LAC vs LV U33.5+105

[JDS]

Let the prime time under snooze fest continue in this one. Two back up QB’s & one making his 1st start of his career versus a solid LV defense especially at home. Raiders anemic offense haven’t scored more than 17 points the last 4 games.

The Chargers haven’t scored more than 10 points the last 3 games. These teams combined for one touchdown last week & I don’t see much changing this week. Both teams are a combined 20-6 to the under this year.

Take the under in this match up & good luck if you tail

 

[JDS]

This is a BMR best bet.

12-14
1. JDS 123-92-0 +42.28 Units
NFL LAC vs LV 33.5U +105
Justbet

 

[JDS]

 

[theriver55]

GL JDS. We all saw what happened in Pitt a week ago. Not saying that will happen again but very low total. see what happens.

 

[JDS]

No Keenan Allen in this game which bodes well to help the under cash.

 

[chuckythegoat2]

This is a BMR best bet.

12-14
1. JDS 123-92-0 +42.28 Units
NFL LAC vs LV 33.5U +105
Justbet

Nice record, Jerky.

Good Luck on the play. Hard to argue with the logic.

Hard to imagine this guy opening up the offense:

Easton Stick Stats, Height, Weight, Position, Draft, College | Pro-Football-Reference.com

Checkout the latest stats for Easton Stick. Get info about his position, age, height, weight, college, draft, and more on Pro-football-reference.com.

www.pro-football-reference.com

 

[BMR Genie]

Good luck, JDS! Let's get this TNF a win.

 

[samsncharge99]

I typically lean UNDER especially with 2 back up QBs. Got fukked last TNF when OVER hit in 1st half

in theory this should be a low scoring game though

 

[jjgold]

A lot of short, passing and running

 

[samsncharge99]

keep that clock running baby

 

[Tanko]

Hope you hit this JDS.
GL

 

[JDS]

Hope you hit this JDS.
GL

13-10 either team type game IMO.

 

[chuckythegoat2]

13-10 either team type game IMO.

I mentioned my comment on Stick above. I'm of the opinion that a bettor has to evaluate the QB (relative to the #) in the modern sports-market.

Is that guy over-rated? Or under-rated? I think there's $$ to be made doing this.

I'll offer up two recent NDSU qb's. Guys who played AFTER Carson Wentz.

Look at: Trey Lance vs Easton Stick. Stick's stats are pretty modest in limited action:

Easton Stick - 2018 - Football - NDSU

Easton Stick (12) Quarterback - * 2019 NFL Scouting Combine * 2019 East-West Shrine Game * 2018 AP All-America First Team * 2018 HERO Sports All-America First

gobison.com

88/28 TD/INT ratio across games. Compare that to Lance. Recall that Lance had a PERFECT season at NDSU playing vs FCS competition. 28/0 in 2019:

Trey Lance College Stats, School, Draft, Gamelog, Splits | College Football at Sports-Reference.com

Check out Trey Lance's College Stats, School, Draft, Gamelog, Splits and More College Stats at Sports-Reference.com

www.sports-reference.com

Stick has been hanging around a while. These backups really don't get many practice reps. I just don't see how they'd have a big gameplan for him.

 

[JDS]

I mentioned my comment on Stick above. I'm of the opinion that a bettor has to evaluate the QB (relative to the #) in the modern sports-market.

Is that guy over-rated? Or under-rated? I think there's $$ to be made doing this.

I'll offer up two recent NDSU qb's. Guys who played AFTER Carson Wentz.

Look at: Trey Lance vs Easton Stick. Stick's stats are pretty modest in limited action:

Easton Stick - 2018 - Football - NDSU

Easton Stick (12) Quarterback - * 2019 NFL Scouting Combine * 2019 East-West Shrine Game * 2018 AP All-America First Team * 2018 HERO Sports All-America First

gobison.com

88/28 TD/INT ratio across games. Compare that to Lance. Recall that Lance had a PERFECT season at NDSU playing vs FCS competition. 28/0 in 2019:

Trey Lance College Stats, School, Draft, Gamelog, Splits | College Football at Sports-Reference.com

Check out Trey Lance's College Stats, School, Draft, Gamelog, Splits and More College Stats at Sports-Reference.com

www.sports-reference.com

Stick has been hanging around a while. These backups really don't get many practice reps. I just don't see how they'd have a big gameplan for him.

Yeah all good points you make, Jake Browning has surprised us this year. Did you think he was gonna have any success filling in for Burrow ?

 

[chuckythegoat2]

Yeah all good points you make, Jake Browning has surprised us this year. Did you think he was gonna have any success filling in for Burrow ?

I thought he would be better than people thought. I did bet ON the Bengals in his first two starts. So 1-1 ATS, but the +10 at Jax was too fat (after his 1st start).

Jake Browning College Stats, School, Draft, Gamelog, Splits | College Football at Sports-Reference.com

Check out Jake Browning's College Stats, School, Draft, Gamelog, Splits and More College Stats at Sports-Reference.com

www.sports-reference.com

...Browning put up a 43/9 season at the FBS level.

 

[JDS]

I thought he would be better than people thought. I did bet ON the Bengals in his first two starts. So 1-1 ATS, but the +10 at Jax was too fat (after his 1st start).

Jake Browning College Stats, School, Draft, Gamelog, Splits | College Football at Sports-Reference.com

Check out Jake Browning's College Stats, School, Draft, Gamelog, Splits and More College Stats at Sports-Reference.com

www.sports-reference.com

...Browning put up a 43/9 season at the FBS level.

I actually liked him coming out of Washington & thought he had a chance to be middle tier in
the NFL one day.

 

[JDS]

This line is holding steady thought it might drop. Overs have been hitting a lot more frequently the last two weeks.

 

[Tanko]

This line is holding steady thought it might drop. Overs have been hitting a lot more frequently the last two weeks.

For the first 12 weeks, this TNF game was like printing money on the under. Like you said. Its kind of regressed a little last two weeks.

 

[Wagerallsports]

Any opinion on the side?

 

[JDS]

Any opinion on the side?

Zero.