I'm on Kentucky -12.5. The Wildcats sit at 19-10 (8-8 SEC) and are coming off a 94-78 loss to No. 1 Auburn, while LSU has struggled to 14-15 (3-13 SEC) on the year. Kentucky is averaging 85.3 PPG, ranking 5th nationally, while LSU is only scoring 72.6 PPG, which puts them at a major disadvantage in a game where they’ll need to keep pace. LSU is also potentially without leading rebounder Corey Chest and guard Vyctorius Miller, so it’s hard to see them suddenly stepping up against a Kentucky team that thrives offensively, especially at home.
The setup is perfect for Kentucky to cover. If Kentucky plays to its average and puts up 85+ points, LSU would need to score at least 73 to cover, but with their offensive inconsistency and road struggles, that’s a tall order. They’ve lost nine of their last 11 games, just got swept by Alabama, and are in the middle of a brutal 23-game road trip. Meanwhile, Kentucky will be highly motivated after their loss to Auburn, looking to bounce back strong before the SEC tourney. With Kentucky’s offensive firepower and LSU’s struggles on both ends, the Wildcats should cover the -12.5.
The setup is perfect for Kentucky to cover. If Kentucky plays to its average and puts up 85+ points, LSU would need to score at least 73 to cover, but with their offensive inconsistency and road struggles, that’s a tall order. They’ve lost nine of their last 11 games, just got swept by Alabama, and are in the middle of a brutal 23-game road trip. Meanwhile, Kentucky will be highly motivated after their loss to Auburn, looking to bounce back strong before the SEC tourney. With Kentucky’s offensive firepower and LSU’s struggles on both ends, the Wildcats should cover the -12.5.
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