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Phillies @ Padres 9:40 ET

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Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
42,497
This is the only MLB game I like on the board.

Starters
Musgrove (SDP) 1.59 ERA vs Suarez (PHI) 4.43 ERA. More recently, in his last 5 starts Mugrove has a 1.00 ERA and Suarez has a 4.91 ERA. Suarez is a lefty but SD actually hits better against lefties (0.254 AVG vs 0.242 AVG season).

Bats
Last 7 days
SD 0.269 AVG, 134 WRC+, 0.825 OPS
PHI 0.200 AVG, 74 WRC+, 0.608 OPS

Relief Pitching:
SD 3.07 ERA season. 3.22 ERA last 7 days.
PHI 3.88 ERA season. 4.98 ERA last 7 days
Philly pen is rested up a little more than Padres since they had Monday off but Padres have the numbers in the pen. The Padres have at least 5 quality relief pitchers while Phillies have 3-4.

Phillies are in a little bit of a slide in the middle of their extended road trip, losing last 3.
Padres are starting their home stand strong with a 3 game win streak so far.

I think the line has value and would have expected to pay more for this play.
Good luck.

Padres ML -148
 
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