NCAABK play 1/30

[djefferis]

Been a few days since I had a play on college hoops - but will have at least one todayZ

Illinois - 2.5 @ Ohio state

Illini are the play here - OSU is in must win territory - they need this to build credibility for NCAA tourney. I don’t see it happening for them. Illini are getting things going and should beat OSU by 6 at least.

Got my eye on a few others - but Illini win here.

 

[BMR Genie]

Good luck, DJ.

You and Tanko are both on Illinois.

 

[jjgold]

I’m not getting beat by points here those games are so close. I’ll take the money line.

 

[Tanko]

Been a few days since I had a play on college hoops - but will have at least one todayZ

Illinois - 2.5 @ Ohio state

Illini are the play here - OSU is in must win territory - they need this to build credibility for NCAA tourney. I don’t see it happening for them. Illini are getting things going and should beat OSU by 6 at least.

Got my eye on a few others - but Illini win here.

I got it at -3 earlier this morning.
I also see Illinois as a much better team than Ohio St.

Ohio St. hasn't played well since they beat Rutgers Jan 3rd. Their 5 losses since then have all been by wide margins and their lone win was vs a not so great Penn St. team at home. They continue to trend down in KenPom while Illinois is still hanging around #10 on KenPom list since late Dec.

Good to see we're on the same side of this one.
GL

 

[JDS]

South Carolina Gamecocks getting 14.5 points today and they are 7-1 ATS getting points this year seems suspicious.

 

[djefferis]

Exactly - TN is the better team and at home - but near 15 points is ALOT.

Tenn plays a slightly more uptempo game - but nothing that should suggest that it supports double digit spread.

Might be worth looking into some more. Thanks

 

[djefferis]

Dayton -14 at home is another home team who looks over priced vs a good George Washington team.

Why lay so many points / Dayton should win / but I suspect it will be closer than 14. Home team will just be protecting a lead and road team trying to close the gap in time.

A lot of recent home team failure to preserve the cover last weekend - looks like trend may continue.

 

[djefferis]

UNC on the road -9.5 vs Georgia Tech is another play for me tonight.

UNC averages 10 more ppg - is 5-0 on the road and GT is not going to be able to keep up in this game. Unless they manage to slow down Tarheels significantly - it could get ugly.

ACC is simply now a league of have and have nots - and GT is a have not. Unlike leagues like the Big 10 - there are realistically only a few teams capable of winning the ACC and UNC is one of them.

Take the tarheels here tonight.

 

[Tanko]

UNC on the road -9.5 vs Georgia Tech is another play for me tonight.

UNC averages 10 more ppg - is 5-0 on the road and GT is not going to be able to keep up in this game. Unless they manage to slow down Tarheels significantly - it could get ugly.

ACC is simply now a league of have and have nots - and GT is a have not. Unlike leagues like the Big 10 - there are realistically only a few teams capable of winning the ACC and UNC is one of them.

Take the tarheels here tonight.

WTH? You copying my card?

I also like the Tar Heels. I'm in at -9.

 

[djefferis]

Great minds think alike

 

[djefferis]

1-1

UNC losing last second - but struggled whole game.

Buckeyes on the other hand faltered as expected. Illinois could be a team to watch come tourney time.

 

[Tanko]

1-1

UNC losing last second - but struggled whole game.

Buckeyes on the other hand faltered as expected. Illinois could be a team to watch come tourney time.

Like CK said, maybe the Tar Heels were looking ahead to Saturday's Duke game. IDK but they sucked last night.

 

[BMR Genie]

Like CK said, maybe the Tar Heels were looking ahead to Saturday's Duke game. IDK but they sucked last night.

Do you think UNC line is going to be affected by this loss against Duke on Saturday, Tank?

 

[Tanko]

Do you think UNC line is going to be affected by this loss against Duke on Saturday, Tank?

No. Its Duke vs UNC and at home. They will be focused.
This is likely the biggest game of the year, every year for these teams. Massive rivalry.

 

[BMR Genie]

No. Its Duke vs UNC and at home. They will be focused.
This is likely the biggest game of the year, every year for these teams. Massive rivalry.

I know this has already been discussed in a previous thread but I can't wait to see the line for this match. CK will be having a great time watching this game.

 

[Tanko]

I know this has already been discussed in a previous thread but I can't wait to see the line for this match. CK will be having a great time watching this game.

Probably open at UNC -6 +/-1 pt

 

[BMR Genie]

Probably open at UNC -6 +/-1 pt

Thanks, Tank.

I'm trying to find the last 5 games between these 2 teams and this is what I found. Missing the 2023 game record, but looks like Duke won it

https://odds.bookmakersreview.com/n...ar-heels/box-score/?date=20230304&eid=4679854

Carolina–Duke rivalry - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

April 2, 2022: (#8 East) North Carolina 81, #9 (#2 West) Duke 77
March 5, 2022: North Carolina 94, #4 Duke 81
February 8, 2020: #7 Duke 98, North Carolina 96 (OT)
March 15, 2019: #5 Duke 74, #3 North Carolina 73

 

[Tanko]

Thanks, Tank.

I'm trying to find the last 5 games between these 2 teams and this is what I found. Missing the 2023 game record, but looks like Duke won it

https://odds.bookmakersreview.com/n...ar-heels/box-score/?date=20230304&eid=4679854

Carolina–Duke rivalry - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

April 2, 2022: (#8 East) North Carolina 81, #9 (#2 West) Duke 77
March 5, 2022: North Carolina 94, #4 Duke 81
February 8, 2020: #7 Duke 98, North Carolina 96 (OT)
March 15, 2019: #5 Duke 74, #3 North Carolina 73

Pretty tight games (except the March 5th game 2 years ago).

 

[djefferis]

Forgot about Duke game coming up - still no excuse for losing that game for UNC.

Duke/UNC is of course THE rivalry for NC hoops- both want to beat each other - and then you have Wake and NC State just hoping to beat one or the other to get a little damn respect.

UNC on paper is a better team - that said, don’t put it past Duke to pull an upset here. Records/stats go out the door in these games. These are the games that keep coaches employed or cost them contracts - guaranteed they will have their respective teams ready no matter what happened the last few games.

 

[Tanko]

Forgot about Duke game coming up - still no excuse for losing that game for UNC.

Duke/UNC is of course THE rivalry for NC hoops- both want to beat each other - and then you have Wake and NC State just hoping to beat one or the other to get a little damn respect.

UNC on paper is a better team - that said, don’t put it past Duke to pull an upset here. Records/stats go out the door in these games. These are the games that keep coaches employed or cost them contracts - guaranteed they will have their respective teams ready no matter what happened the last few games.

I hate betting rivalry game due to this uncertainty. These games are always close.
I may dabble on Duke if I get +6ish pts. This game will be a tight one IMO.