MLB Capping - How you doing lately

[Tanko]

MLB betting has been rough the last couple of weeks for me. Totals, Sides, F5, Prop bets. Not much is hitting. One of my "systems" has been doing well but it generates 2-3 plays a week max. So I am utilizing a few others as well but, they are trending down pretty hard lately (regression???).


How are you doing on MLB plays?
If you're doing well, give us some insights as to what is working.

 

[Capitalist Pig]

I’m pretty much @ 50% win loss with mlb, but then again I spend about 1 minute a day making my picks, I a learned a long time ago, it makes no difference whether I spend 1 minute or hours trying to make winning picks, I’m always going to hit around 50%, which is why I mainly pick dogs

 

[parrothead]

Not great but it could be worse. 4-5 over my last 9 games bet

 

[JDS]

Going back to the start of the 2018 season gives us a sizable database to work with, and thus the findings should be of value.

Overall records of streaking teams

Lost 4: 399-467, +14.4 units, ROI: 1.7%

Lost 5: 212-250, +16.4 units, ROI: 3.5%

Lost 6: 122-126, +34.45 units, ROI: 13.9%

Lost 7: 66-59, +31.3 units, ROI: 25.0%

Lost 8: 35-24, +23.6 units, ROI: 40.0%

Lost 9: 16-8, +17.2 units, ROI: 71.7%

Lost 10: 6-2, +8 units, ROI: 100.0%

Won 4: 479-419, -48.65 units, ROI: -5.4%

Won 5: 250-226, -39.85 units, ROI: -8.4%

Won 6: 120-129, -48.95 units, ROI: -19.7%

Won 7: 64-56, -7.15 units, ROI: -6.0%

Won 8: 30-34, -13.25 units, ROI: -20.7%

Won 9: 14-16, -4.7 units, ROI: -15.7%

Won 10: 6-8, -5.05 units, ROI: -36.1%

Based on the data losing streaks are far better to bet on rather than to bet a winning streak regarding ROI. The A’s on a 9 game losing streak & Brewers on a 6.

 

[Tanko]

Good stuff BTJ.
Thanks.

 

[JDS]

Going back to the start of the 2018 season gives us a sizable database to work with, and thus the findings should be of value.

Overall records of streaking teams

Lost 4: 399-467, +14.4 units, ROI: 1.7%

Lost 5: 212-250, +16.4 units, ROI: 3.5%

Lost 6: 122-126, +34.45 units, ROI: 13.9%

Lost 7: 66-59, +31.3 units, ROI: 25.0%

Lost 8: 35-24, +23.6 units, ROI: 40.0%

Lost 9: 16-8, +17.2 units, ROI: 71.7%

Lost 10: 6-2, +8 units, ROI: 100.0%

Won 4: 479-419, -48.65 units, ROI: -5.4%

Won 5: 250-226, -39.85 units, ROI: -8.4%

Won 6: 120-129, -48.95 units, ROI: -19.7%

Won 7: 64-56, -7.15 units, ROI: -6.0%

Won 8: 30-34, -13.25 units, ROI: -20.7%

Won 9: 14-16, -4.7 units, ROI: -15.7%

Won 10: 6-8, -5.05 units, ROI: -36.1%

Based on the data losing streaks are far better to bet on rather than to bet a winning streak regarding ROI. The A’s on a 9 game losing streak & Brewers on a 6.

Brewers & A’s both lost again.

 

[Tanko]

Brewers & A’s both lost again.

Wow. So chase them tomorrow?

 

[Tuesday]

 

[JDS]

Wow. So chase them tomorrow?

Sure why not.