MLB Sharp Action
3:10 p.m. ET: Washington Nationals (65-93) at Colorado Rockies (72-85)
These non-division opponents have split the first two games of the series, with the Nats stealing the opener 5-4 as + 150 road dogs and then the Rockies bouncing back with a 3-1 win on Tuesday, cashing as -130 home favorites. In this afternoon's rubber match, the Nationals hand the ball to righty Paolo Espino (5-5, 4.01 ERA) and the Rockies counter with fellow righty Peter Lambert (0-0, 4.91 ERA). This line opened at a pick'em with both sides listed at -105 odds. The public is split and doesn't know who to back, yet we've seen the Rockies tick up from -105 to -112. This signals some respected money leaning on Colorado at home. Short home favorites -130 or less are 256-197 (57 percent) this season. Non-division home favorites are 490-310 (61 percent). The Rockies are 47-33 at home this season. The Nats are 30-50 on the road. The home plate ump, Quinn Wolcott, is 125-96 (57 percent) to the home team historically. We've also seen pros lean on this under. The total opened at a super high 12.5 and has been bet down to 12. The under is 2-0 this series and 4-1 in the five head-to-head matchups this season. The forecast calls for low 70s with 10-12 MPH winds blowing in from dead center.
7:10 p.m. ET: Miami Marlins (64-93) at New York Mets (75-82)
The Mets swept yesterday's doubleheader against the Marlins, winning 5-2 as -190 home favorites and 2-1 as -140 home favorites. It marked the 7th straight loss for Miami. In tonight's rematch, the Marlins start righty Elieser Hernandez (1-3, 4.24 ERA) and the Mets rebuttal with fellow righty Taijuan Walker (7-11, 4.57 ERA). This line opened with New York listed as a -155 home favorite and Miami a + 140 road dog. Sharps have gotten down on the Mets to carry yesterday's momentum into today, steaming New York up from -155 to -170. Home favorites receiving steam 10-cents or more are 389-249 (61 percent) this season. The Mets are 46-33 at home this season. The Marlins are 24-55 on the road. New York also has value as a bigger favorite with a low total (7.5). Betting theory states that the fewer amount of expected runs scored, the more likely they are to come from the better team. We could be looking at a low scoring game in this one. The total is 7.5 with the under juiced to -120, signaling a possible fall to 7. The under is 3-1 the last four meetings head-to-head. The forecast calls for 65 degrees with 7-10 MPH winds blowing in from left center.
8:10 p.m. ET: Cincinnati Reds (82-76) at Chicago White Sox (90-68)
The White Sox took last night's Interleague Series opener 7-1, cashing as -175 home favorites. In tonight's rematch, the Reds give the ball to righty Sonny Gray (7-8, 3.99 ERA) and the White Sox counter with lefty Carlos Rodon (12-5, 2.47 ERA). This line opened with Chicago listed as a -155 home favorite and Cincinnati a + 140 road dog. Pros are expecting more of the same from last night, steaming the White Sox up from -155 to 165. Home favorites off a win are 510-328 (61 percent) this season. Home favorites receiving 10-cents of steam or more are 393-249 (61 percent). The White Sox also have value as an interleague favorite with a line move in their favor. Chicago is 50-27 at home this season. The Reds are 38-39 on the road. Sharps are also betting on a low scoring game, as we've seen the total fall from 8.5 to 8. The forecast calls for low 70s with wind blowing in from left center at 7-10 MPH. The under is 3-0 between these teams this season. The under is 4-1 in the last five White Sox games. The under is 12-3 in the last 15 games games for Cincinnati on the road.
