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NCAAB Picks - Tuesday, 1/9/24

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Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
47,052
3 NCAAB Plays Tuesday

Iowa State +2.5 -109 (Heritage)
Texas A&M +7 -107 (Heritage)
Pittsburgh +5 -110 (Bookmaker)


YTD: 62-43-3, +15.36
IDK about ISU covering tonight vs Houston.

Ames can be a tough place to play and ISU has some Hilton Magic but Houston is STOUT again this year. Just feel like it should be ISU +5 or 6 tonight.

GL LT.
 

Jrgum3

Jrgum3

Joined
Oct 18, 2021
Messages
5,815
IDK about ISU covering tonight vs Houston.

Ames can be a tough place to play and ISU has some Hilton Magic but Houston is STOUT again this year. Just feel like it should be ISU +5 or 6 tonight.

GL LT.
Sharps pounded Iowa State. The number moved from the opener +3.5 to +2.5 when LT bet it. It'll be interesting to see what happens here I'm personally playing the under 132 in this one as Houston should at least be able to keep Iowa State in check here with their vaunted defense.
 

LT Profits

LT Profits

Joined
Feb 27, 2023
Messages
7,551
IDK about ISU covering tonight vs Houston.

Ames can be a tough place to play and ISU has some Hilton Magic but Houston is STOUT again this year. Just feel like it should be ISU +5 or 6 tonight.

GL LT.
I did double-take myself when I saw model has it close to a Pick. Seems Iowa State could be best defense Houston has faced, second to Houston in turnovers forced and fifth in def efficiency. And ISU the much better eFG%.
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
47,052
I did double-take myself when I saw model has it close to a Pick. Seems Iowa State could be best defense Houston has faced, second to Houston in turnovers forced and fifth in def efficiency. And ISU the much better eFG%.
I'll give you that ISU is the best D they will face at #5 on KenPom but I think their stats especially eFG% is not very representative. They've had an easy schedule.

They've only played 4 top 100 (KenPom) teams and lost 3 of those. They did beat a VCU team (#109) but should have lost that one too.

I just feel ISU is over-rated including their stats.
I'd be on Houston but like I said, strange things happen at Hilton Coliseum in Ames. So, I'm not on the game.
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
47,052
Sorry to tread all over your thread about this one game but who is going to step up for ISU?

Lipsey - has been flat so far this year. Frankly, Gilbert has played better than him.
Maybe the freshman Milan Momcilovic will come alive tonight.
Or Hason Ward since he's come back for the last two games and played well.
 

LT Profits

LT Profits

Joined
Feb 27, 2023
Messages
7,551
I'll give you that ISU is the best D they will face at #5 on KenPom but I think their stats especially eFG% is not very representative. They've had an easy schedule.

They've only played 4 top 100 (KenPom) teams and lost 3 of those. They did beat a VCU team (#109) but should have lost that one too.

I just feel ISU is over-rated including their stats.
I'd be on Houston but like I said, strange things happen at Hilton Coliseum in Ames. So, I'm not on the game.
FWIW., the 3 Top 100 losses were all away from home and they CRUSHED Iowa at home. ISU is still 18th overall on Kenpom with schedule factored in and they are 6th in HCA at +4.2
 

LT Profits

LT Profits

Joined
Feb 27, 2023
Messages
7,551
5 NCAAB Plays Tuesday

Kansas State / West Virginia OVER 141 -105 (Bookmaker)
Iowa State +2.5 -109 (Heritage)
Texas A&M +7 -107 (Heritage)
Pittsburgh +5 -110 (Bookmaker)
San Diego State / San Jose State OVER 138.5 -108 (Heritage)
 
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