MLB Mon 4/22-Sunday 4/28

[piratealew]

15-8 Sun (9-3 Top plays)/15-8 Sat/14-6 Friday/248-193 YTD (130-83 Top plays 2024)

Sunday capped off a 3 day heater with an even bigger day hitting the top 4 largest plays, and ending at 9-3 top plays. Been a great run and definitely didn't expect Sunday to be as good or better. Hopefully Monday we keep it going.

*All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays.*Top plays are listed in order of strength.

⭐️NY Mutts+107
⭐️Padres-1.5-115
⭐️Philadelphia-117
⭐️Twins-1-130
⭐️Angels-111
⭐️Tigers-107
⭐️Toronto/KC Over 8.5-115
⭐️Oakland/NYY Over 7.5-130
Toronto-107
Braves-1.5-105
Pirates-123
Yankees-1.5-115
St Louis+100
NY/San Francisco Over 7.5-115
Miami/Atlanta Over 9-115
Reds/Phils Over 8-130

Lean to Rockies/Padres UNDER (burned last night by 1 run with seattle scoring 10)

 

[piratealew]

*typo top plays are 131-83

 

[BMR Ivy]

Good luck, Pirate!

 

[doyleellis11]

Great Too Plays Record !

 

[doyleellis11]

TOP !

 

[phantom888]

Keep grinding!
Good lucky !

 

[piratealew]

Going to give another Under a shot here. This is a good spot for one in the White sox game, even though there arent any aces on the mound for either side. The twins and white sox offenses have struggled mightily this year with the twins averaging 3 runs per game and white sox 2. Both teams batting collectively in the high .100s and from what i have seen struggling to even make contact and get hits, and obviously not many home runs and XBH which twins relied upon last year. Mike Estabrook is the ump tonight, a pitcher friendly ump, with a higher K% than avg (21.5%), lower BB (8per game) but even lower at 5 per this year, and avg runs per game below avg at 8.5 (6 this year so far) over 418 games he has umped. Hopefully his strike zone is as big as Hunter Wendlestatd's today in Oak/NYY game. Now my luck with unders both SP's will give up 6 runs in the first and blow it as the offenses finally get hot. we''ll see .

White Sox/Twins UNDER 9-130

And one more over that looks really good, rarely double up top plays with 2 on same game but i see this as a 6-4 type game tonight. With humidity in OC around 70%, wind blowing lightly out at 10, this might help a bit as well. Lentz is behind home in this game, more hitter friendly, avg close to 9 runs per game, same K % but higher BB at 8.5 per game (avg of 10 this year) over 221 games umped. just some small factors that may help if the total is close. Obviously Detmers is an Ace but i think he'll get some run support esp with the Orioles pitcher making his 2nd appearance and angels anxious to get home after a bad trip. (lost 5 of last 7).

⭐️Orioles/Angels OVER 8-120

 

[piratealew]

Early games were great, Angels and Mutts let us down late, had chances in 9th with trout stranding bases loaded, and both missing the over narrowly. Lets see what a full slate of MLB will bring us again.

Trying to get up to DC this week as Dodgers are in town to play Nats and my old teammate from pee-wee at age 5 in Chapel Hill NC through University (ECU) Clayton McCullough is in town with his Dodgers (First base coach, future MLB manager soon). Just missed him last year due to some rain and other crap but may be able to tomorrow hopefully, but being so close to his old home in NC his allottment of tix gets used fast by his family and former teammates-so tomorrow or thurs may be my only chances this trip (and their only time in DC this year).

⭐️Orioles-138
⭐️Padres-1-125
⭐️Royals+110
⭐️Guardians+104
⭐️Phillies-115
⭐️Twins-1.5-120
⭐️Giants-129
⭐️Dodgers/Nats over 9.5-115
⭐️Marlins/Braves over 8-130
Braves-1.5-115
Dodgers -0.5-130 (F5)
Tampa-150
Seattle-105
Houston-108
Cardinals-114
Orioles/Angels Over 8-135
Phillies/Red legs Over 8.5-130
Mutts/Giants Over 7-125

 

[JDS]

Keep grinding!
Good lucky !

I like that be good be lucky = good lucky

 

[piratealew]

Well, sometimes a cat nap can do you good, especially if you've not slept since Sunday. Under a deadline for a business Concsulting engagement for the CFO of a Las vegas strip Casino (Under NDA so no names), on his Finance depart overhaul improving Forecasting, and automating Accounts payable procedures (huge task when payables reach over $50 million some months with 1000s of checks). Most of you know I retired last year when wife had our baby then cancer came back, but for nearly 20 years I did Business consulting and sales of engagements for companies like IBM. This client was my top Vegas client while I was VP of FOPM (Financial Operations and Performance Management). I am doing a few ad-hock engagements to keep my mind sharp and stay active but this one is kicking my ass. I did learn a LOT about the Casiino and sportsbook industry since 2013 when I was engaged by this CFO to work with his VP of Finance on a 2 year engagement---the biggest takeaway most would be surprised about is that Sportsbooks are thrilled if they post a net profit in a quarter. Most lose some $, the profitable parts of the casino are obviously the slots and tables games. CFO'S HATE their sportsbooks. THEY ALL DO and if you read their financial reports esp their 10K's and quarterlies and listen to earnings calls you would know why. Ceasar's sportsbook has posted net losses every quarter since 2015!

Anyway enough aboout that. Good i didnt miss the 640 games coming up. Just got a text from Clayton McCullough 1st base coach for dodgers, he said the boys are pumped about this series. I had to laugh and said "i hope they are every series." I'll leave it at that but hope pumped doesnt lead a 10-0 shellacking and no-hit.

⭐️Detroit/Tampa Over 7.5-120
Brewers+102

 

[piratealew]

Yankees Team Total Over 4.5-110

 

[JDS]

Yankees Team Total Over 4.5-110

Bad beat for sure.

 

[piratealew]

yep 4 runs in the 1st, none since, and soto strikes out with man on 3rd, on ghost strikes. nothing even close to the zone. what a ridiculous bad beat. MLB was weird last night, first bad night in a long while and judging by all the harrassing msgs on another forum on reddit i post to, some people had bad nights. spent over an hour deleting a bunch of mess. thankfully none of that here. but wow. people are terrible sometimes. even our Buddy Nolan is stalking me now on reddit too. LOL

 

[phantom888]

Haven’t seen Mr N in a while, his picks went south and he disappeared, LOL, typical.

 

[piratealew]

Yeah he got banned from here for doing the same nonsense he did over there. then yesterday came questioning my orioles line and was giving false info, he was easy to spot with his vernacular and his telling "jajajaja" (he's a dominican). Not a bright troll obviously. LOL

 

[phantom888]

Not sure why they gotta bother posters with negativity, just stay in their own lane and try to be the best gambler they can be. Such a waste of energy

 

[piratealew]

stupid me twice this week i changed from a play from my gut or increased a bad bet-- had mutts 1, Orioles 2 and dbacks 3 then saw Snell was scratched so increased dbacks bet up to my top pick and felt like JoMo would shut his old team down which he did for about 6 innings. need to stop doing that and stay with my gut.

⭐️Padres-145
⭐️White Sox/Twinks Over 6-130
Nats/Dodgers UNDER 10-135

 

[piratealew]

weird, i just noticed my earlier plays didn't post like it posted to CTG. Thought everything had pasted over. Must have not been paying attention when i hit post and didn't come back. I know many of you follow me there and/or reddit or in telegram. Big bounceback day in MLB today. Looking forward to thursday already.

⭐️Diamondbacks+105-L
⭐️NY Mutts+114-W
⭐️Orioles-124-W
⭐️Brewers+105-W
⭐️️Tampa-112-W
️⭐️Cleveland-133-L
⭐️Reds-120
⭐️Padres-145
⭐️Reds/Phils Over 8-125-W
⭐️A's/Yanks Over 8-120-W
⭐️White Sox/Twinks Over 6-130-W
Toronto-112
Yankees-1.5-110-W
Twins-1-130
Cubs-108
Orioles/Angels Over 9-120-W
Boston/Cleveland Over 7.5-105-W
Miami/Atlanta Over 8.5-120
Nats/Dodgers UNDER 10-135

 

[piratealew]

14-6 Wed/9-2 Top plays/278-222 YTD (147-97 Top plays)

*All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays.*Top plays are listed in order of strength.

⭐️Brewers-117
⭐️Toronto+105
⭐️Phillies-145
⭐️Padres-140
⭐️Twins-1.5-105
⭐️Boston/Cleveland Over 7-136
⭐️Seattle/Texas Over 8.5-120
Seattle-115
Dodgers-1.5-115
Houston-120
Guardians-140
Yankees-1-5.-120
Toronto/KC Over 7.5-120
White Sux/Twinks Over 7.5-120

 

[piratealew]

Great afternoon of baseball, 7-3, hit #1 and 4 top plays, just need Padres to hang on for a really awesome day. they keep giving up leads typical in coors field