Let’s go Illini

[flyingillini]

 

[BMR Genie]

Let the streak continue!

 

[jjgold]

We pounded them

 

[flyingillini]

We pounded them

Did you apply “variance” to the fair value line ? Did you use the “free” variance calculator that @KVB graced the forum with ? Please advise.

 

[KVB]

Illinois steamed up here and just got too high. Plenty of Value bettors on the Penn State side at this point.

To much pouindeing of the Illini changed the look of the market.

Not a bad spot to pick up Penn St at 10.5 or better.

And Watch out!!

Penn St looking like a LIVE Dog on the Moneyline!!!!

 

[KVB]

Everyone trying to figure out if Illini will cover the number, whern it could be the moneyline at stake.

Let's see if the Illini can squeeze a win out with a buzzer beater.

 

[KVB]

Not a bad spot to pick up Penn St at 10.5 or better.

This is a typo.

+10, and even +9.5 at decent prices not a bad look, the 10.5 is just a cushion.

Like I said, this game could be about the moneyline.

 

[flyingillini]

Illinois steamed up here and just got too high. Plenty of Value bettors on the Penn State side at this point.

To much pouindeing of the Illini changed the look of the market.

Not a bad spot to pick up Penn St at 10.5 or better.

And Watch out!!

Penn St looking like a LIVE Dog on the Moneyline!!!!

I’m a bit perplexed here @KVB I’m doing the math and when you apply “variance” that you proudly graced the forum with , the true value line is Illini -9.5 , -107 please check your calculations again.

 

[KVB]

I’m a bit perplexed here @KVB I’m doing the math and when you apply “variance” that you proudly graced the forum with , the true value line is Illini -9.5 , -107 please check your calculations again.

Yes this is why I say this...

+9.5 at decent prices not a bad look

Picking up that +9.5 at -106 is a small deal, but paying -108 for the -9.5 not so great.

We are on the precipice and the market will flow back and forth, increasing the handle.

If you can get better than +400 for Penn St, I see a deal there.

Not to mention, we could have a game to trade here.

Picking up close to +400 for Penn St will be "in the money" when they take an early lead. But I must warn, it will take a lot and the degradation of the clock to get a deal on the Illini as bettors will feel confident they will come back.

And that's where the Illini buzzer beater comes into play.

Let's see how my posts age here.

 

[flyingillini]

Yes this is why I say this...



Picking up that +9.5 at -106 is a small deal, but paying -108 for the -9.5 not so great.

We are on the precipice and the market will flow back and forth, increasing the handle.

If you can get better than +400 for Penn St, I see a deal there.

Not to mention, we could have a game to trade here.

Picking up close to +400 for Penn St will be "in the money" when they take an early lead. But I must warn, it will take a lot and the degradation of the clock to get a deal on the Illini as bettors will feel confident they will come back.

And that's where the Illini buzzer beater comes into play.

Let's see how my posts age here.

KVBster my forum canalito , I am not sure what is happening with you as of late. Yes , your posts and posting are upper echelon, your knowledge of the markets is better than Ganch could of ever dreamed but your irresponsibility of not applying variance to your plays before you post your opinion publicly is an act of gross conduct. We , your peers expect the highest standard from you. We know you can do better. God Bless. This game goes to the Illini and pretty easy.

 

[KVB]

KVBster my forum canalito , I am not sure what is happening with you as of late. Yes , your posts and posting are upper echelon, your knowledge of the markets is better than Ganch could of ever dreamed but your irresponsibility of not applying variance to your plays before you post your opinion publicly is an act of gross conduct. We , your peers expect the highest standard from you. We know you can do better. God Bless. This game goes to the Illini and pretty easy.

Noted.

But this...

This game goes to the Illini and pretty easy.

warrants this response...

 

[flyingillini]

What an easy win by the ILLINI!!!!!!!!!

 

[KVB]

Massive blowout.

 

[flyingillini]

Massive blowout.

Scariest team in the NCAA now, hitting on all cylinders .

 

[KVB]

That line dropped all the way to 7.

We had a huge edge in spread and moneyline.

But alas, it was not to be, despite the variance calculator calling out the dog.

Good amount of "sharp" money fell tonight in that game.

Despite the pressure, the Illini would not buckle.

 

[flyingillini]

That line dropped all the way to 7.

We had a huge edge in spread and moneyline.

But alas, it was not to be, despite the variance calculator calling out the dog.

Good amount of "sharp" money fell tonight in that game.

Despite the pressure, the Illini would not buckle.

Is there a "Help Line" I can call? Is there someone I can talk to about your calculations? 2025 has been a very brutal year for you KVB, your calculations are off, your demeanor is off, your posting is off, your knowledge of knowing specific market is lacking. In 8 days you have done a complete reversal of what you have worked hard on the last 20 years in the industry. God Help us all!

 

[BMR Genie]

What an easy win by the ILLINI!!!!!!!!!

Congrats on your team, Fly!