NCAAB 1/13

[djefferis]

First glance at the card - liking

Penn State +18
Utah State -1.5

Reviewing another game or 2 - but these stand out as strongest plays right now. Will try to get a summary together shortly.

 

[djefferis]

PSU + 18 over Purdue

This one is a pure gut feeling - Purdue is clearly better team. But 18 is a ton of points to cover in conference - especially vs a Penn State team holding wins over Ohio State and Michigan already.

Yes - PSU got blown out on the road vs a good Sparty squad - but Purdue coming off a thumping by Nebraska and has only beaten a few clearly outmanned teams by this margin. Purdue wins - but like PSU to keep it within double digits here.

Utah State - 1.5

UNLV at Thomas and Mack are tough and coming in on a streak. Utah State is ranked and while winning not exactly dominant. Seems to be the perfect trap for the Aggies. Again - got a feeling on this one and not feeling the Rebs in this spot. Utah State has went on the road and beat a quality Air Force team recently and while UNLV just beat a good UNM team at home - I think the Aggies are a step up from the Lobos. To be more accurate the Lobos beat themselves with a horrible 2nd half in that game and never could get back in position to win. UNLV managed to lose games vs St Mary’s and Loyola Marymount at home - and again the Aggies are a step up from these 2 talent wise.

 

[djefferis]

Adding Oregon -7.5 vs Cal

2 teams with similar style - but Oregon just better talent level, turns the ball over less and with a higher shooting percentage. The talent gap and creating better opportunities puts the Ducks in the driver seat here.

 

[djefferis]

Damn - Aggies kept it close at the end - lost 85-86 to the Rebs.

Nittany Lions pummeled as expected - but still kept it within 18 (lost by 17).

All comes down the Ducks later on for me today pick wise.

YTD 4-2 +1.80

 

[djefferis]

Well shit - scoreboard app lied - Aggies WON 87-86 !

Doesn’t change my result unfortunately- hopefully if you had them you got the favorable line or played ML to avoid a loss.

 

[djefferis]

Game of freaking inches - Oregon wins - but fails to cover by the half.

Shows both the value of multiple outs and how sharp lines are on a big card Saturday. Too bad to can’t use that spare point from Penn State and split it to the other two to get a couple pushes.

4-3 YTD +.7

 

[JDS]

These threads need to be moved in the bettors chitchat section.

 

[BMR Genie]

These threads need to be moved in the bettors chitchat section.

I know! It's a shame I just saw this.