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Ranking The 39 Unbeaten College Football Teams

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Connelly's Week 3 recap: Ranking the 39 unbeaten teams​

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Georgia is approaching 2014 Florida State levels of sleepwalking. Michigan is 0-for-3 in the "playing to projections" department. Ohio State has looked like full-on Ohio State once in three games. Alabama's offense stinks out loud. It's hard to completely trust Texas or Florida State yet. Oklahoma and Washington have looked great against mostly bad teams. USC hasn't had a chance to prove that its defense has improved.

Three weeks into the 2023 season, it's almost impossible to know whom to trust. Some of the most typically reliable teams have yet to shift out of third gear, and per Total QBR, Washington's, Texas A&M's, Miami's and Duke's quarterbacks rank higher than any of Ohio State's, Michigan's, Georgia's or Alabama's. Meanwhile, Syracuse has looked awesome, Rutgers has looked good, and Auburn is the only remaining unbeaten Iron Bowl team.

It's been weird. Weird is good. But on the off chance that normalcy returns soon, let's both commemorate and rank the 39 remaining unbeaten teams. (What criteria am I using for this? A combination of computer rankings and my own opinions. I tend to adhere mostly to what the numbers say, but I reserve the right to have terrible opinions and overreact. For instance, I'm really overreacting to what Washington has done so far this year.)
 

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30. Memphis (3-0)​

SP+ and FPI rankings: 41st and 51st

SP+ strength of schedule to date: 133rd

Odds of reaching 12-0, per SP+: 5.9%

What they did in Week 3: def. Navy 28-24

Why they're ranked here: It's an important year for Ryan Silverfield, who entered 2023 a solid but unspectacular 21-15 in charge of the Tigers. They crushed Bethune-Cookman and Arkansas State but damn near stumbled against Navy. The defense is aggressive and fun, especially against the pass, and they've got a huge opportunity against Mizzou in St. Louis this week. Win that one, and they're semi-official front-runners for a New Year's Six spot.


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31. Wake Forest (3-0)​

SP+ and FPI rankings: 45th and 57th

SP+ strength of schedule to date: 118th

Odds of reaching 12-0, per SP+: <0.1%

What they did in Week 3: def. Old Dominion 27-24

Why they're ranked here: The Deacs have beaten Elon, Vanderbilt and Old Dominion by a combined 39 points. That's ... fine. But most of the teams above them here would have won by a lot more. Wake overcame a pair of ODU defensive touchdowns -- resilience: good -- but the schedule strength picks up considerably in October.


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32. Kansas (3-0)​

SP+ and FPI rankings: 55th and 58th

SP+ strength of schedule to date: 94th

Odds of reaching 12-0, per SP+: <0.1%

What they did in Week 3: def. Nevada 31-24

Why they're ranked here: After Nevada's blowout loss to Idaho, I assumed the Jayhawks would come home from Reno with a blowout win. Instead, they had to make a pair of late stops to prevail. That undid a lot of the good vibes emerging from KU's Week 2 win over Illinois, but it certainly speaks to how far this team has risen under Lance Leipold that we're now disappointed in its wins.


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33. Air Force (3-0)​

SP+ and FPI rankings: 59th and 74th

SP+ strength of schedule to date: 131st

Odds of reaching 12-0, per SP+: 6.3%

What they did in Week 3: def. Utah State 39-21

Why they're ranked here: Per SP+, Troy Calhoun's Falcons are the current favorites to win the Mountain West, and it's not hard to see why. They are mercilessly efficient on both sides of the ball -- 11th in success rate, second in success rate allowed -- and while they don't make many big plays, they allow even fewer. They are projected favorites in each of their next eight games before an end-of-year trip to Boise.


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34. BYU (3-0)​

SP+ and FPI rankings: 47th and 56th

SP+ strength of schedule to date: 77th

Odds of reaching 12-0, per SP+: <0.1%

What they did in Week 3: def. Arkansas 38-31

Why they're ranked here: BYU beat Arkansas on Saturday by winning the field position and red zone battles. The offense remains dreadfully inefficient and needed short fields to top 30 points. But the defense is coming around nicely, and confidence is growing heading toward Saturday's trip to Lawrence, Kansas. (Goodness, there are so many unbeaten vs. unbeaten matchups this week.)


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35. Liberty (3-0)​

SP+ and FPI rankings: 70th and 72nd

SP+ strength of schedule to date: 125th

Odds of reaching 12-0, per SP+: 10.5%

What they did in Week 3: def. Buffalo 55-27

Why they're ranked here: Jamey Chadwell's first Liberty team went on 24-0 runs to start the Bowling Green and Buffalo games and scored the last 20 points against New Mexico State. When the Flames find a rhythm, they maximize it, and sophomore Kaidon Salter is quickly turning into the perfect Chadwell quarterback. He's got an outside chance at 3,000 passing yards and 1,000 rushing yards.


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36. Fresno State (3-0)​

SP+ and FPI rankings: 61st and 62nd

SP+ strength of schedule to date: 108th

Odds of reaching 12-0, per SP+: 8.0%

What they did in Week 3: def. Arizona State 29-0

Why they're ranked here: Jeff Tedford's Bulldogs outlasted Purdue in Week 1 and absolutely pummeled Arizona State 29-0. Or at least, they stepped back and let ASU pummel itself. Fresno State forced eight turnovers and won by 29 points despite settling for seven field goal attempts. Oh yeah, and in between these two huge wins the Bulldogs almost lost to Eastern Washington. Good luck making sense of all that.


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37. James Madison (3-0)​

SP+ and FPI rankings: 68th and 84th

SP+ strength of schedule to date: 113th

Odds of reaching 12-0, per SP+: 1.4%

What they did in Week 3: def. Troy 16-14

Why they're ranked here: There's a chance the Dukes are both the best team in Virginia and the best team in the Sun Belt. They still aren't eligible for the conference title (or a bowl), but Saturday's nip-and-tuck win over Troy sent a message. The offense is still trying to figure things out, but this defense is tough.


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38. Marshall (2-0)​

SP+ and FPI rankings: 72nd and 63rd

SP+ strength of schedule to date: 122nd

Odds of reaching 12-0, per SP+: 0.1%

What they did in Week 3: idle

Why they're ranked here: Charles Huff's third Thundering Herd squad nearly no-showed offensively in its opener but played well in an 18-point win at East Carolina in Week 2. The defense, meanwhile, looks like it could be one of the Group of 5's best for the second straight year. The schedule is about to get bumpy, but so far, so good in Huntington.


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39. Georgia State (3-0)​

SP+ and FPI rankings: 79th and 81st

SP+ strength of schedule to date: 130th

Odds of reaching 12-0, per SP+: <0.1%

What they did in Week 3: def. Charlotte 41-25


Why they're ranked here: Shawn Elliott's Panthers are growing more convincing by the week. They eased into the season with a narrow win over Rhode Island, but they're making loads of big plays, and Darren Grainger also has 3,000/1,000 potential. The defense probably gives up too many big plays for Georgia State to remain unbeaten for long -- next three games: Coastal Carolina, Troy, Marshall -- but a nice bounce-back season is developing in Atlanta.
 

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20. Auburn (3-0)​

SP+ and FPI rankings: 23rd and 26th

SP+ strength of schedule to date: 92nd

Odds of reaching 12-0, per SP+: 0.1%

What they did in Week 3: def. Samford 45-13

Why they're ranked here: Granted, it took some major red zone miscues from Cal in Week 2 for the Tigers to even make this list, but Hugh Freeze's first Auburn team is running the ball with extreme efficiency, dominating against the pass (granted, Texas A&M's passing game Saturday will be the first good one it has faced) and winning the games it's supposed to win.


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21. UCF (3-0)​

SP+ and FPI rankings: 29th and 21st

SP+ strength of schedule to date: 99th

Odds of reaching 12-0, per SP+: 0.7%

What they did in Week 3: def. Villanova 48-14

Why they're ranked here: From Gus Malzahn's former team to his current one. UCF exceeded SP+ projections by a combined 20.8 points in two home games and underachieved by 13.5 in its only road game. If the Knights can play well at Kansas State on Saturday, I'm a "sleeper Big 12 contender" believer. But not until then.


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22. Kentucky (3-0)​

SP+ and FPI rankings: 24th and 40th

SP+ strength of schedule to date: 127th

Odds of reaching 12-0, per SP+: 2.1%

What they did in Week 3: def. Akron 35-3

Why they're ranked here: Against just about the weakest schedule imaginable -- they've played FCS team Eastern Kentucky and teams ranked 118th (Ball State) and 130th (Akron) in SP+ -- the Wildcats have been ... fine. They kept the Cardinals and Zips at arm's length, but they dilly-dallied against EKU. I'm not sure we've learned a single thing about them yet.


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23. Maryland (3-0)​

SP+ and FPI rankings: 31st and 39th

SP+ strength of schedule to date: 129th

Odds of reaching 12-0, per SP+: 0.2%

What they did in Week 3: def. Virginia 42-14

Why they're ranked here: As with Kentucky, we've learned very little about a Maryland team that has beaten an FCS opponent (Towson) and the No. 94 (Virginia) and No. 129 (Charlotte) teams in SP+. The Terps are currently 12th in points per possession and 16th in points allowed per possession, but virtually every team ahead of them on this list would rank that well with that schedule too. There's upside here, and the Terps get Michigan State and Indiana over the next two weeks, so 5-0 is well within reach. But I'm still not sure about them.


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24. Washington State (3-0)​

SP+ and FPI rankings: 38th and 43rd

SP+ strength of schedule to date: 67th

Odds of reaching 12-0, per SP+: 0.1%

What they did in Week 3: def. Northern Colorado 64-21

Why they're ranked here: The defense has allowed at least 20 points in each game, but the offense hung a combined 114 on Colorado State and Northern Colorado and managed 31 points against a stingy Wisconsin defense. Cameron Ward is 16th in Total QBR, right ahead of Oregon's Bo Nix and LSU's Jayden Daniels. I don't know if the Cougars are Pac-12 contenders, but they're good.


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25. Duke (3-0)​

SP+ and FPI rankings: 32nd and 29th

SP+ strength of schedule to date: 36th

Odds of reaching 12-0, per SP+: 0.3%

What they did in Week 3: def. Northwestern 38-14

Why they're ranked here: Was the 28-7 win over Clemson a little fluky? Perhaps. Clemson had 12 more first downs and more scoring chances. But did the Blue Devils still win by 21 points? Yes. Have they continued to play brutally efficient offense since? Yes. The defense is bending far more than I'd like to see, but the Blue Devils are now 12-4 under Mike Elko and nearly in the SP+ top 30. It's getting harder to doubt them.


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26. Colorado (3-0)​

SP+ and FPI rankings: 76th and 64th

SP+ strength of schedule to date: 55th

Odds of reaching 12-0, per SP+: <0.1%

What they did in Week 3: def. Colorado State 43-35 (2OT)

Why they're ranked here: Legend and reality are in conflict when it comes to Deion Sanders' Buffaloes at the moment. That they are unbeaten after three games is incredible. They upset TCU in the season opener, they rank 23rd in total offense a year after ranking 128th, and Shedeur Sanders' ability to come through in virtually every make-or-break drive is incredible. But Sanders is getting hit far too much, the defense ranks 96th in success rate allowed and Saturday's dramatic comeback and thrilling rivalry win came against the team currently ranked 122nd in SP+.

There's a chance they keep pulling off magic acts in a magical season; there's also a chance that, with four currently unbeaten opponents over the next six games, a 3-0 start becomes about a 5-4 record in a month and a half.


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27. Missouri (3-0)​

SP+ and FPI rankings: 37th and 41st

SP+ strength of schedule to date: 57th

Odds of reaching 12-0, per SP+: <0.1%

What they did in Week 3: def. No. 15 Kansas State 30-27

Why they're ranked here: After games against South Dakota and Middle Tennessee State, the Tigers' offense had made fewer big plays than almost anyone in the country. That was a bad omen ... until Brady Cook threw for 356 yards, with six completions of more than 25 yards, in a 30-27 upset of Kansas State. If that's the offense Eliah Drinkwitz is going to pair with another solid defense moving forward, the Tigers could be on their way to a huge season. But they've got to do it twice before earning my trust.


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28. Louisville (3-0)​

SP+ and FPI rankings: 34th and 28th

SP+ strength of schedule to date: 119th

Odds of reaching 12-0, per SP+: 0.3%

What they did in Week 3: def. Indiana 21-14

Why they're ranked here: I've changed my mind about Louisville about 12 times in three games. The Cardinals started horribly against Georgia Tech, then rallied. They started slowly against Murray State, too, but eventually cruised. Against Indiana, they started beautifully, led 21-0 after 28 minutes ... and did almost nothing for the final 32. Their upside is matched only by their inconsistency.


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29. Rutgers (3-0)​

SP+ and FPI rankings: 64th and 46th

SP+ strength of schedule to date: 117th

Odds of reaching 12-0, per SP+: <0.1%

What they did in Week 3: def. Virginia Tech 35-16

Why they're ranked here: Ignore everything we know about Rutgers from years past -- the eight straight losing seasons, the six bottom-20 offenses in the past seven years -- and focus only on what we've seen through three results. What you'll see from that is a team that has overachieved projections by double digits in every game. We haven't found out how good this team is yet, but it's quite possibly the school's best since the Big East days.
 

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19. Iowa (3-0)​

SP+ and FPI rankings: 28th and 33rd

SP+ strength of schedule to date: 104th

Odds of reaching 12-0, per SP+: 1.7%

What they did in Week 3: def. Western Michigan 41-10

Why they're ranked here: The offense has done enough, and the defense looks as good as ever. Kirk Ferentz's Hawkeyes will have to raise their game considerably to remain on the unbeatens list seven days from now -- they visit Penn State on Saturday evening -- but Iowa has been as reliable as ever, for (mostly) better and (slightly) worse.
 

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18. North Carolina (3-0)​

SP+ and FPI rankings: 26th and 23rd

SP+ strength of schedule to date: 43rd

Odds of reaching 12-0, per SP+: 1.8%

What they did in Week 3: def. Minnesota 31-13

Why they're ranked here: The Heels had to survive a wild rivalry test in Week 2's 40-34 overtime win over Appalachian State, but they have been completely in control in two wins over power conference opponents. They went up 14-0 early in the second quarter against Minnesota and never let the Gophers get back within single digits. The offense isn't quite as trustworthy as hoped, but the defense looks far improved over last year's unit.
 

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17. Syracuse (3-0)​

SP+ and FPI rankings: 35th and 16th

SP+ strength of schedule to date: 116th

Odds of reaching 12-0, per SP+: 0.5%

What they did in Week 3: def. Purdue 35-20

Why they're ranked here: Here's a list of power conference teams that have exceeded SP+ projections more than Syracuse so far: Oklahoma. That's it. The Orange are dominating against the pass, Garrett Shrader nearly threw and rushed for 200 yards against Purdue, and the Cuse receiving corps are suddenly so deep that losing Oronde Gadsden II to a season-ending injury didn't slow them at all. What a revelation they've been.
 

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16. Oregon State (3-0)​

SP+ and FPI rankings: 20th and 20th

SP+ strength of schedule to date: 97th

Odds of reaching 12-0, per SP+: 0.9%

What they did in Week 3: def. San Diego State 26-9

Why they're ranked here: After thoroughly demolishing San Jose State and UC Davis, Jonathan Smith's Beavers looked a bit more mortal against San Diego State on Saturday. But only a bit. They averaged 7.7 yards per play and allowed only 4.9, but red zone miscues made the game look more competitive than it really was. The Beavers are still one of only six teams averaging at least 3.4 points per possession and allowing less than 1.0.
 

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15. UCLA (3-0)​

SP+ and FPI rankings: 19th and 27th

SP+ strength of schedule to date: 102nd

Odds of reaching 12-0, per SP+: 2.0%

What they did in Week 3: def. NC Central 59-7

Why they're ranked here: With all the incredible quarterback play out West, it might be easy to miss that through three games, Dante Moore is averaging 19.2 yards per completion with a 7-1 TD-to-INT ratio and a Total QBR better than that of Michigan's J.J. McCarthy, UNC's Drake Maye or Oregon's Bo Nix. I'm not sure about UCLA's defense yet, but the offense could be as good as ever.
 

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14. Utah (3-0)​

SP+ and FPI rankings: 17th and 19th

SP+ strength of schedule to date: 38th

Odds of reaching 12-0, per SP+: 0.9%

What they did in Week 3: def. Weber State 31-7

Why they're ranked here: Quarterback Cam Rising has yet to make his debut, and the offense hasn't been inspiring. But the defense has allowed 31 points in three games, and the Utes have ground out a pair of wins over power conference teams all the same. Ceilings might win national titles, but Utah has one of the highest floors in the country.
 

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13. Miami (3-0)​

SP+ and FPI rankings: 22nd and 15th

SP+ strength of schedule to date: 48th

Odds of reaching 12-0, per SP+: 2.1%

What they did in Week 3: def. Bethune-Cookman 48-7

Why they're ranked here: Mario Cristobal's Hurricanes took it easy on Bethune-Cookman, taking a 34-0 lead at halftime and throwing it into cruise control. The one time they had to show up for four quarters this year, they did so with aplomb, surging past Texas A&M with a midgame 34-9 run and winning by 15. We remember what they looked like last year, but this team has given us almost no reason to doubt it.
 

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12. Ole Miss (3-0)​

SP+ and FPI rankings: 14th and 13th

SP+ strength of schedule to date: 81st

Odds of reaching 12-0, per SP+: 0.9%

What they did in Week 3: def. Georgia Tech 48-23

Why they're ranked here: The Rebels were without leading receiver Tre Harris against Georgia Tech, and Quinshon Judkins was banged up. So they merely averaged 9.8 yards per play and scored 48 points. I don't trust the defense yet, but Ole Miss is as explosive as any team in FBS.
 

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12. Ole Miss (3-0)​

SP+ and FPI rankings: 14th and 13th

SP+ strength of schedule to date: 81st

Odds of reaching 12-0, per SP+: 0.9%

What they did in Week 3: def. Georgia Tech 48-23

Why they're ranked here: The Rebels were without leading receiver Tre Harris against Georgia Tech, and Quinshon Judkins was banged up. So they merely averaged 9.8 yards per play and scored 48 points. I don't trust the defense yet, but Ole Miss is as explosive as any team in FBS.
 

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11. Oregon (3-0)​

SP+ and FPI rankings: 11th and 8th

SP+ strength of schedule to date: 78th

Odds of reaching 12-0, per SP+: 4.4%

What they did in Week 3: def. Hawai'i 55-10

Why they're ranked here: The Ducks survived a weird trip to Lubbock, and they made mincemeat of Portland State and Hawai'i (combined score: 136-17). The defense doesn't appear entirely trustworthy, but Bo Nix and the offense are as efficient as ever. And over their next five games, they'll play four against teams on this list.
 

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10. Penn State (3-0)​

SP+ and FPI rankings: 9th and 6th

SP+ strength of schedule to date: 56th

Odds of reaching 12-0, per SP+: 5.1%

What they did in Week 3: def. Illinois 30-13

Why they're ranked here: The Nittany Lions weathered the first road start of quarterback Drew Allar's career with a patchy but comfortable win in Champaign. The defense is as awesome as advertised, but Allar & Co. will face maybe the best defense in the country -- Iowa's -- this coming weekend in Happy Valley.
 

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9. Notre Dame (4-0)​

SP+ and FPI rankings: 4th and 12th

SP+ strength of schedule to date: 103rd

Odds of reaching 12-0, per SP+: 6.7%

What they did in Week 3: def. Central Michigan 41-17

Why they're ranked here: I can't decide what to make of Marcus Freeman's Fighting Irish at the moment. They are handling their business, and the one time they played a top-50 team to date -- dodging storms at NC State in Week 2 -- they put the game away with a decisive 21-0 run. But their defense has failed to meet SP+ projections for three straight games, and they beat CMU by the same margin that moribund Michigan State did. Upside: high. Consistency: lower than I'd prefer.
 

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8. Oklahoma (3-0)​

SP+ and FPI rankings: 7th and 2nd

SP+ strength of schedule to date: 96th

Odds of reaching 12-0, per SP+: 13.3%

What they did in Week 3: def. Tulsa 66-17

Why they're ranked here: Oklahoma has faced two bad opponents in three games, but Dillon Gabriel's numbers are still hilarious: 83% completion rate, 10.8 yards per dropback, 11-1 TD-to-INT ratio, 92.5 Total QBR (third overall). Week 4 opponent Cincinnati might have the first decent defense the Sooners face, but OU hasn't given us any reason to doubt so far.
 

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7. Michigan (3-0)​

SP+ and FPI rankings: 3rd and 14th

SP+ strength of schedule to date: 126th

Odds of reaching 12-0, per SP+: 12.9%

What they did in Week 3: def. Bowling Green 31-6

Why they're ranked here: When you know you're not going to be challenged (and you're without your suspended head coach), there's no reason to shift out of about second gear. I get it. I also know that, through three weeks, only Baylor, Oklahoma State, Arizona State and Tennessee have underachieved against SP+ projections more than Michigan has. When it's time to shift into gear and actually start playing -- perhaps this week when unbeaten Rutgers visits? -- are the Wolverines going to be able to do it without a hitch? If so, they'll jump up this list in a hurry.
 

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6. Florida State (3-0)​

SP+ and FPI rankings: 13th and 10th

SP+ strength of schedule to date: 40th

Odds of reaching 12-0, per SP+: 5.3%

What they did in Week 3: def. Boston College 31-29

Why they're ranked here: This time last week, I'd have been tempted to rank the Seminoles No. 1 on this list. But even accounting for funky weather and a run of injuries, the Noles were surprisingly poor against a Boston College team that was coming off a narrow win over Holy Cross. Now I'm really not sure what to think.
 

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5. Texas (3-0)​

SP+ and FPI rankings: 10th and 7th

SP+ strength of schedule to date: 27th

Odds of reaching 12-0, per SP+: 8.4%

What they did in Week 3: def. Wyoming 31-10

Why they're ranked here: In their big win over Alabama, the Longhorns exceeded SP+ projections by nearly 23 points. In wins over Rice and Wyoming, they underachieved by 25 points. We know Quinn Ewers & Co. are pretty dynamite when they're in fifth gear. We just need to see more of that.
 

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4. USC (3-0)​

SP+ and FPI rankings: 5th and 5th

SP+ strength of schedule to date: 123rd

Odds of reaching 12-0, per SP+: 4.1%

What they did in Week 3: idle

Why they're ranked here: The offense is the most trustworthy in college football, and the defense ... might be showing signs of life? Perhaps? The Trojans might have a few more games before they need to get fully into gear, but their home stretch -- five teams ranked between fourth and 19th in SP+ in their final six games -- is a doozy.
 
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