Bettor Days
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Ian Parker
UFC 265
Derrick Lewis (-310) vs. Cyril Gane (-380): Gane (best bet)
Derrick Lewis will be taking on the undefeated Cyril Gane for the interim heavyweight title in his hometown of Houston. In order for Lewis to win, he is going to have to find a way to slow down Gane and avoid the takedowns. Otherwise, he is going to be in for a long night. Expect Gane to fight a similar style to his last one against Alexander Volkov. He is a high-level IQ fighter and knows to not stand in front of Lewis. Gane's speed and volume with his strikes will be too much for Lewis.
Jose Aldo (-130) vs. Pedro Munhoz (+110): Munhoz (best bet)
Jose Aldo took advantage of the hesitancy of Chito Vera and secured the decision win in his last fight. However, Pedro Munhoz will be a much tougher task as he will come forward and push the pace early and often. The best way to beat Aldo is to pressure and get him fighting off his back foot and off his back if you can get him down. Munhoz has all the skills to do so, and his style plays into that well.
Michael Chiesa (+110) vs. Vicente Luque (-130): Chiesa (best bet)
So far the move to welterweight has been a great decision for Michael Chiesa. He tries to continue is unbeaten streak in the weight class against battle tested Luque. Look for Chiesa to close the distance immediately and engage in the clinch where he will have the advantage. Unless Luque can turn this into a boxing match, I think Chiesa imposes his will and out hustles Luque on the ground for the duration of the entire fight.
Rafael Fiziev (-345) vs. Bobby Green (+285): Fiziev (best bet)
This should be an excellent showcase fight for the brilliant striker, Rafael Fiziev. Bobby Green is as tough as they come, but he's unlikely to have a game plan that can foil Fiziev. Look for Fiziev to avoid the clinch and early takedown attempts of Green and utilize his kickboxing skills to dominate.
Miles Johns (-200) vs. Anderson Dos Santos (+175): Johns (best bet)
In Johns' last fight, we finally saw the power in his hands and overall game we have been waiting for. I believe that carries over into this fight. Dos Santos has a strong guillotine and decent hands, but Johns is better everywhere.
Tecia Torres (-135) vs. Angela Hill (+115): Torres (lean)
This is a rematch that both women have been asking for. I believe Torres' speed in her striking and wrestling will be the difference. Hill is an excellent striker, but tends to be a little predictable as the fight goes on, and Torres' pace will give Hill problems.
Song Yadong (-110) vs. Casey Kenney (-110): Kenney (lean)
Both fighters will be looking to bounce back from their most recent loss. For Casey Kenney, losing to Dominick Cruz might be the best lesson in his career. Look for Kenney to push the pace early on Yadong , who will almost certainly wait to counter. Once Kenny lands a few strikes and gets respect from Yadong, he will change levels and utilize his wrestling, where he has the advantage.
Vince Morales (+100) vs. Drako Rodriguez (-120): Rodriguez (lean)
Vince Morales is most likely fighting to keep his spot on the roster against Drako Rodriguez. Unfortunately, this matchup does do him any favors. As long as Rodriguez doesn't get caught (just like his last fight) he should be able to control the action and win with his striking.
Alonzo Menifield (-240) vs. Ed Herman (+200): Herman (lean)
Time and time again, when Ed Herman seems to be a big underdog against a powerful athlete and striker, the world tends to rule him out. Based on Menifield's last two losses, I am going with Herman. If Herman can weather the early storm of Menifield and can put him on his back, Herman can utilize his cardio and ground game to get the upset.
Karolina Kowalkiewicz (-125) vs. Jessica Payne (+105): Kowalkiewicz (lean)
Trying to avoid her fifth loss in a row, Karolina Kowalkiewicz will be taking on Jessica Penne. I believe this style matchup favors Kowalkiewicz as long as she doesn't gas out. Penne will be willing to stand and strike, which favors Kowalkiewicz.
Manel Kape (-200) vs. Ode Osbourne (+170): Osbourne (lean)
So far the high expectations of Manel Kape have not been met. Unfortunately, I think he has another tough matchup stylistically in Ode Osbourne. We have not seen the aggressive nature Kape has shown in other organizations, which helped him dominate in previous fights. Due to his slow starts and hesitant nature, I am going with Osbourne.
UFC 265
Derrick Lewis (-310) vs. Cyril Gane (-380): Gane (best bet)
Derrick Lewis will be taking on the undefeated Cyril Gane for the interim heavyweight title in his hometown of Houston. In order for Lewis to win, he is going to have to find a way to slow down Gane and avoid the takedowns. Otherwise, he is going to be in for a long night. Expect Gane to fight a similar style to his last one against Alexander Volkov. He is a high-level IQ fighter and knows to not stand in front of Lewis. Gane's speed and volume with his strikes will be too much for Lewis.
Jose Aldo (-130) vs. Pedro Munhoz (+110): Munhoz (best bet)
Jose Aldo took advantage of the hesitancy of Chito Vera and secured the decision win in his last fight. However, Pedro Munhoz will be a much tougher task as he will come forward and push the pace early and often. The best way to beat Aldo is to pressure and get him fighting off his back foot and off his back if you can get him down. Munhoz has all the skills to do so, and his style plays into that well.
Michael Chiesa (+110) vs. Vicente Luque (-130): Chiesa (best bet)
So far the move to welterweight has been a great decision for Michael Chiesa. He tries to continue is unbeaten streak in the weight class against battle tested Luque. Look for Chiesa to close the distance immediately and engage in the clinch where he will have the advantage. Unless Luque can turn this into a boxing match, I think Chiesa imposes his will and out hustles Luque on the ground for the duration of the entire fight.
Rafael Fiziev (-345) vs. Bobby Green (+285): Fiziev (best bet)
This should be an excellent showcase fight for the brilliant striker, Rafael Fiziev. Bobby Green is as tough as they come, but he's unlikely to have a game plan that can foil Fiziev. Look for Fiziev to avoid the clinch and early takedown attempts of Green and utilize his kickboxing skills to dominate.
Miles Johns (-200) vs. Anderson Dos Santos (+175): Johns (best bet)
In Johns' last fight, we finally saw the power in his hands and overall game we have been waiting for. I believe that carries over into this fight. Dos Santos has a strong guillotine and decent hands, but Johns is better everywhere.
Tecia Torres (-135) vs. Angela Hill (+115): Torres (lean)
This is a rematch that both women have been asking for. I believe Torres' speed in her striking and wrestling will be the difference. Hill is an excellent striker, but tends to be a little predictable as the fight goes on, and Torres' pace will give Hill problems.
Song Yadong (-110) vs. Casey Kenney (-110): Kenney (lean)
Both fighters will be looking to bounce back from their most recent loss. For Casey Kenney, losing to Dominick Cruz might be the best lesson in his career. Look for Kenney to push the pace early on Yadong , who will almost certainly wait to counter. Once Kenny lands a few strikes and gets respect from Yadong, he will change levels and utilize his wrestling, where he has the advantage.
Vince Morales (+100) vs. Drako Rodriguez (-120): Rodriguez (lean)
Vince Morales is most likely fighting to keep his spot on the roster against Drako Rodriguez. Unfortunately, this matchup does do him any favors. As long as Rodriguez doesn't get caught (just like his last fight) he should be able to control the action and win with his striking.
Alonzo Menifield (-240) vs. Ed Herman (+200): Herman (lean)
Time and time again, when Ed Herman seems to be a big underdog against a powerful athlete and striker, the world tends to rule him out. Based on Menifield's last two losses, I am going with Herman. If Herman can weather the early storm of Menifield and can put him on his back, Herman can utilize his cardio and ground game to get the upset.
Karolina Kowalkiewicz (-125) vs. Jessica Payne (+105): Kowalkiewicz (lean)
Trying to avoid her fifth loss in a row, Karolina Kowalkiewicz will be taking on Jessica Penne. I believe this style matchup favors Kowalkiewicz as long as she doesn't gas out. Penne will be willing to stand and strike, which favors Kowalkiewicz.
Manel Kape (-200) vs. Ode Osbourne (+170): Osbourne (lean)
So far the high expectations of Manel Kape have not been met. Unfortunately, I think he has another tough matchup stylistically in Ode Osbourne. We have not seen the aggressive nature Kape has shown in other organizations, which helped him dominate in previous fights. Due to his slow starts and hesitant nature, I am going with Osbourne.
