One thing's for sure, the scores aren't going to be blowing it up like in weeks past.
Look's like we've had 4 tourneys since the wrap around season began on Sept 18th, 2022 where the tourney winner was less than double digit under par, just 4. Two of those were -9, a -8, and a -7.
This course, this week, could end up playing as the toughest course all season. It will probably the highest scoring winner so far, at maybe -5 or -6, I don't think we see double digits here, but we measure the toughest course, usually, by thte average to par, so the winner doesn't tell us everything.
Going to need land drives and have a decent approach shot to give the putter a chance here.
In fact, the BMW Championship itself is geared towards low ass scoring, like -20 if they can. But this is the 2nd year they've played at Olympia Fields, Illinois.
Last time, in 2020, Rahm won with a -4 score.
Finding Rahm at 10-1 might not be bad move.
Rory McIlroy always a danger in such a skilled tourney.
I had Colin Morikawa last week, he failed. He's on the radar again at near 25-1 odds, not bad.
But perhaps the best value I see so far could be Max Homa at 25-1 or so. If I had that, and he was in the running on Sunday, I would consider trading out.
I haven't pulled the trigger here, still looking at options, including matchups but this isn't exactly a course where we have a rich tourney history to go off of.
What we know is that it takes a bit of consistent skill here, it's not like the tournaments we've seen recently. This course will be tougher.
I'll do a breakdown soon and probably make a bigger case for Homa, at least to try to get equity.
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