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NCAAF Picks - Week 1

JDS

JDS

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Dec 11, 2021
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SUNDAY, 8/31
Notre Dame / Miami-FL UNDER 51.5 -108 (Heritage)


2024 Final: 125-109-4, +5.86
I like Miami to win that game, you must have some faith in Miami’s defense this year to play the under right out of the gate ? Or do you think ND will shutdown the Miami offense more so …
 

JDS

JDS

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Dec 11, 2021
Messages
54,701
i like miami as the dog as well
I wonder is LT Profits will bless us with his opinion on this game besides throwing a model at us :popcorn:
 

LT Profits

LT Profits

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I like Miami to win that game, you must have some faith in Miami’s defense this year to play the under right out of the gate ? Or do you think ND will shutdown the Miami offense more so …
Just some highlights:
I agree Miami defense is the biggest variable, but Notre Dame breaking in new QB (I assume Carr but would be new QB regardless) and already lost starting tight end and promising RB Young for the season. Miami new Defensive Coordinator did great job at Minnesota last year, and only 4 returning starters on defense may be a good thing :D Canes have top 10 recruiting class with 2 top prospects at linebacker and one at safety.

Beck should be great for Miamt eventually, but he did miss a lot of practice while being put into a brand new system. Canes may be a little more run heavy until he acclimates. And Notre Dame defense still looks strong.

As for side, model currently has ND around -3.5, but I am not keen giving points in true road game here. Then agian, I MIGHT if line drops, currently -2 available.
 
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JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
54,701
Just some highlights:
I agree Miami defense is the biggest variable, but Notre Dame breaking in new QB (I assume Carr but would be new QB regardless) and already lost starting tight end and promising RB Young for the season. Miami new Defensive Coordinator did great job at Minnesota last year, and only 4 returning starters on defense may be a good thing :D Canes have top 10 recruiting class with 2 top prospects at linebacker and one at safety.

Beck should be great for Miamt eventually, but he did miss a lot of practice while being put into a brand new system. Canes may be a little more run heavy until he acclimates. And Notre Dame defense still looks strong.
Solid info thanks for taking the time to explain that 🫡
 

BigJay

BigJay

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Oct 28, 2021
Messages
20,681
Just some highlights:
I agree Miami defense is the biggest variable, but Notre Dame breaking in new QB (I assume Carr but would be new QB regardless) and already lost starting tight end and promising RB Young for the season. Miami new Defensive Coordinator did great job at Minnesota last year, and only 4 returning starters on defense may be a good thing :D Canes have top 10 recruiting class with 2 top prospects at linebacker and one at safety.

Beck should be great for Miamt eventually, but he did miss a lot of practice while being put into a brand new system. Canes may be a little more run heavy until he acclimates. And Notre Dame defense still looks strong.

As for side, model currently has ND around -3.5, but I am not keen giving points in true road game here. Then agian, I MIGHT if line drops, currently -2 available.
Did this opening line cross 3?
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
54,701
I edited to add Side talk at end.
Your plays have been very good all major sports, side talk is what the members want (on occasion) :highfive:
 
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