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Miami Dolphins have lost last 11 games kickoff temp below 40 degrees

Jrgum3

Jrgum3

Joined
Oct 18, 2021
Messages
7,289
So Packers sounds like the play tonight
This sounds too easy and anything more than a Field Goal I'm leery of laying with the Packers. I think Miami can hang around here but it depends on Tua who has never played well in the cold and is the biggest reason why Miami struggles in frigid weather. I'm on the under but I took the points with Miami in the contest because like I said I think this will be a close game. If you like Green Bay I think just play the ML because the juice on -3 is not worth it and I don't like laying 3.5 here.
 

Jrgum3

Jrgum3

Joined
Oct 18, 2021
Messages
7,289
Love is the luckiest QB since 2017/18 Carson Wentz. His throws are trash, into double coverage, jumping balls, etc.

Miami very easy could win this game, GB is a fraud.
Yep this is a very good assessment. Love doesn't play well in cold weather either and is liable to make a few costly mistakes in this weather himself. This is why I like Miami a little because to me Tua has been playing well since he came back from the IL and is arguably playing better than Love right now. Miami is getting +3.5 at most shops so I think they're the right side here just because I do think Green Bay has been a little lucky this season and I think Miami very well could win this game.
 

djefferis

djefferis

Joined
Jan 8, 2024
Messages
4,100
I’m on GB -2’ @ -113

As mentioned Topwager365 is great for games where the spread falls on -3 or 3’ as the ability to buy off the number for far less than what other shops charge is a huge advantage.

GB -3’ was -105 - buying down a full point for an additional 8% was an easy decision - given that roughly 15% of games are won by a FG.
 

Jrgum3

Jrgum3

Joined
Oct 18, 2021
Messages
7,289
Under 48 is the play
Agreed although I had to play it at 47.5. Both teams are going to struggle to move the ball imo and both Quarterbacks struggle in the cold weather so I think under is the safest play because I really do think this one is closer to a coin flip game on the side.
 

Pimike

Pimike

Joined
Oct 30, 2021
Messages
10,898
Agreed although I had to play it at 47.5. Both teams are going to struggle to move the ball imo and both Quarterbacks struggle in the cold weather so I think under is the safest play because I really do think this one is closer to a coin flip game on the side.
Let’s cash it. Looks like I have nailed first two games.
 
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