HITMAN | NFL Sides -
Sunday, Oct 31 2021 1:00PM
264
CLE -3.0 (-110)BetOnline vs 263 PIT triple-dime bet
Analysis:
Quite simply, I make this game Browns -3.5 at Keenum at QB, and I make it -6 with Baker at QB. Obviously prefer Mayfield is at quarterback (which some early reports seem to think is very possible), but regardless, I like this game from a power rating standpoint and a matchup standpoint a lot.
Pittsburgh is a bad team, with an immobile quarterback playing behind a poor offensive line who will be tasked with protecting him against one of the leagues best pass rushes. As long as Cleveland's roster is relatively healthy, which it appears they will be coming off a mini bye this week, this is a mismatch of talent.
LINE UPDATE: This game moved to a juiced 3 minutes after my release and is now mostly -3.5 an hour after release. I like this for a 3* up to Browns -4.5.
This is a good time for me to mention that the best way to win long term with me is long term access, and not buying daily. A lot of my early releases will move the market and more times than not I will beat the closing line. Yes, this makes it a little harder to get down on my releases, but it takes some work to win at sports betting. You'll need to set up alerts and be ready to play games when they are sent out. If your capper of choice game releases are not garnering market respect and doesn't beat the closing line, that should concern you.