My Daily Picks - Season Long Thread

[PardonMyPick]

Hello, BMR community. Join me in my daily picks journey and together we will keep on wining.

 

[PardonMyPick]

Blackhawks will be starting backup goalie Kevin Lankinen instead of Marc-Andre Fleury tonight. Chicago is 6-21 its past 27 games as a road underdog. Chicagos defense did not play well. I like New Jerseys young squad to get this W at home for the season opener.

 

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Fresno has a third-ranked passing attack (396.0 passing yards per game). Jake Haener has been passing the ball incredibily well and Wyomings schedule has been softer with Sean Chambers struggling. Fresno State comfortably wins this game today.

 

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The Chargers are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games dating to last season. Ravens are coming into this game on a short week. Justin Herbert has been lights out throwing 11 TD passes and 0 interceptions the past 3 weeks. Ravens have been playing from behind a lot this season and if that happens again the Chargers will comfortably take this game.

 

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Jose Urquidy has a 2.81 ERA in 25.2 IP in the playoffs. He faced the Red Sox once this season and allowed just 1 ER in 6 IP. Lefty Eduardo Rodriguez was hit hard by Houston both times they faced him this season allowing 6 ER in 4.1 IP in both games. This will be just Rodriguez 4th career postseason start and the Astros are one of the best lefty-hitting teams in the league.

 

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LA Kings will be traveling to Nashville for this game. The Kings are 1-7 in the last 8 games played against the Predators. The Kings were one of the worst teams in the league last season. Predators get their 1st win of this season at home tonight.

 

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New York covered 14 of its final 19 as a home favorite last regular season. This will be a revenge game for Kemba Walker as well after being sent by the Celtics to OKC then later to the Knicks. Walker and Fournier will be amped up tonight to play the Celtics. The Knicks are deep and at home. They take this one.

 

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Yes the Browns have some offensive injuries coming into this game, I expect the Browns defense to carry them to a victory tonight. Bridgewater threw a season high 3 interceptions and lost a fumble to the Raiders last week due to the pressure. He should struggle today again with Miles Garrett putting on the pressure. Case Keenum is a great QB. He will get the Browns the win tonight.

 

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The Knights are 0-6 against the spread this year. They having lots of issues at the quarterback position. The Tigers have had a slightly tougher schedule than UCF and have played better. The Tigers will be able to run all over the weak UCF run defense tonight as well.

 

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Washington State just lost its head coach and four assistant coaches during the week. Washington State is weak at the run but well at passing. BYU defense has only given up 5 passing TDs and also have 7 interceptions. BYU should be able to keep them in check and win this game.

 

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The Bears rely on the run quite a bit and Bucs have the best run defense in the league. The Bears also have struggled on the road. The Bucs have had extra time to prepare for todays game and Brady will be too much to handle for the Bears defense.

 

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The Saints are coming off a bye week and getting 2 O line men back. Since 2016, Sean Payton is 18-2 straight-up in his team's first four games after the bye. Still no Russell Wilson for the Seahawks and they just played a tough OT match up vs Steelers. Saints should comfortably win this game.

 

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Valdez dominated the Red Sox in his last start but he struggled in his last 2 starts giving up 7 runs. Braves have a .321 batting average and .531 slugging % against lefties in the playoffs. The Braves are averaging 4 runs per game in the playoffs. The Astros are also giving up 4.4 runs per game.

 

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Magic lost to heat by 17 and the 2 previous losses before that were by 26 and 25 points. Magic are one of the worst defensive teams in the league and I expect Miles Brides and Lemelo Ball to dominate tonight.

 

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Timberwolves are coming off a loss to the Nuggets with Karl-Anthony Towns not scoring in the 4th quarter. The Magic are young and still have not found chemistry together. Minnesota is holding opponents to a 47.3 effective field goal percentage ranking third in the NBA while also forcing the most turnovers in the entire league. Magic will struggle tonight and this should be a comfortable cover for the Timberwolves.

 

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Max Fried has been hit hard in back-to-back outings, giving up 11 earned runs and 15 hits in 9.2 innings versus the Astros and Dodgers. Houston is 6-2 in its past eight vs. a lefty. Taking Astros at home to force a game 7!

 

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The Bulls are currently 6-1 and have also covered the spread 6-1. The Bulls are coming off a 14 point win against the Celtics in which they trailed 19 points to come back and win in the 2H alone. Danny Green and Harris are out for the Sixers. Nikola Vucevic matchups well with Embiid with DeMar DeRozan it will be enough for the Bulls to cover and possibly win tonight.

 

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Carson Wentz is prone to making mistakes. He made 2 costly interception mistakes that cost them the game. If jets play anywhere near as good as they did vs the Bengals then they will cover tonight with ease.

 

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Baylor is picking up over 230 yards per game on the ground and TCU is one of the worst teams in the country against the run. TCU lost there head coach after losing 5 of 6 games. I dont see TCU being able to get much done offensivly with Baylor being 39th best against the run. Since the opener, Baylor has failed to cover just once. TCU is not only 3-5 straight-up this year but 1-6-1 ATS.

 

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Rangers are playing at home tonight but coming off 2 b2b road games. Rangers have lost 3 in a row and are playing a really hot Panthers team that are coming off an impressive win over the Canes. Panthers are averaging better than 4 goals per game. Panthers should be able to dominate tonight.