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let's discuss Pats at Jets TNF

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homie1975

homie1975

Joined
Oct 6, 2022
Messages
1,290
what are we thinking here in terms of spread or ML? or no play?

pats look much better early on than most thought preseason.

nice defensive win at cincy holding them to 10 points and causing the turnover there at the goal line, then a loss that we can respect losing in OT at home to seattle and veteran geno smith who has good WR's.

the Jets obviously got roped on that long flight out to san fran and losing on MNF to a solid team.

then they bounced back at tennessee but the titans once again had turnovers by young Levis so i do not know how good the Jets truly are.

Lean is Pats + the points or no play.

Jets might be a popular Survivor pick this week but to me they are a good candidate to get beaten this week.

Division game makes it even more important for both teams.

coaching edge for me is Mayo over Saleh.
 

Jrgum3

Jrgum3

Joined
Oct 18, 2021
Messages
5,031
I took the Jets -6 here. Reason being that I'm not sure how much the Pats are going to score tomorrow night against this Jets defense. I'd play the under in this one but it's now sitting at 38.5 and that's awful low for an NFL game. It may not matter though because I don't see New England lighting up the scoreboard in this one. I'm fairly confident in the Jets side here because I'm not sure New England can slow them down enough and capitalize on offense to keep this one close so I laid the points with it being under a touchdown.
 

2the9s

2the9s

Joined
Nov 1, 2021
Messages
2,192
I got Pats +6 1/2 -110 because I had an expiring promo bet and liked the number. Other than that I have no opinion.

The Jets defense hasn't been as good as advertised and imo Sauce Gardner's talent is mostly wasted against the Pats because their #1 receivers are their TEs. NEs O-line is very banged up so IMO there's a lot of variance to the offensive output depending on how healthy their line turns out to be.

I don't have a lot of confidence in a now mostly-immobile Aaron Rodgers to put up a lot of points against a good defense, and so far his weapons seem limited to just Wilson and Hall. However, Thursday night busted plays/flukiness combined with what looks like a lot of defenders injured or playing hurt could send this over such a low total.

At the current market prices I'd stay away.
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
45,051
There are significant injuries for both teams entering a short week, but the offensive line for the New England Patriots is the most concerning. I would lean the under tonight, but not betting it.
 

homie1975

homie1975

Joined
Oct 6, 2022
Messages
1,290
I got Pats +6 1/2 -110 because I had an expiring promo bet and liked the number. Other than that I have no opinion.

The Jets defense hasn't been as good as advertised and imo Sauce Gardner's talent is mostly wasted against the Pats because their #1 receivers are their TEs. NEs O-line is very banged up so IMO there's a lot of variance to the offensive output depending on how healthy their line turns out to be.

I don't have a lot of confidence in a now mostly-immobile Aaron Rodgers to put up a lot of points against a good defense, and so far his weapons seem limited to just Wilson and Hall. However, Thursday night busted plays/flukiness combined with what looks like a lot of defenders injured or playing hurt could send this over such a low total.

At the current market prices I'd stay away.
good number 6.5
 

stackingreen

stackingreen

Joined
Mar 19, 2024
Messages
73
Took the Jets -6.

Teams that have short rest after an OT game don't usually do well against the spread.
Yes, with the O line worries for NE and Jets at home ... hard to figure the spread here, but Jets seems right. It does seem like it'll be low scoring, though, which usually is anti-fav

Man, it's sorta brutal. I might just bet live.

Classic TNF snoozefest. Without a bet there would be no reason to watch.
Agreed.
 
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