MLB Games I Like May 2nd

[Tanko]

3-0 +3.15 Sunday
27-15 +9.79 Season

Angels FF RL +0.5 -125 vs White Sox 2:10 ET
This one hell of a pitching duel. Sandoval (STL) vs Cease (CWS), 0.00 ERA vs 3.27 ERA respectively. This could easily be 0-0 after 5. Angels have better bats so I'm taking the FF RL since I'm getting 0.5 run. I think it will either be tied 0-0 or Angels ahead after 5.

I also like the first five under 4 but the odds are -140 (not liking that). The under 7.5 for full game is enticing as well but these relief pitchers are suseptible to fail. 16 runs allowed after the 5th inning in the first 3 games of this series.

Good luck.

 

[Tanko]

Miami -154 vs D-backs 6:40 ET
Another pitching duel. Gallen (D-backs) 0.60 ERA. 0.67 WHIP over 3 games. vs Lopez (MIA) 0.39 ERA, 0.73 WHIP over 4 games. What's most amazing is these guys are achieving these incredible numbers against pretty good hitting teams. The total is 6.5 and FF is total is 3.

Gallen (vs LAD, NYM twice).
Lopez (vs STL, PHI, SF, WAS).

Assuming we don't see complete games out of these two, the D-back relief pitching is more suseptible to giving up runs than the Marlins. Miami bats are much better than the D-backs so it may be a low score to start for the first 5, but I think Marlins come on when Gallen eventually leaves the game.

 

[Tanko]

Minn FF RL -0.5 -105 vs Baltimore 7:05 ET
Paddock (MIN) has been relatively consistent in his first 3 starts. Wells (BAL) not so much. 3.68 vs 5.54 ERA. Bats heavily favor Minnesota. Relief pitching strength is about a wash. Minnesota is on a tear lately 9-1 in last 10. In their last 8 games, they've scored 5 or more runs in each.

The best play for this game I believe is Minn FF RL -0.5 -105. Paddock is better than Mills. The ML for the game is -143. That is OK. but the FF RL seems like a more value. Also, I don't want to leave it up to relievers. This game could go over teh 7.5 total but I'm worried it may have to depend upon the Twins to get all of it. Baltimore bats are not very good this year.

 

[Tanko]

Seattle +122 vs Houston 8:10 ET
Gonzales (SEA) vs Odorizzi (HOU). These two matched up against each other April 15th. Seattle won 11-1.

Stat lines from the game:
Gonzalez 7.0 innings, 4 H, 1 ER, 6 K, 0 BB. (3.86 overall ERA)
Odorizzi 4.1 innings, 8 H, 4 ER, 1 K, 3 BB. (6.00 overall ERA)

I will say Odorizi had a decent game his last time out but it was vs Texas (not the strongest of bats).
I don't expect must different performance in this game and like the + money with Seattle. Seattle bats are much better than Houston so far. Houston bats have been dead this season vs prior years. Loss of too many hitters.

There is also a difference between these teams relief pitching. Both are very good but Seattle is better (2.08 vs 2.80 ERA). This may be offset with the higher bull-pen use by the Mariners in their series and Houston's low utilization in their series. The bull-pen being tired may be the only downside to taking the Mariners.

 

[Tanko]

I think that is all I'm seeing on the MLB board today.

Good luck everyone.

 

[Wagerallsports]

GL Tanko

Thinking Marlins bounce back today

 

[Bubbles]

i'm tailing your picks tanko. i've been so bad in baseball lately & thank you.

 

[Tanko]

i'm tailing your picks tanko. i've been so bad in baseball lately & thank you.

Can be dangerous move bubbles.
You were warned.

 

[Wagerallsports]

i'm tailing your picks tanko. i've been so bad in baseball lately & thank you.

GL bubbles

 

[Wagerallsports]

Can be dangerous move bubbles.
You were warned.

Lies lol

 

[Bubbles]

we are going to cash this.

 

[uh_uh_eugine]

excellent thread

 

[BobbyFK]

Thanks for the insight and good luck today

 

[Wagerallsports]

Why is Chicago favored?

 

[biggins]

3-0 +3.15 Sunday
27-15 +9.79 Season

Angels FF RL -0.5 -125 vs White Sox 2:10 ET
This one hell of a pitching duel. Sandoval (STL) vs Cease (CWS), 0.00 ERA vs 3.27 ERA respectively. This could easily be 0-0 after 5. Angels have better bats so I'm taking the FF RL since I'm getting 0.5 run. I think it will either be tied 0-0 or Angels ahead after 5.

I also like the first five under 4 but the odds are -140 (not liking that). The under 7.5 for full game is enticing as well but these relief pitchers are suseptible to fail. 16 runs allowed after the 5th inning in the first 3 games of this series.

Good luck.

And you have to wonder if IGLESIAS is available today? He stunk it up yesterday and was taken out. Thank goodness TEPERA came in bases loaded two out and got a weak ground ball to first base and game over. I was as stressed out as you were I’m sure. Lol so yes FF makes sense.

 

[uh_uh_eugine]

Why is Chicago favored?

Saw that, WAS.

Line moved, too

 

[biggins]

DH] 05/02/2022 - Shohei Ohtani is not in the starting lineup Monday vs Chicago White Sox ( Rest )

 

[RudyRuder]

Typo you have angels +0.5 1st 5 right?

 

[carolinakid]

gl with your Monday games Tanko!!

 

[Tanko]

And you have to wonder if IGLESIAS is available today? He stunk it up yesterday and was taken out. Thank goodness TEPERA came in bases loaded two out and got a weak ground ball to first base and game over. I was as stressed out as you were I’m sure. Lol so yes FF makes sense.

I was screaming at the TV. Wife thought I lost my mind.