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Predictions for 2025?

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patrickbateman

patrickbateman

Joined
Jul 11, 2024
Messages
1,570
1. The economy will continue failing and get worse.

2. Stock market will go down and investors will see minimal gains.

3. Bitcoin back down to $50,000.

4. Democrats will sabotage any efforts to fix what ails the United States.

5. Russia will take over the Ukraine by June.

6. Trump will lose his mind and risk getting impeached.

7. More information about Biden and his son's business dealings will come out.

8. Biological men will be out of women's sports.

9. AI will continue to take white collar jobs.

10. Inflation will continue.
 

djefferis

djefferis

Joined
Jan 8, 2024
Messages
2,910
I can see 1 and 2 happening.

BUT if 1 & 2 happen along with 10 - then 3 won’t.

BTC is a safe harbor for investors - just like gold historically. When there is no “safe” place to park money in the markets and interest rates are moderately low with inflation rising - gold has been the harbor of choice. BTC is simply the new gold for many.

Russia will not conquer all of Ukraine - expect a grudging cease fire though. Russia cannot withstand the risk of further sanctions and Ukraine knows Trump will not support them. Both are afraid of the uncertainty Trump brings to the table and will
look to end this conflict. Russia is running short of troops and a deflation of oil prices will cripple their ability to keep throwing money at their war - Ukraine knows without the US firepower they are stuck holding existing positions and not able to make a second push this spring like last year.
 

djefferis

djefferis

Joined
Jan 8, 2024
Messages
2,910
4,6 and 7 seem inevitable.

9 as well - but a lot of the jobs we are “losing” were outsourced a decade ago or have high turnover. All we are doing is freeing up bodies to run the deep fryer at McD’s vs being a CSR in a call center.

Simple fact is you can’t buy the software to run the fryer cheaper - so humans will remain in those jobs - but you can get the software to manage those people cheaper - so your eliminating assistant manager jobs. Less middle management is not actually a bad thing.
 

djefferis

djefferis

Joined
Jan 8, 2024
Messages
2,910
Jimmy Carter will pass away. By the looks he should have already passed. Put him out of his misery. So sad.

That’s like predicting JJ will have a losing record.

Yea - dude has had a hell of a run - but perfect example of why I have no desire to live to 100 if life at 100 means living like that. It’s not living - it’s surviving and there is a huge difference in the 2.

Living is enjoyable - surviving is just not dying.
 

djefferis

djefferis

Joined
Jan 8, 2024
Messages
2,910
A BMR book rated 9.5 or better will cease to operate (or become deposit only) in 2025.

Offshore will continue to consolidate - another “merger” of shops will see one of the big 3 picking up another brand.
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
46,029
How does 4 happen?

We control the House, Senate and Whitehouse. Dems have no control.
They only way we don't succeed is if our own party members screw us.
 

djefferis

djefferis

Joined
Jan 8, 2024
Messages
2,910
How does 4 happen?

We control the House, Senate and Whitehouse. Dems have no control.
The only way we don't succeed is if our own party members screw us.

Agreed - but do old splits within the party begin to show.

Just as dems had turmoil when in control - GOP will likely face much of the same.

You have some far right and some more moderates and when it’s close - all it takes is a couple of people to try and get some more kickbacks to their tiny ass state to hold things up.

Rarely is a single party controlled congress and president good for financial markets - even Republican controlled. It will benefit SECTORS but the overall market may be choppy.
 

djefferis

djefferis

Joined
Jan 8, 2024
Messages
2,910
👍🍺
Cleveland Browns - Will win the Super Bowl
Cleveland Indians (ERRR! ‘Guardians’) - Will win the World Series

Better chance of the Indians name making a come back than Browns winning a playoff game - much less the SB.

Now that Colavito has passed - perhaps that curse should end. But I suspect it will just become the curse of Sockalexis due to the name change.

Rocco hated Frank Lane for that trade - but always loved Cleveland fans - can’t imagine he would have cursed the city or wished to deny them a championship.
 
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