Only make a play when it’s a spread underdog

[jjgold]

Basically what I’m trying to tell you guys if you like a game and it’s a favorite just lay off, if you come up with a game and a spread underdog no matter what sport you take it. I don’t think you could ever get hurt anymore in the landscape of sports.

 

[Tanko]

Basically what I’m trying to tell you guys if you like a game and it’s a favorite just lay off, if you come up with a game and a spread underdog no matter what sport you take it. I don’t think you could ever get hurt anymore in the landscape of sports.

Interesting take JJ.
Any data to back that up or is it just your decades of knowledge that established that general rule?
I'm not being sarcastic here. I'd like to know.

 

[fishhead]

This actually is DECENT advice for many.

GL GOLD

 

[krit]

That's basically me everyday.

70% of this forum are squares that bet $10 favorites.

 

[JDS]

That's basically me everyday.

70% of this forum are squares that bet $10 favorites.

You are doing well in the NBA wish I had your confidence right now.

 

[krit]

You are doing well in the NBA wish I had your confidence right now.

When I’m hot i can get as hot as anyone I’ve ever met betting. When I’m cold I go ice. I’m riding this wave.

 

[JDS]

When I’m hot i can get as hot as anyone I’ve ever met betting. When I’m cold I go ice. I’m riding this wave.

Same here that’s why I’m not betting much these days. Losing turns me off, the more I win the more I bet.

 

[Tanko]

When I’m hot i can get as hot as anyone I’ve ever met betting. When I’m cold I go ice. I’m riding this wave.

You are definitely heating up my may. Keep going.

 

[BIGDAY]

ONLY Spread I'm worried about is JJ's SuperBowl spread.....

 

[BigJay]

Interesting take JJ.
Any data to back that up?

 

[krit]

Same here that’s why I’m not betting much these days. Losing turns me off, the more I win the more I bet.

Less volume or less money per bet?

 

[JDS]

Less volume or less money per bet?

Both right now, which has been a smart move would’ve lost most of my bankroll if I stayed at 5-10K a game.

 

[stormtrooper8]

Basically what I’m trying to tell you guys if you like a game and it’s a favorite just lay off, if you come up with a game and a spread underdog no matter what sport you take it. I don’t think you could ever get hurt anymore in the landscape of sports.

Stay off the weed lol

 

[krit]

Both right now, which has been a smart move would’ve lost most of my bankroll if I stayed at 5-10K a game.

Hot damn. What do you do for a living or how'd you get so much money?

I make and have a lot of money, I should probably bet more than I am but I'm trying to find the sweet spot. Want to bet enough where it matters, but also don't like to stress over the losses. I'm trying to learn to increase bet size as I get hot and decrease as I go cold. I used to just chase and bet more when I'm not hitting.

 

[JDS]

Hot damn. What do you do for a living or how'd you get so much money?

I make and have a lot of money, I should probably bet more than I am but I'm trying to find the sweet spot. Want to bet enough where it matters, but also don't like to stress over the losses. I'm trying to learn to increase bet size as I get hot and decrease as I go cold. I used to just chase and bet more when I'm not hitting.

I made over 150K betting on sports from September 2023 to June 2024. A big chunk of those winnings came from a 89K parlay in March of 2024. Since June of 2024 I’ve given back over -50K overall last 8 months.

 

[krit]

I made over 150K betting on sports from September 2023 to June 2024. A big chunk of those winnings came from a 89K parlay in March of 2024. Since June of 2024 I’ve given back over -50K overall last 8 months.

View attachment 52885

Wow, nicely done. Overall sounds like you are still up quite a bit.

 

[JDS]

Wow, nicely done. Overall sounds like you are still up quite a bit.

Yeah around +75K, but right now I have scared money and I’m betting $100 a game. I might bet 1K on the Super Bowl not sure.