JM Sports
E* Oakland Athletics +1.5
C* Brooklyn Nets -110
B* Nets-Bucks under 215
E* Oakland Athletics +1.5
Regardless of if this game is at 1:00pm ET or 10:00pm ET, this play is 5 star caliber. I would probably bet Oakland as an underdog, but for the sake of this 5 unit play I am going to take the +1.5 runs on the RL. Oakland is 133-100 in the L233 on the road, and 292-194 in the L486 overall. They are also 6-1 in the L7 overall, averaging 6.3 runs in those games while allowing only 3.9. On the road Oakland is 18-8 on the RL on the road TY, including 9-3 in the L12 as an AD. Following a game where they scored 5 or more runs the Athletics are 23-7 SU in the L30, scoring 5.07 runs in those 30 games, allowing only 3.37 runs, and vs. RHP Oakland is 13-3 on the RL following a 5+ run performance. The other big factor in this game is the fact that Bassitt is on the mound, he is 7-2 TY, while Oakland is 11-3 in his 14 starts, posting a 3.43 ERA, allowing 3.9 runs on average in his starts, w/ 5.1 runs of support behind Bassitt. In his L3 starts Oakland is 3-0, scoring 7.7 runs, allowing only 3.7 runs in those 3 starts, and in his L7 starts on the road Oakland is (+7.2 units) going 7-0. Even if Bassitt doesn’t make it all the way through this game, Oakland is still backed by a bullpen that has kept it’s ERA to 3.21 TY. New York on the other hand isn’t holding up to the standards that some may have expected with this offense, they are 27-41 on the RL TY, including 12-18 as a HF, 2-6 on the RL @ H vs. RHP in the L8, and 4-13 in the L17 @ H on the RL. In those 17 games the Yankees have been outscored on average by 1 runs (3.41 AF ; 4.41 AA), but in day games the Yankees have struggled even more, going 9-18, batting only .206, which leads to a run differential of (-1.3) (3.3 AF ; 4.6 AA). German is also on the mound for the Yankees, a pitcher who could have debatably been a #1 pitcher in a rotation has now posted a 6.60 ERA in the L3 starts, getting outscored by 2 runs in his L3 starts, allowing 5.3 runs in those 3 games, with only 3.3 runs of support.
C* Brooklyn Nets -110
Brooklyn may again be without one of their many stars but that hasn’t seem to be much of an issue this year. Even without 1 or 2 of the pieces that they have on this team, they still have a more dangerous offense then a lot of teams in the league. The Nets are 6-2 in the L8 as a F w/o Kyrie, outscoring opponents 122.8 - 111.5. They are 34-8 SU @ H TY, 11-3 @ H SU off a L, and 12-4 SU off a L in the L16 overall. Brooklyn is also 5-0 in the playoffs w/ 3 wins in a series when the line is between -3 & 4, they are 6-0 in the L6 games off a L @ H w/ a line > -4 (outscoring opponents 117.2 AF ; 106.3 AA). Milwaukee on the other hand has only been an AD 5 times TY, and they are 0-5 so far this year, getting outscored by 20 PPG ( 102.8 AF ; 122.8 AA), and Milwaukee is 2-6-1 on the road off a W in the L9.
B* Nets-Bucks under 215
So far this series is 1-5 OU in the first 6 games in the series, the Nets are 1-6 OU in the L7, and 3-7 OU in the playoffs so far, while Milwaukee is 2-7 OU in the playoffs. In game 7's the total is 22-52 OU s/ 1996, and even though this total is 215, which is low, even for this series, the series will still have gone under in 4 out of 6 games if the total would've been 215 (but that is the reason that I am limiting this to a 2 unit play). Definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting a different result, without anything changing, it's hard to believe that we would get a different result then another game under the total.
