Skip to content

Slugger of the Day 2025

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
56,639
maybe my math is off but i'm seeing

8 possible picks for this mlb divison round
10 possible picks for championship round
7 possible picks for world series

if everything goes max games

jay needs 21 picks out of a possible 25 max games left better hope no sweeps in alcs or world series or could get interesting
Yep.
Of the 8 possible Division games, 5 days are guaranteed due to the stagger in games.
Of the 10 possible Champsions games, 6 are guaranteed.
Of the 7 WS, 4 guaranteed.

So there are 15 guranteed games left with a potential max of 25.
It's gonna be close.
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
56,639
Some interesting information on MLB Playoffs....
  • Avg projected HRs for the top 30 players in remainder of the playoffs = 0.2
  • The highest projection is 0.6 HRs for the rest of the post-season for just two elite players.
  • Avg odds for top 30 players ~+470 (will vary with pitching matchups, weather, etc...).
    Thats ~17% probability. For the elite players the odds are ~250 (28% probabilty).
Assuming the 17% to 28% probability and 20 days of games left to be played, the best you can expect to do is breakeven and most likely lose a couple units.


Of course someone may get lucky and find the needle in the haystack.
 
Top