MLB Picks - Friday, 4/14/23 (1 Analysis)

[LT Profits]

2 MLB Plays Friday

Orioles -113 (Heritage)
Cubs +150 (Heritage)


YTD: 31-33-2, -1.07

All plays are Listed Pitchers unless ACTION is stated

 

[LT Profits]

Orioles -113 at Heritage

I was down on the White Sox entering this season (MLB 2023 Future Value Forecasts) and I am fading them with Mike Clevinger hosting Tyler Wells and the Orioles Friday.

Being down on the White Sox goes hand-in-hand with Clevinger being a prime bust candidate for 2023. This is a guy whose average fastball velocity dropped from 95.2 MPH in 2020 to 93.5 last season, when he posted a 4.33 ERA and 4.78 xFIP at pitcher-friendly Petco Park.

He now moves to a home-run friendly home stadium, and this looks like a prime spot to fade him given his 2-0 start with a 3.48 ERA for the White Sox. That ERA is a fallacy though considering his five walks vs. four strikeouts fueling a 6.07 xFIP.

As for Wells, location has always been a strength throughout his professional career, but his BB/9 rose to 2.43 last year in his first season as a starter. But now more acclimated to the role, Wells has yet to walk a man in 11 innings in 2023!

Tyler will not blow anyone away with a fastball averaging 93.4 MPH but he has added a cutter to his repertoire for the first time this year. That new secondary pitch has averaged a respectable 89.3 MPH, adding to his effectiveness.

With expected Clevinger regression and Wells on the improve. the visiting Orioles should prevail.

 

[JDS]

Orioles -113 at Heritage

I was down on the White Sox entering this season (MLB 2023 Future Value Forecasts) and I am fading them with Mike Clevinger hosting Tyler Wells and the Orioles Friday.

Being down on the White Sox goes hand-in-hand with Clevinger being a prime bust candidate for 2023. This is a guy whose average fastball velocity dropped from 95.2 MPH in 2020 to 93.5 last season, when he posted a 4.33 ERA and 4.78 xFIP at pitcher-friendly Petco Park.

He now moves to a home-run friendly home stadium, and this looks like a prime spot to fade him given his 2-0 start with a 3.48 ERA for the White Sox. That ERA is a fallacy though considering his five walks vs. four strikeouts fueling a 6.07 xFIP.

As for Wells, location has always been a strength throughout his professional career, but his BB/9 rose to 2.43 last year in his first season as a starter. But now more acclimated to the role, Wells has yet to walk a man in 11 innings in 2023!

Tyler will not blow anyone away with a fastball averaging 93.4 MPH but he has added a cutter to his repertoire for the first time this year. That new secondary pitch has averaged a respectable 89.3 MPH, adding to his effectiveness.

With expected Clevinger regression and Wells on the improve. the visiting Orioles should prevail.

I appreciate the break down if this game.

 

[LT Profits]

4 MLB Plays Friday

Guardians -151 (Heritage)
Orioles -113 (Heritage)
Brewers +154 ACTION (Bookmaker)
Cubs +150 (Heritage)

 

[champ2399]

Nice Sweep! That was 5 units gained in about 5 hours!

 

[JDS]

Great job LT

 

[LT Profits]

Nice Sweep! That was 5 units gained in about 5 hours!

Mucho grab-ass

 

[LT Profits]

Great job LT

Thanks Bud!