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MLB’s inaugural Draft lottery will be held at 8:30 p.m. ET/5:30 p.m. PT tonight/Tuesday
How many teams are included in the MLB Draft lottery?
The 18 non-postseason teams from 2022 will all be involved.
How many MLB Draft spots are determined by the lottery?
The first six spots of the first round will be determined. That’s the most of any major sport. The NBA lottery covers four spots, while the NHL covers two. The NFL does not hold a Draft lottery, so the team with the worst record always picks first.
In other words, the team with the worst record in MLB could wind up picking as late as seventh in the first round of the next year’s Draft.
What are each team’s odds of receiving the No. 1 overall pick?
The odds range from 16.5% for the teams with the three worst records to 0.2% for the team with the best record among non-playoff clubs. For 2022, it lays out as follows:
Why do the three worst teams all have the same percentage chance (16.5)?
To remove an incentive for a club to finish with the worst overall record.
This is a model that follows what the NBA recently instituted in its lottery. In the NHL, the odds for the teams with the worst records are, in order, 18.5%, 13.5% and 11.5%. So in hockey, this gives the team with the worst record a significantly higher probability of drafting first overall.
How many teams are included in the MLB Draft lottery?
The 18 non-postseason teams from 2022 will all be involved.
How many MLB Draft spots are determined by the lottery?
The first six spots of the first round will be determined. That’s the most of any major sport. The NBA lottery covers four spots, while the NHL covers two. The NFL does not hold a Draft lottery, so the team with the worst record always picks first.
In other words, the team with the worst record in MLB could wind up picking as late as seventh in the first round of the next year’s Draft.
What are each team’s odds of receiving the No. 1 overall pick?
The odds range from 16.5% for the teams with the three worst records to 0.2% for the team with the best record among non-playoff clubs. For 2022, it lays out as follows:
- Nationals (55-107), 16.5%
- A’s (60-102), 16.5
- Pirates (62-100), 16.5
- Reds (62-100), 13.2
- Royals (65-97), 10.0
- Tigers (66-96), 7.5
- Rangers (68-94), 5.5
- Rockies (68-94), 3.9
- Marlins (69-93), 2.7
- Angels (73-89), 1.8
- D-backs (74-88), 1.4
- Cubs (74-88), 1.1
- Twins (78-84), 0.9
- Red Sox (78-84), 0.8
- White Sox (81-81), 0.6
- Giants (81-81), 0.5
- Orioles (83-79), 0.4
- Brewers (86-76), 0.2
Why do the three worst teams all have the same percentage chance (16.5)?
To remove an incentive for a club to finish with the worst overall record.
This is a model that follows what the NBA recently instituted in its lottery. In the NHL, the odds for the teams with the worst records are, in order, 18.5%, 13.5% and 11.5%. So in hockey, this gives the team with the worst record a significantly higher probability of drafting first overall.
