NFL - Week 11 (3 plays)

[chuckythegoat2]

312 BALT Ravens -3.5 (1.93). $100 to win 93.
...The loss to Clev was so improbable. Expected Win% exceeded 98% at one point in the 4q.
...Only a few plays from being 10-0. 7-3 record understates their quality.
...One matchup stat jumps off the page at me. Difference btw these two teams is bigger than people think.

457 NY Giants +10 (1.93). $100 to win 93.
...Who's gonna bet em? Such a bad look.
...So bad, guys know they're playing for jobs.
...If there's one team the Giants will feel comfortable playing, it's WASH. They know they can play with this team. And WASH jettisoned two top Def Linemen.

472 BUFFALO Bills -7 (1.93). $100 to win 93.
...Catching a falling-knife. Bills canned the OC, everyone will be on red-alert.
...Some statistical success last game. Getting killed by the turnovers and self-inflicted mistakes.

 

[BMR Genie]

Thanks for sharing your picks, Chuck. Good luck!

Absolutely true for the Giants "So bad, guys know they're playing for jobs."

 

[JDS]

Good & straight to the point analysis on why to bet these games which I can appreciate because that’s my style as well good luck on this 3 pack Chucky

 

[chuckythegoat2]

Very happy with these. 3-0 ATS.

Not that it matters, but each game covers by > 10 pts.

 

[chadrickjames]

Very nice!

 

[krit]

Nice Chucky!

 

[JDS]

Very happy with these. 3-0 ATS.

Not that it matters, but each game covers by > 10 pts.

Easy week those are rare, God bless your new found winnings

 

[Wagerallsports]

Very happy with these. 3-0 ATS.

Not that it matters, but each game covers by > 10 pts.

Great job Chucky

 

[harpo]

Nice Hit !!! Would have made a nice 3 team Parlay as well. Again Congrats

 

[chuckythegoat2]

Easy week those are rare, God bless your new found winnings

Thx, Jerky. I don't take it for granted at all.

 

[JDS]

Thx, Jerky. I don't take it for granted at all.

Good stay humble & keep working hard.

 

[Jrgum3]

Great calls Chucky your analysis was spot on especially with the Giants. That one was particularly impressive because it takes guts to back that team even ATS.

 

[BMR Genie]

Triple win for you, Chuck! Congrats.

The Giants, together with the Packers are the only 2 dogs that won on week 11. You just nailed it!

 

[chuckythegoat2]

Great calls Chucky your analysis was spot on especially with the Giants. That one was particularly impressive because it takes guts to back that team even ATS.

Thx, gum. Yes, I think guts b/c it wasn't brains.

In NFL, I sometimes like backing the team that people won't back w/ a 10-foot pole. How many people were taking shots at Devito during the week? Guy had a great game despite being sacked nine times.

 

[BMR Genie]

Thx, gum. Yes, I think guts b/c it wasn't brains.

In NFL, I sometimes like backing the team that people won't back w/ a 10-foot pole. How many people were taking shots at Devito during the week? Guy had a great game despite being sacked nine times.

Wow! Sacked 9 times and still won..That's a record!

 

[BMR Genie]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1726332180476121235

 

[chuckythegoat2]

Genie, I think Contract $$ is going to be a big talking point in the off-season. A few things stick out to me:

1) The RBs want more $$ early in their career. It's a usage position. They want to get paid b4 they get used up.

2) The veteran QB salaries are out of control. Have to question those figures, when teams are getting 10-cents on the dollar. Sometimes, there's a cheaper solution.

 

[jjgold]

Good work, Chuckie we like what we see out of you

 

[BMR Genie]

Genie, I think Contract $$ is going to be a big talking point in the off-season. A few things stick out to me:

1) The RBs want more $$ early in their career. It's a usage position. They want to get paid b4 they get used up.

2) The veteran QB salaries are out of control. Have to question those figures, when teams are getting 10-cents on the dollar. Sometimes, there's a cheaper solution.

After last night's performance, he really needs to ask for a raise.

Yeah, I am not also in favor of the main QB's massive contract deals. It's just too much!

 

[chuckythegoat2]

Good work, Chuckie we like what we see out of you

Not really too worried about your opinion.