker is -172

 

[djefferis]

Good luck - I’ll tail along for a buck tonight.

 

[djefferis]

Interesting in that managed 6 last outing with only 58 pitches in 5 innings - while complaining of back tightness.

Over last 9 outings - has only managed 6K’s in 2 of them including last outing. Yea- at a positive number I suspect there is some value here tonight.

Obviously anything can happen - but no way I’d be laying -170 here hoping he manages 6, no matter who the ump is.

 

[jjgold]

Kolzer call me

Need tips how to get laid

 

[KingKolzig]

6 innings
3 strikeouts

Winner

 

[JDS]

6 innings
3 strikeouts

Winner

Kinger with the winner up against the pro analyst respect 🫡

 

[KingKolzig]

Kinger with the winner up against the pro analyst respect 🫡

-128 was not the line

Anyone tailing him -150 or worse

 

[JDS]

-128 was not the line

Anyone tailing him -150 or worse

He did post that at 6:35 am though.

 

[jjgold]

Excellent

 

[KingKolzig]

He did post that at 6:35 am though.

What book has props that early?

 

[JDS]

What book has props that early?

No idea I don’t bet into that market Kinger, so I’m naive to the fact.

 

[KingKolzig]

No idea I don’t bet into that market Kinger, so I’m naive to the fact.

Sat/sun could be those fenway shadows again

Right now weather not really known. But if sunny then hammering unders

 

[djefferis]

Just sharing for topic purposes I would never fade you Kinger.

View attachment 43301

Anyone else suspicious of this guy - leading sheep to their slaughter will picking up the opposite side of a bet himself ?

Just seems too easy - you get lucky with a few props - build a following and then drop what you feel will be a loser on everyone. Worst case - you pick a winner again and lose the bets you made - continue to tout and charge a little more for your picks based on your “sterling record”.

Just the write up - “it inspires confidence that the Jays are giving him another start” and that “post game interviews were positive” - complete horseshit to me. Yea - like the Jays would just tell a guy whose feeling a little tired at the end of the season to just go home - we can get someone else to start these “meaningless” games - you’ve earned your salary or that a guy is going to come out in postgame and admit he’s really hurt and doesn’t want to play anymore.

 

[theriver55]

Anyone else suspicious of this guy - leading sheep to their slaughter will picking up the opposite side of a bet himself ?

Just seems too easy - you get lucky with a few props - build a following and then drop what you feel will be a loser on everyone. Worst case - you pick a winner again and lose the bets you made - continue to tout and charge a little more for your picks based on your “sterling record”.

Just the write up - “it inspires confidence that the Jays are giving him another start” and that “post game interviews were positive” - complete horseshit to me. Yea - like the Jays would just tell a guy whose feeling a little tired at the end of the season to just go home - we can get someone else to start these “meaningless” games - you’ve earned your salary or that a guy is going to come out in postgame and admit he’s really hurt and doesn’t want to play anymore.

maybe

 

[sleepy_mario]

Anyone else suspicious of this guy - leading sheep to their slaughter will picking up the opposite side of a bet himself ?

Just seems too easy - you get lucky with a few props - build a following and then drop what you feel will be a loser on everyone. Worst case - you pick a winner again and lose the bets you made - continue to tout and charge a little more for your picks based on your “sterling record”.

Just the write up - “it inspires confidence that the Jays are giving him another start” and that “post game interviews were positive” - complete horseshit to me. Yea - like the Jays would just tell a guy whose feeling a little tired at the end of the season to just go home - we can get someone else to start these “meaningless” games - you’ve earned your salary or that a guy is going to come out in postgame and admit he’s really hurt and doesn’t want to play anymore.

I think he's just trying to create content and gain views.

If they lines are any good, it's really hard to hit over 55% OR LESS THAN 45%, either way everyone ends up close to 50% and 'only' loses the vig. Your conspiracy theory is interesting though - just need to observe him a little bit longer to say anything with confidence.

 

[KingKolzig]

I wondered the same thing he knew gausman was injured. Who bets on an injured player in a meaningless game?

His entire write-up was being hopefull

 

[djefferis]

I think he's just trying to create content and gain views.

If the gain lines are any good, it's really hard to hit over 55% OR LESS THAN 45%, either way everyone ends up close to 50% and 'only' loses the vig. Your conspiracy theory is interesting though - just need to observe him a little bit longer to say anything with confidence.

Again - don’t know the guy nor follow. I’ll admit it’s a wild ass conspiracy theory with absolutely no proof - but it’s Thursday and we need something to discuss before getting into this weekends games tomorrow.

The “logic” though of his post is what just stinks to me. Any decent tout can write up a reason why they think they are on the right side with their pick.

All I can say is thankfully we have KingKolzig on the forums sharing his prop picks for free and doing well at it. Thanks again for the winner KK.