Monday Sept 9-Sept 16 MLB

[piratealew]

MLB Sun=17-17 (8-7 Top plays) Umpire Overs=83-52 last 25 days
NFL=14-5 NFL (Cash #1)

MLB =1944-1711 YTD/ (963-861 Top plays)/ Umpire Overs=219-152 Umpire Under=21-19

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

⭐️Dodgers-1-125
⭐️Toronto+102
⭐️Twins-1-126
⭐️Pirates-1.5-120
⭐️Boston-112
⭐️Dodgers/Cubs Over 9-120
⭐️Yankees-1-115
⭐️Phils-0.5-120 (F5)
⭐️Cleveland-1 (Waiting on updated line-Lively Scratched)
⭐️Reds+1.5-128
⭐️Mets/Blow Jays Over 8-130
Pirates/Marlins Over 7.5-115
Pirates-0.5-140 (F5)
Phils-1-130
Yankees-0.5-120 (F5)
Boston/Baltimore Over 9-125
Yankees Team Total Over 4
Dodgers-0.5-125 (F5)
Blue Jays Team Total Over 4
Phils/Rays Over 7.5-120
Pirates Team Total Over 4
Twins Team Total Over 4.5-115
Reds Team Total Over 3.5-115
Clev/Chicago UNDER 9-120

Decent day yesterday in MLB, great for NFL, good to finish off strong with easy wins on Zona and over. Lets start a new 10 day streak on the Top play..

 

[piratealew]

Took Cleveland-1.5-135 Above

 

[inzane]

Thanks for the post and bol today Pirate!

 

[piratealew]

***1st Umpire Over is ⭐️Pirates/Marlins Over 7.5 with Lance Barksdale who is 18-11 Over, on 9.3 runs, and a low 2.1 SO/BB Ratio. The total has hit in 3 of the previous 4 for the Pirates as welll as 12 of their past 13 games at home, and all 4 games between these 2 earlier in 2024 hit the over. Both teams ranks in bottom half of pitching in most categories, with the marlins giving up 2nd most runs in MLB. This is now a top play.

 

[inzane]

***1st Umpire Over is ⭐️Pirates/Marlins Over 7.5 with Lance Barksdale who is 18-11 Over, on 9.3 runs, and a low 2.1 SO/BB Ratio. The total has hit in 3 of the previous 4 for the Pirates as welll as 12 of their past 13 games at home, and all 4 games between these 2 earlier in 2024 hit the over. Both teams ranks in bottom half of pitching in most categories, with the marlins giving up 2nd most runs in MLB. This is now a top play.

Not concerned about Skenes tonight?

He's 3-0 with an impressive 1.64 era last three starts...

 

[inzane]

Last 4 starts...

 

[piratealew]

Not concerned about Skenes tonight?

He's 3-0 with an impressive 1.64 era last three starts...

No, He will def limit some of the marlins runs early but his pen always lets him down late and gives up runs. Even with good pitching, these matchups tend to produce overs as the 4 games earlier this year, and 2 recent Skenes games against cubs and dbacks. I had this at 8 runs but adding an extra run 1.5 with the umpire news. I expect a few more walks than normal so Skenes over walks total might be good too. Miami also rannks 29th in errors with 99 and Pirates 16th with 76, this contributes to runs as well with mistake prone teams and Marlins are 29th in runs allowed per game at 5.2 and Pirates not much better allowing 4.6 and ranked 21st. Both teams should go above their run scoring averages averages tonight

added:
Yanks/Royals Over 8-120

 

[piratealew]

Slight change with Mets and Jays pitching. Over still stands, price changed a bit on toronto, still on them in the same order

⭐️Toronto+118

 

[inzane]

No, He will def limit some of the marlins runs early but his pen always lets him down late and gives up runs. Even with good pitching, these matchups tend to produce overs as the 4 games earlier this year, and 2 recent Skenes games against cubs and dbacks. I had this at 8 runs but adding an extra run 1.5 with the umpire news. I expect a few more walks than normal so Skenes over walks total might be good too. Miami also rannks 29th in errors with 99 and Pirates 16th with 76, this contributes to runs as well with mistake prone teams and Marlins are 29th in runs allowed per game at 5.2 and Pirates not much better allowing 4.6 and ranked 21st. Both teams should go above their run scoring averages averages tonight

added:
Yanks/Royals Over 8-120

Good thoughts, I took the fish over 2* tt earlier, so hopefully they both cash.

Thanks for the reply.

 

[piratealew]

Good thoughts, I took the fish over 2* tt earlier, so hopefully they both cash.

Thanks for the reply.

3-1 Early after a couple innings, then nothing until Chapman decided to blow the run-line top 9 with 2 outs, lets in a marlin run so you got the push there at least. Can always count on Chapman blowing it, not sure how he's still pitching.

 

[piratealew]

MLB Mon=11-13 Umpire Overs=83-53 last 26 days

MLB =1955-1724 YTD/ (968-868 Top plays)/ Umpire Overs=219-153 Umpire Under=21-19

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

⭐️Arizona-135
⭐️Baltimore+120
⭐️Mets-120
⭐️Phils-1-103
⭐️Braves-127
⭐️Brewers-126
⭐️Detroit-1-115
⭐️Balty/Bos over 9-115 (Ump Over-Ryan Wills, ~10 Runs, 63%K, 2.2 SO/BB/+Metrics)
⭐️Royals+127
⭐️Cubs+144
⭐️Twins-1.5-105
⭐️Reds+120
⭐️Oakland+1.5-128
⭐️Padres+107
⭐️Miami/Pitt Over 8.5-130 (Ump Over-D.Thomas-9.72 Runs, 14-10over/LOW 2.2 SO/BB)
⭐️Cleveland-1.5-130
Arizona/Texas Over 7.5-115
Yanks/Royals Over 8.5-115
Mets-115 (F5)
Brewers/Giants Over 7-130
Reds/Cards Over 7.5-115
Detroit/Colorado Over 8-125
Miami+136
Detroit-0.5-115 (F5)
Padres/Mariners Over 7-110
Brewers-128 (F5)
Tigers Team Total Over 4
Braves-118 (F5)
Reds Team Total Over 3.5-115
Cubs+0.5-105 (F5)
Twins/Angels Over 7.5-130
Cleveland/Chicago Over 7.5-128
Twins Team Total Over 4.5-115
Mets/Jays UNDER 8.5-120
Braves/Nats UNDER 8.5-130

Full card today again, Quite a few dogs with good positions to win today and some good pitching. Some situations of wrong team favored possibly again too (O's, Reds, royals, Padres come to mind as should be favored or closer to a pick)

 

[piratealew]

also played some UEFA nations league/CONMEBOL-if anyone is interested. did well yesterday and all through Euros and copa.

Argentina ML, Netherlands/Germany BTTS/Over 2.5, Greece ML and DC (double chance), Iraq ML, N macedonia ML, Hungary ML, Nethlands ML and win either half, Czech/Ukraine Over 2.5, England-1, England/Finland Over 2.5...the juicier sides i divide up into 2-3 team parlays like iraq and hungary for example.

 

[piratealew]

also played some UEFA nations league/CONMEBOL-if anyone is interested. did well yesterday and all through Euros and copa.

Argentina ML, Netherlands/Germany BTTS/Over 2.5, Greece ML and DC (double chance), Iraq ML, N macedonia ML, Hungary ML, Nethlands ML and win either half, Czech/Ukraine Over 2.5, England-1, England/Finland Over 2.5...the juicier sides i divide up into 2-3 team parlays like iraq and hungary for example.

Having spent better part of 2 years in South America based in Lima Peru, I'm especially interested in CONMEBOL (and Copa)..In addition to La Albiceleste (Argentina), La Tri (Ecuador), La Roja (Chile) First HalfML, Chile/La Verde (Boliva) Over 2.5.
Canarinho (Brazil)-1+165, Corazon De Sudamerica (Paraguay)/Brazilains Over 2.5
La Vinotinto(Venezuela)/La Celeste(Uruguay) Draw+200/Over 2.5

 

[piratealew]

forgot the other umpire over.

***3rd Umpire Over is Twins/Angels Over 7.5 with Marvin Hudson who is 15-8 Over, on 9.5 runs. In their previous 5 and 6 of their last 7 between these two teams the total reached 8 or higher. With the angels having one of the worst pens, I see this game going over 8 runs again.

 

[piratealew]

WAS notified a pitcher change in OAK and SF/Mil. No real change on my end again, just a change in Milwaukee prices.

Not much change in quality, sears not quite as good as Bido. I'm still on Oak RL, same price, didnt change. But I do love the over more in this spot and with the umpire news, it is a play. Regarding change in SF/Brewers-SF starting a rookie in his debut over another rookie gas can Birdsong. Same order for the plays just a different price with Brewers, brewers and Oak RL still top plays. Brewers-113 (full-game) and brewers-115 (F5)

***4th Umpire over is Oak/Houston Over 8-130 with Clint Vondrak who is 18-10 Over, on 10.39 Runs, and a low 2.4 SO/BB Ratio.

 

[inzane]

Good luck today Pirate and the updates are mucho appreciated...

 

[piratealew]

MLB Tues=19-8 (10-2 Top plays)

MLB =1955-1724 YTD/ (968-868 Top plays)/ Umpire Overs=219-153 Umpire Under=21-19

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

⭐️Arizona-135
⭐️Baltimore+120-W
⭐️Mets-120-L
⭐️Phils-1-103-W
⭐️Braves-127-W
⭐️Brewers-113
⭐️Detroit-1-115-W
⭐️Balty/Bos over 9-115 (Ump Over-Ryan Wills, ~10 Runs, 63%K, 2.2 SO/BB/+Metrics)-L
⭐️Royals+127-W
⭐️Cubs+144
⭐️Twins-1.5-105-W
⭐️Reds+120-W
⭐️Oakland+1.5-128-W
⭐️Padres+107
⭐️Miami/Pitt Over 8.5-130 (Ump Over-D.Thomas-9.72 Runs, 14-10over/LOW 2.2 SO/BB)-W
⭐️Cleveland-1.5-130-W
Oak/Houston Over 8-130 (Umpire Over-Clint Vondrak-18-10 Over, on 10.39 Runs, and a low 2.4 SO/BB Ratio)-L
Arizona/Texas Over 7.5-115
Yanks/Royals Over 8.5-115-L
Mets-115 (F5)-L
Brewers/Giants Over 7-130
Reds/Cards Over 7.5-115-L
Detroit/Colorado Over 8-125-W
Miami+136-L
Detroit-0.5-115 (F5)-W
Padres/Mariners Over 7-110-W
Brewers-115 (F5)-W
Tigers Team Total Over 4-W
Braves-118 (F5)-W
Reds Team Total Over 3.5-115-L
Cubs+0.5-105 (F5)
Twins/Angels Over 7.5-130 (Ump Over-Marvin Hudson-15-8 Over, on 9.5 runs)-W
Cleveland/Chicago Over 7.5-128-L
Twins Team Total Over 4.5-115-W
Mets/Jays UNDER 8.5-120-W
Braves/Nats UNDER 8.5-130-L

Full card today again, Quite a few dogs with good positions to win today and some good pitching. Some situations of wrong team favored possibly again too (O's, Reds, royals, Padres come to mind as should be favored or closer to a pick)

Massive day so far. Looks like i was right about the wrong teams being favored, O's, Reds, Royals and now padres up big.

19-8 so far, 10-2 top plays with Arizona and Brewers hopefully finishing strong.

 

[piratealew]

HOT DAMN! Cubs come back and WIN. GO CUBS GO! Hit the POD big time with zona....

14-2 Top plays AGAIN. that's what 5-6 time last weeks of 13-2/14-2 type days on top plays. Lets keep it rolling!

 

[piratealew]

MLB=23-13 (14-2 Top plays) Umpire Overs=85-55 last 27 days

MLB =1978-1737 YTD/ (982-870 Top plays)/ Umpire Overs=221-155 Umpire Under=21-19

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

⭐️Phillies-1-125
⭐️Yankees-135
⭐️Baltimore+130
⭐️Braves-1-130
⭐️Mia/Pitt Over 8-130 (Ump Over-Jean-11.5 Runs/2.2 SO/BB/62%K/New up++Metrics)
⭐️Giants-134
⭐️Cards-128
⭐️Detroit-1-115
⭐️Dodgers/Cubs Over 8.5-120
⭐️Houston-1.5-107
⭐️Mets-120
⭐️Texas+133
⭐️Dodgers-1-115
⭐️Mariners-102
⭐️Rockies/Tigers Over 8-115 (Ump Over-Ripperger-20-9 Over/10 Runs/2.4 SO/BB)
⭐️Angels/Twins Over 8.5-115
⭐️Cleveland-1.5-125
⭐️Angels+1.5-115
⭐️Marlins Team Total Over 3.5-125
Texas/Arizona Over 8-120
Miami+1.5-135
Braves-0.5-115 (F5)
Giants Team Total Over 3.5-115
Cleveland-0.5-125 (F5)
Cards/Reds Over 8-115 (Umpire Over-Segal-Avg 9-10 Runs Last 5 year/67-42 Over last 4 yrs)
Mets/Blue Jays Over 7.5-120
Texas Team Total Over 3.5-120
Tigers Team Total Over 4
Guardians Team Total Over 4.5-129
Tigers-0.5-120 (F5)
Phils/Rays Over 7-120
Mets-120 (F5)
Phillies Team Total Over 4
Astros-0.5-135 (F5)
Braves Team Total Over 4
Clev/Chicago Over 7.5-120
Giants/Brewers Over 7-112
Yankees/Royals UNDER 8.5-125
Oakland/Houston UNDER 8.5-115

Great day yesterday, another 14-2 top play day. Another + day would be great...

 

[inzane]

Keep up the good work Pirate, and bol today...